Connor Lien

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1994-03-15

Age (2027)33

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	24	AAMississippi B…	305	.198/.290/.343	7	8	34	—	.158/.228/.277
2019	25	AAA/AA2 orgs	246	.211/.314/.441	11	6	46	—	.144/.229/.305
2021	27	AASEA	178	.150/.294/.286	5	2	17	—	.108/.209/.210

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	18	ROK	GCL Braves	—	180	149	34	4	2	0	19	49	10	15	3	228	354	282	636	54	337	27	11	302	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK	Danville Braves	—	236	212	48	11	4	6	14	70	8	10	3	226	299	401	700	175	307	30	6	310	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A	Rome Braves	—	345	309	85	17	3	5	21	84	9	16	4	275	339	398	737	123	360	24	6	327	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	504	453	129	22	5	9	33	129	11	34	12	285	348	415	763	130	379	26	7	338	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	82	77	13	1	0	1	4	35	1	4	1	169	220	221	440	52	293	43	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	258	223	52	7	7	6	23	85	6	12	6	233	321	408	730	175	346	33	9	319	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	411	374	70	19	2	10	24	160	9	17	4	187	253	329	582	142	293	39	6	261	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	305	268	53	16	1	7	26	113	9	8	5	198	290	343	634	146	309	37	9	288	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	46	36	6	0	0	2	7	22	3	1	0	167	348	333	681	167	333	48	15	323	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	200	177	39	10	3	9	21	91	1	5	1	220	307	463	770	243	390	46	10	336	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	178	147	22	3	1	5	25	84	5	2	4	150	294	286	579	136	288	47	14	274	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	18	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	180	156	25	3	1	0	12	71	10	15	3	160	264	192	456	32	270	39	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	236	217	32	7	2	4	9	99	8	10	3	147	209	253	463	106	235	42	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	345	315	70	13	2	4	15	117	9	16	4	222	277	314	592	92	327	34	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	504	466	105	15	4	7	20	181	11	34	12	225	274	320	593	94	340	36	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	258	230	46	6	5	5	16	99	6	12	6	200	270	335	605	135	307	38	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	411	381	56	16	1	8	17	201	9	17	4	147	201	257	459	110	271	49	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	305	278	44	13	1	6	16	140	9	8	5	158	228	277	505	119	271	46	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	46	38	4	0	0	1	5	28	3	1	0	105	261	184	445	79	307	61	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	200	183	28	8	2	7	15	114	1	5	1	153	221	333	554	180	336	57	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	178	157	17	2	1	4	15	101	5	2	4	108	209	210	419	102	244	57	8	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	180	156	25	3	1	0	12	71	10	15	3	160	264	192	456	32	291	39	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	—	180	149	34	4	2	0	19	49	10	15	3	228	354	282	636	54	337	27	11	302	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	236	217	32	7	2	4	9	99	8	10	3	147	209	253	463	106	243	42	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	—	236	212	48	11	4	6	14	70	8	10	3	226	299	401	700	175	307	30	6	310	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	345	315	70	13	2	4	15	117	9	16	4	222	277	314	592	92	337	34	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	345	309	85	17	3	5	21	84	9	16	4	275	339	398	737	123	360	24	6	327	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	586	544	121	18	4	8	23	210	12	38	13	222	269	314	584	92	345	36	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	586	530	142	23	5	10	37	164	12	38	13	268	330	387	717	119	369	28	6	319	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	258	230	46	6	5	5	16	99	6	12	6	200	270	335	605	135	323	38	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	258	223	52	7	7	6	23	85	6	12	6	233	321	408	730	175	346	33	9	319	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	411	381	56	16	1	8	17	201	9	17	4	147	201	257	459	110	277	49	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	411	374	70	19	2	10	24	160	9	17	4	187	253	329	582	142	293	39	6	261	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	305	278	44	13	1	6	16	140	9	8	5	158	228	277	505	119	286	46	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	305	268	53	16	1	7	26	113	9	8	5	198	290	343	634	146	309	37	9	288	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	246	221	32	8	2	8	20	142	4	6	1	145	229	308	536	163	338	58	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	246	213	45	10	3	11	28	113	4	6	1	211	314	441	756	230	382	46	11	334	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	178	157	17	2	1	4	15	101	5	2	4	108	209	210	419	102	245	57	8	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	178	147	22	3	1	5	25	84	5	2	4	150	294	286	579	136	288	47	14	274	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	180	156	25	3	1	0	12	71	10	15	3	160	264	192	456	32	270	39	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	236	217	32	7	2	4	9	99	8	10	3	147	209	253	463	106	235	42	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	345	318	70	13	2	4	15	117	9	16	4	220	277	311	589	91	327	34	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	586	546	121	18	4	8	23	210	12	38	13	222	269	313	583	92	340	36	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	258	234	46	6	5	5	16	99	6	12	6	197	270	329	599	132	307	38	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	411	382	56	16	1	8	17	201	9	17	4	147	201	257	458	110	271	49	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	305	277	44	13	1	6	16	140	9	8	5	159	228	278	506	119	271	46	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	246	220	32	8	2	8	20	142	4	6	1	145	229	309	538	164	331	58	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	178	156	17	2	1	4	15	101	5	2	4	109	209	212	421	103	244	57	8	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2745	2499	443	86	19	47	143	1180	72	124	43	177	242	283	526	106	309	43	5	231	43	-188	+8	+0	+10	+59	-11.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	104	20	4	11	34	279	17	29	10	176	241	279	520	103	306	43	5	231	43	-44	+2	+0	+2	+14	-2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 178 PAwOBA .269 → .193 (−76)K% 47.2% → 56.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	47.19%	÷1.013	×1.220	—	—	56.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.04%	÷1.144	×0.690	—	×0.978	8.28%
HBP% /PA	2.81%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	2.34%
Singles /BIP	20.63%	÷0.999	×0.940	×0.950	×0.978	18.04%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.975	×0.870	×0.950	×0.978	3.95%
Triples /BIP	1.59%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.978	1.18%
Home runs /BIP	7.94%	÷0.892	×0.780	—	×0.978	6.79%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 103, BB 129 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .269 → .193; ISO .136 → .105; BABIP .288 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAMississippi Braves · 200 PAwOBA .327 → .236 (−91)K% 45.5% → 56.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	45.50%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	56.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.50%	÷0.967	×0.680	—	×0.998	7.37%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.42%
Singles /BIP	19.77%	÷1.068	×0.920	×0.950	×0.998	16.14%
Doubles /BIP	11.63%	÷0.906	×0.910	×0.950	×0.998	11.07%
Triples /BIP	3.49%	÷0.900	×0.880	×0.950	×0.998	3.23%
Home runs /BIP	10.47%	÷0.900	×0.800	—	×0.998	9.29%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 114, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .327 → .236; ISO .243 → .181; BABIP .390 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 46 PAwOBA .316 → .233 (−83)K% 47.8% → 60.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	47.83%	÷0.948	×1.200	—	—	60.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.22%	÷1.047	×0.690	—	×1.033	10.36%
HBP% /PA	6.52%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	6.33%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.038	×0.930	—	×1.033	26.45%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.963	×0.830	—	×1.033	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	14.29%	÷0.899	×0.840	—	×1.033	13.78%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .316 → .233; ISO .167 → .120; BABIP .333 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAMississippi Braves · 305 PAwOBA .280 → .218 (−62)K% 37.0% → 45.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.05%	÷0.985	×1.220	—	—	45.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.20%	÷1.037	×0.680	—	×1.012	5.44%
HBP% /PA	2.95%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	2.51%
Singles /BIP	18.71%	÷0.993	×0.920	×0.955	×1.012	16.76%
Doubles /BIP	10.32%	÷1.013	×0.910	×0.955	×1.012	8.96%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.110	×0.880	×0.955	×1.012	0.49%
Home runs /BIP	4.52%	÷0.897	×0.800	—	×1.012	4.08%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 122, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .280 → .218; ISO .146 → .117; BABIP .309 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAMississippi Braves · 411 PAwOBA .254 → .200 (−54)K% 38.9% → 48.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	38.93%	÷0.970	×1.220	—	—	48.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.84%	÷0.989	×0.680	—	×1.027	4.12%
HBP% /PA	2.19%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	1.89%
Singles /BIP	18.22%	÷1.026	×0.920	×0.996	×1.027	16.72%
Doubles /BIP	8.88%	÷0.951	×0.910	×0.996	×1.027	8.69%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷1.146	×0.880	×0.996	×1.027	0.73%
Home runs /BIP	4.67%	÷0.925	×0.800	—	×1.027	4.15%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .254 → .200; ISO .142 → .112; BABIP .293 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAMississippi Braves · 258 PAwOBA .312 → .258 (−54)K% 32.9% → 38.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.95%	÷1.043	×1.220	—	—	38.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.91%	÷0.997	×0.680	—	×1.042	6.33%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.840	—	×1.042	2.04%
Singles /BIP	23.19%	÷1.014	×0.920	×0.987	×1.042	21.64%
Doubles /BIP	5.07%	÷1.104	×0.910	×0.987	×1.042	4.30%
Triples /BIP	5.07%	÷1.150	×0.880	×0.987	×1.042	3.99%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷1.084	×0.800	—	×1.042	3.34%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 103, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 109, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .312 → .258; ISO .175 → .137; BABIP .346 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Carolina Mudcats · 504 PAwOBA .330 → .259 (−71)K% 25.6% → 35.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.60%	÷1.012	×1.420	—	—	35.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.35%	÷1.042	×0.630	—	×1.027	3.94%
HBP% /PA	2.18%	—	×0.860	—	×1.027	1.93%
Singles /BIP	28.70%	÷1.014	×0.940	×0.981	×1.027	26.81%
Doubles /BIP	6.79%	÷1.083	×0.830	×0.981	×1.027	5.24%
Triples /BIP	1.54%	÷0.952	×0.800	×0.981	×1.027	1.31%
Home runs /BIP	2.78%	÷1.039	×0.900	—	×1.027	2.47%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .330 → .259; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .379 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ARome Braves · 345 PAwOBA .320 → .261 (−58)K% 24.3% → 33.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.35%	÷0.966	×1.340	—	—	33.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.09%	÷0.972	×0.660	—	×1.030	4.25%
HBP% /PA	2.61%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	2.07%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.012	×0.920	×0.986	×1.030	24.62%
Doubles /BIP	7.56%	÷0.965	×0.820	×0.986	×1.030	6.53%
Triples /BIP	1.33%	÷1.066	×0.940	×0.986	×1.030	1.19%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷0.873	×0.820	—	×1.030	2.15%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 113, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .320 → .261; ISO .123 → .103; BABIP .360 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .