Steven Duggar
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 27 | AAASF | 70 | .279/.371/.393 | 1 | 8 | 74 | — | .234/.300/.344 | |
| 2021 | 27 | MLBSF | 297 | .257/.330/.437 | 8 | 7 | 116 | 1.8 | ||
| 2022 | 28 | AAALAA | 140 | .182/.288/.314 | 4 | 6 | 29 | — | .150/.223/.244 | |
| 2022 | 28 | MLBLAA | 80 | .153/.228/.222 | 0 | 5 | 29 | -0.5 | ||
| 2023 | 29 | AAAOklahoma City… | 272 | .242/.363/.410 | 9 | 5 | 57 | — | .179/.270/.288 | |
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 276 | 243 | 78 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 51 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 321 | 396 | 432 | 828 | 111 | 397 | 18 | 10 | 368 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 311 | 264 | 75 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 66 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 284 | 388 | 462 | 850 | 178 | 346 | 21 | 14 | 377 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 54 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 261 | 370 | 413 | 783 | 152 | 312 | 22 | 15 | 355 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 133 | 115 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 42 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 270 | 364 | 470 | 833 | 200 | 386 | 32 | 13 | 367 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 90 | 76 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 263 | 371 | 421 | 792 | 158 | 321 | 23 | 13 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 152 | 141 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 255 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 135 | 354 | 29 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 356 | 316 | 86 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 103 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 272 | 354 | 421 | 775 | 149 | 392 | 29 | 11 | 347 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 281 | 261 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 78 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 234 | 281 | 341 | 622 | 107 | 313 | 28 | 6 | 277 | 76 | -8 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 102 | 83 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 337 | 461 | 542 | 1.003 | 205 | 424 | 21 | 18 | 443 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 36 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 261 | 31 | 3 | 212 | 30 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 297 | 268 | 69 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 88 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 257 | 330 | 437 | 767 | 179 | 355 | 30 | 9 | 340 | 116 | +6 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +6 | 1.8 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 70 | 61 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 279 | 371 | 393 | 765 | 115 | 421 | 31 | 13 | 347 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 80 | 72 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 153 | 228 | 222 | 450 | 69 | 344 | 51 | 9 | 209 | 29 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 140 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 45 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 182 | 288 | 314 | 602 | 132 | 247 | 32 | 12 | 277 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 272 | 227 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 92 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 242 | 363 | 410 | 773 | 167 | 359 | 34 | 15 | 348 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 846 | 776 | 183 | 42 | 9 | 14 | 61 | 262 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 236 | 295 | 367 | 662 | 131 | 335 | 31 | 7 | 295 | 86 | -14 | +1 | +4 | +5 | +18 | 1.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 276 | 254 | 78 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 64 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 307 | 355 | 402 | 757 | 94 | 395 | 23 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 311 | 277 | 66 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 89 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 238 | 317 | 383 | 700 | 144 | 313 | 29 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 54 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 229 | 315 | 375 | 690 | 146 | 284 | 30 | 11 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 133 | 120 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 342 | 614 | 142 | 322 | 41 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 152 | 142 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 254 | 298 | 387 | 685 | 134 | 354 | 29 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 356 | 329 | 74 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 124 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 225 | 284 | 340 | 624 | 116 | 349 | 35 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 281 | 261 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 78 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 238 | 284 | 345 | 629 | 107 | 313 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 76 | -8 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 102 | 88 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 273 | 373 | 420 | 793 | 148 | 380 | 27 | 13 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 36 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 261 | 31 | 3 | 213 | 30 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 297 | 271 | 71 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 88 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 262 | 327 | 450 | 777 | 188 | 355 | 30 | 8 | 340 | 116 | +6 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +6 | 1.8 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 70 | 64 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 234 | 300 | 344 | 644 | 109 | 372 | 37 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 80 | 72 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 153 | 228 | 222 | 450 | 69 | 344 | 51 | 9 | 211 | 29 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 140 | 127 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 150 | 223 | 244 | 467 | 94 | 227 | 39 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 272 | 240 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 110 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 179 | 270 | 287 | 558 | 108 | 290 | 40 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 531 | 143 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 48 | 152 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 269 | 333 | 388 | 721 | 119 | 359 | 26 | 8 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 587 | 507 | 153 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 72 | 117 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 302 | 392 | 448 | 839 | 146 | 371 | 20 | 12 | 373 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 277 | 246 | 50 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 105 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 203 | 287 | 341 | 629 | 138 | 316 | 38 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 277 | 237 | 63 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 75 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 266 | 367 | 443 | 810 | 177 | 348 | 27 | 13 | 360 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 471 | 110 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 168 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 234 | 288 | 355 | 643 | 121 | 351 | 33 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 508 | 457 | 122 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 147 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 267 | 339 | 411 | 751 | 144 | 380 | 29 | 10 | 335 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 349 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 106 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 249 | 311 | 375 | 686 | 126 | 335 | 28 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -5 | -2 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 344 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 99 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 259 | 329 | 390 | 718 | 131 | 340 | 26 | 9 | 321 | 89 | -5 | -2 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 36 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 261 | 31 | 3 | 213 | 30 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | San Francisco Giants | — | 36 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 261 | 31 | 3 | 212 | 30 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 335 | 85 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 114 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 254 | 319 | 418 | 737 | 164 | 358 | 31 | 8 | 328 | 108 | +3 | +3 | +3 | +1 | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 367 | 329 | 86 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 110 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 261 | 338 | 429 | 766 | 167 | 367 | 30 | 10 | 341 | 108 | +3 | +3 | +3 | +1 | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 199 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 96 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 156 | 229 | 246 | 476 | 90 | 275 | 44 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 220 | 193 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 86 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 171 | 266 | 280 | 546 | 109 | 276 | 39 | 11 | 252 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 272 | 240 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 110 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 179 | 270 | 287 | 558 | 108 | 294 | 40 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 272 | 227 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 92 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 242 | 363 | 410 | 773 | 167 | 359 | 34 | 15 | 348 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 531 | 143 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 48 | 152 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 269 | 333 | 388 | 721 | 119 | 352 | 26 | 8 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 277 | 246 | 50 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 105 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 203 | 287 | 341 | 629 | 138 | 311 | 38 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 467 | 110 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 168 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 236 | 288 | 358 | 646 | 122 | 351 | 33 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 349 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 106 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 249 | 311 | 375 | 686 | 126 | 331 | 28 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 36 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 261 | 31 | 3 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 332 | 85 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 114 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 256 | 319 | 422 | 740 | 166 | 358 | 31 | 8 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 199 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 96 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 156 | 229 | 246 | 476 | 90 | 269 | 44 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 272 | 240 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 110 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 179 | 270 | 287 | 558 | 108 | 290 | 40 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 846 | 776 | 183 | 42 | 9 | 14 | 61 | 262 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 236 | 295 | 367 | 662 | 131 | 335 | 31 | 7 | 295 | 82 | -14 | +1 | +4 | +5 | +18 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 141 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 201 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 237 | 296 | 369 | 665 | 133 | 335 | 31 | 7 | 295 | 82 | -11 | +1 | +3 | +4 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2650 | 2405 | 555 | 122 | 21 | 45 | 218 | 862 | 12 | 85 | 31 | 231 | 298 | 355 | 653 | 124 | 337 | 33 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -14 | +1 | +4 | +5 | +18 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 136 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 211 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 231 | 297 | 354 | 651 | 124 | 336 | 32 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -11 | +1 | +3 | +4 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 272 PAwOBA .342 → .253 (−89)K% 33.8% → 40.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.82% | ÷1.003 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.44% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 10.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 21.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.15% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.51% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .253; ISO .167 → .116; BABIP .359 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASalt Lake Bees · 140 PAwOBA .272 → .211 (−61)K% 32.1% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.14% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.14% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×0.982 | 17.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×0.982 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.70% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .272 → .211; ISO .132 → .095; BABIP .247 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 70 PAwOBA .334 → .277 (−56)K% 31.4% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.43% | ÷1.034 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 29.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 2.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.79% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .334 → .277; ISO .115 → .096; BABIP .421 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 102 PAwOBA .432 → .352 (−79)K% 20.6% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.59% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 13.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷0.982 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 27.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.981 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 8.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.008 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .432 → .352; ISO .205 → .159; BABIP .424 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 356 PAwOBA .336 → .274 (−62)K% 28.9% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.93% | ÷1.071 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.39% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.94% | ÷0.963 | ×0.900 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 22.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.68% | ÷0.910 | ×0.810 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 11.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.88% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.88% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .336 → .274; ISO .149 → .118; BABIP .392 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+San Jose Giants · 133 PAwOBA .360 → .271 (−89)K% 31.6% → 41.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷1.018 | ×1.340 | — | — | 41.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.78% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 9.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.92% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 19.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.07% | ÷1.008 | ×0.820 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 11.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 4.93% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .360 → .271; ISO .200 → .151; BABIP .386 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASacramento River Cats · 54 PAwOBA .346 → .290 (−56)K% 22.2% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.989 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷0.952 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 11.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷1.027 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 24.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.889 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .346 → .290; ISO .152 → .131; BABIP .312 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+San Jose Giants · 311 PAwOBA .369 → .306 (−63)K% 21.2% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.22% | ÷0.998 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.83% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.25% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 23.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.02% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 3.99% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .369 → .306; ISO .178 → .150; BABIP .346 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .