Lewis Brinson

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1994-05-08

Age (2027)33

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2020	26	MLBMIA	112	.226/.268/.368	3	4	85	-0.2
2021	27	AAAMIA	48	.283/.312/.413	1	2	66	—	.255/.271/.383
2021	27	MLBMIA	290	.226/.264/.376	9	1	84	-0.4
2022	28	AAASF	373	.298/.357/.566	22	5	94	—	.245/.292/.435
2022	28	MLBSF	39	.167/.211/.472	3	1	88	0.1
2023	29	No MLB games played
2024	30	No MLB games played
2025	31	No MLB games played
2026	32	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

Speed87

Barrel%44

Avg EV40

xwOBA30

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	18	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	265	237	67	22	7	7	21	74	3	14	2	283	349	523	872	241	377	28	8	374	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	503	447	106	18	2	21	48	191	8	24	7	237	322	427	749	190	362	38	10	334	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	199	183	45	8	1	3	15	50	1	5	5	246	307	350	656	104	323	25	8	297	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	186	164	55	8	1	10	18	46	2	7	4	335	408	579	987	244	413	25	10	426	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	37	30	13	1	0	1	7	6	0	3	0	433	541	567	1.107	133	522	16	19	492	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	121	110	32	8	1	6	6	28	1	2	1	291	331	545	876	255	333	23	5	369	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	High Desert Mavericks	—	298	258	87	22	7	13	31	64	6	13	6	337	420	628	1.048	291	402	21	10	448	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	108	98	26	2	4	3	8	27	1	5	3	265	327	459	786	194	333	25	7	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	93	89	34	9	0	4	2	21	0	4	2	382	396	618	1.014	236	455	23	2	433	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	326	304	72	14	6	11	17	64	2	11	4	237	282	431	713	194	264	20	5	310	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	15	13	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	231	333	308	641	77	273	13	13	299	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	55	47	5	0	1	2	7	17	1	1	0	106	236	277	513	170	107	31	13	240	38	-4	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.0
2017	23	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	340	299	99	22	4	13	32	62	5	11	5	331	405	562	967	231	377	18	9	418	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	406	382	76	10	5	11	17	120	4	2	1	199	240	338	578	139	257	30	4	256	63	-18	+0	-2	+2	+9	-1.0
2018	24	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	27	27	6	1	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	222	222	333	556	111	286	22	0	241	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	26	23	3	0	0	1	3	5	0	1	0	130	231	261	492	130	118	19	12	230	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	248	226	39	9	1	0	13	74	6	1	1	173	237	221	458	49	255	30	5	213	33	-20	-0	+0	+2	+5	-1.2
2019	25	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	339	296	80	15	4	16	32	100	10	16	5	270	360	510	870	240	356	29	9	382	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	112	106	24	6	0	3	6	30	0	4	0	226	268	368	636	142	288	27	5	283	85	-2	+1	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2021	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	290	274	62	14	0	9	13	72	1	1	1	226	264	376	640	150	273	25	4	282	84	-5	-0	-1	-4	+6	-0.4
2021	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	48	46	13	1	1	1	2	11	0	2	0	283	312	413	726	130	353	23	4	321	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	39	36	6	2	0	3	2	14	0	1	0	167	211	472	683	306	158	36	5	285	88	-1	+0	-1	+1	+1	0.1
2022	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	373	339	101	21	2	22	27	106	4	5	3	298	357	566	923	268	373	28	7	398	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1150	1071	212	41	7	28	58	327	12	10	3	198	247	328	575	130	256	28	5	256	60	-55	+1	-4	+2	+25	-3.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	265	245	46	14	4	5	13	107	3	14	2	188	238	339	576	151	291	40	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	503	464	73	13	2	13	31	258	8	24	7	157	223	278	501	121	307	51	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	199	188	38	6	1	2	10	74	1	5	5	202	246	277	523	74	323	37	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	186	169	47	6	1	7	13	61	2	7	4	278	337	450	787	172	387	33	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	37	32	12	1	0	1	5	8	0	3	0	375	459	500	959	125	479	22	14	411	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	121	113	28	7	1	5	4	33	1	2	1	248	280	460	740	212	292	27	3	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	298	267	73	17	6	11	22	88	6	13	6	273	342	506	848	232	356	30	7	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	93	90	27	6	0	3	1	28	0	4	2	300	308	467	774	167	394	30	1	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	326	308	63	11	5	8	13	76	2	11	4	205	241	351	592	146	244	23	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0	214	267	286	552	71	209	20	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	55	48	5	0	1	2	6	17	1	1	0	104	218	271	489	167	107	31	11	225	38	-4	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.0
2017	23	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	340	309	82	15	3	11	22	84	5	11	5	265	324	440	765	175	321	25	6	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	406	385	79	11	5	12	15	120	4	2	1	205	243	353	596	148	257	30	4	261	63	-18	+0	-2	+2	+9	-1.0
2018	24	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	27	27	5	1	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	185	185	296	481	111	254	26	0	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	26	24	3	0	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	125	192	250	442	125	103	23	8	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	248	227	40	10	1	0	12	74	6	1	1	176	237	229	466	53	255	30	5	217	33	-20	-0	+0	+2	+5	-1.2
2019	25	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	339	307	60	11	3	10	22	136	10	16	5	195	271	349	620	153	309	40	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	112	106	25	7	0	3	6	30	0	4	0	236	277	387	664	151	288	27	5	294	85	-2	+1	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2021	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	290	274	64	15	0	9	13	72	1	1	1	234	271	387	658	153	273	25	4	293	84	-5	-0	-1	-4	+6	-0.4
2021	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	48	47	12	1	1	1	1	13	0	2	0	255	271	383	654	128	331	27	2	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	39	36	6	2	0	3	2	14	0	1	0	167	211	472	683	306	158	36	5	298	88	-1	+0	-1	+1	+1	0.1
2022	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	373	347	85	17	2	15	19	129	4	5	3	245	292	435	727	190	337	35	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	265	245	46	14	4	5	13	107	3	14	2	188	238	339	576	151	301	40	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	265	237	67	22	7	7	21	74	3	14	2	283	349	523	872	241	377	28	8	374	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	503	464	73	13	2	13	31	258	8	24	7	157	223	278	501	121	311	51	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	503	447	106	18	2	21	48	191	8	24	7	237	322	427	749	190	362	38	10	334	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	357	85	12	2	9	23	135	3	12	9	238	290	359	648	120	355	35	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	385	347	100	16	2	13	33	96	3	12	9	288	355	458	813	170	364	25	9	360	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	564	510	141	31	8	22	39	159	8	23	10	276	338	498	836	222	355	28	7	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	564	496	158	33	12	23	52	125	8	23	10	319	391	573	964	254	381	22	9	414	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	434	412	94	18	5	12	15	107	2	17	6	228	259	383	642	155	276	25	3	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	434	406	109	24	6	15	21	87	2	17	6	268	308	468	776	200	305	20	5	336	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	395	357	87	15	4	13	28	101	6	12	5	244	309	417	727	174	300	26	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	395	346	104	22	5	15	39	79	6	12	5	301	381	523	904	223	348	20	10	393	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	459	436	86	12	6	12	17	133	4	3	1	197	234	335	569	138	253	29	4	252	57	-24	+0	-2	+2	+10	-1.4
2018	24	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	459	432	85	11	6	12	20	131	4	3	1	197	239	333	572	137	251	29	4	253	57	-24	+0	-2	+2	+10	-1.4
2019	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	587	534	100	21	4	10	34	210	16	17	6	187	257	298	555	110	286	36	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	587	522	119	24	5	16	45	174	16	17	6	228	308	385	693	157	309	30	8	311	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	112	106	25	7	0	3	6	30	0	4	0	236	277	387	664	151	301	27	5	294	85	-2	+1	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2020	26	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	112	106	24	6	0	3	6	30	0	4	0	226	268	368	636	142	288	27	5	283	85	-2	+1	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2021	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	338	321	76	16	1	10	14	85	1	3	1	237	271	386	657	150	291	25	4	289	82	-7	+0	-1	-4	+7	-0.4
2021	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	338	320	75	15	1	10	15	83	1	3	1	234	271	381	652	147	285	25	4	288	82	-7	+0	-1	-4	+7	-0.4
2022	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	412	383	91	19	2	18	21	143	4	6	3	238	284	439	723	201	327	35	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	412	375	107	23	2	25	29	120	4	6	3	285	343	557	900	272	355	29	7	387	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	265	247	46	14	4	5	13	107	3	14	2	186	238	336	574	150	291	40	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	503	459	73	13	2	13	31	258	8	24	7	159	223	281	504	122	307	51	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	356	85	12	2	9	23	135	3	12	9	239	290	360	649	121	354	35	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	564	512	141	31	8	22	39	159	8	23	10	275	338	496	834	221	349	28	7	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	434	414	94	18	5	12	15	107	2	17	6	227	259	382	640	155	275	25	3	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	395	358	87	15	4	13	28	101	6	12	5	243	309	416	726	173	291	26	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	459	435	86	12	6	12	17	133	4	3	1	198	234	336	570	138	248	29	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	587	532	100	21	4	10	34	210	16	17	6	188	257	299	556	111	286	36	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	112	105	25	7	0	3	6	30	0	4	0	238	277	390	667	152	288	27	5	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	338	320	76	16	1	10	14	85	1	3	1	237	271	388	658	150	281	25	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	412	384	91	19	2	18	21	143	4	6	3	237	284	438	722	201	320	35	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1150	1071	212	41	7	28	58	327	12	10	3	198	247	328	575	130	256	28	5	256	76	-55	+1	-4	+2	+25	-3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	120	23	4	16	33	185	7	6	2	198	248	329	577	131	256	28	5	256	76	-31	+0	-2	+1	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4454	4125	904	178	38	127	241	1468	55	135	50	219	271	373	645	154	304	33	5	281	76	-55	+1	-4	+2	+25	-3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	133	26	6	19	35	214	8	20	7	221	272	379	651	158	306	33	5	281	76	-31	+0	-2	+1	+14	-1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 373 PAwOBA .388 → .307 (−80)K% 28.4% → 34.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.42%	÷0.986	×1.200	—	—	34.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.24%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.04%
HBP% /PA	1.07%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.00%
Singles /BIP	24.03%	÷0.968	×0.930	×1.004	×0.992	22.99%
Doubles /BIP	9.01%	÷0.967	×0.830	×1.004	×0.992	7.70%
Triples /BIP	0.86%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.004	×0.992	0.92%
Home runs /BIP	9.44%	÷0.989	×0.700	—	×0.992	6.63%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .388 → .307; ISO .268 → .192; BABIP .373 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 48 PAwOBA .312 → .266 (−46)K% 22.9% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.92%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	27.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.17%	÷0.994	×0.690	—	×1.003	2.90%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷0.971	×0.930	—	×1.003	27.44%
Doubles /BIP	2.86%	÷0.933	×0.830	—	×1.003	2.55%
Triples /BIP	2.86%	÷1.109	×0.920	—	×1.003	2.38%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷0.886	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.26%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .312 → .266; ISO .130 → .102; BABIP .353 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 339 PAwOBA .371 → .274 (−98)K% 29.5% → 40.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.50%	÷0.950	×1.290	—	—	40.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.44%	÷1.085	×0.710	—	×1.033	6.38%
HBP% /PA	2.95%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	2.99%
Singles /BIP	22.96%	÷0.971	×0.900	×0.950	×1.033	20.89%
Doubles /BIP	7.65%	÷0.952	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	6.39%
Triples /BIP	2.04%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	1.80%
Home runs /BIP	8.16%	÷1.100	×0.780	—	×1.033	5.98%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .371 → .274; ISO .240 → .162; BABIP .356 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 27 PAwOBA .235 → .194 (−40)K% 22.2% → 27.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷1.055	×1.290	—	—	27.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.990	×0.710	—	×1.048	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.054	×0.900	—	×1.048	17.05%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.906	×0.810	—	×1.048	4.46%
Triples /BIP	4.76%	÷1.031	×0.810	—	×1.048	3.92%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.952	×0.780	—	×1.048	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 81, 3B 106, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .235 → .194; ISO .111 → .090; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 26 PAwOBA .224 → .171 (−53)K% 19.2% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.23%	÷1.052	×1.220	—	—	22.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.54%	÷1.122	×0.680	—	×1.012	7.07%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.050	×0.920	—	×1.012	9.85%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.875	×0.910	—	×1.012	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷1.041	×0.800	—	×1.012	4.32%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 75, 3B 80, K 110, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .224 → .171; ISO .130 → .103; BABIP .118 → .103. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 340 PAwOBA .409 → .334 (−75)K% 18.2% → 24.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.24%	÷0.953	×1.290	—	—	24.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.53%	÷0.995	×0.710	—	×1.050	6.39%
HBP% /PA	1.47%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	1.51%
Singles /BIP	25.32%	÷1.018	×0.900	×0.987	×1.050	23.19%
Doubles /BIP	9.28%	÷1.163	×0.810	×0.987	×1.050	6.70%
Triples /BIP	1.69%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.987	×1.050	1.23%
Home runs /BIP	5.49%	÷0.933	×0.780	—	×1.050	4.82%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .409 → .334; ISO .231 → .181; BABIP .377 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 326 PAwOBA .303 → .259 (−44)K% 19.6% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.63%	÷1.034	×1.220	—	—	23.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.21%	÷0.978	×0.700	—	×1.042	3.89%
HBP% /PA	0.61%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.56%
Singles /BIP	17.08%	÷0.982	×0.920	×1.003	×1.042	16.73%
Doubles /BIP	5.83%	÷1.062	×0.840	×1.003	×1.042	4.82%
Triples /BIP	2.50%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.003	×1.042	2.14%
Home runs /BIP	4.58%	÷1.065	×0.800	—	×1.042	3.59%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .303 → .259; ISO .194 → .154; BABIP .264 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 93 PAwOBA .429 → .342 (−87)K% 22.6% → 30.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.58%	÷0.964	×1.290	—	—	30.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.15%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×1.050	1.52%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.88%	÷1.046	×0.900	×1.036	×1.050	28.89%
Doubles /BIP	13.24%	÷1.196	×0.810	×1.036	×1.050	9.75%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.036	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.88%	÷0.973	×0.780	—	×1.050	4.95%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 109, 2B 139, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .429 → .342; ISO .236 → .176; BABIP .455 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).