Courtney Hawkins
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 100 | .211/.276/.300 | 2 | 3 | 17 | — | .163/.213/.217 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA/A+2 orgs | 440 | .244/.301/.478 | 23 | 2 | 60 | — | .183/.230/.373 |
| 2020 | 26 | INTLSultanes de M… | 40 | .133/.333/.233 | 0 | 0 | 74 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 18 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 294 | 588 | 882 | 294 | 286 | 11 | 0 | 359 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 72 | 65 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 308 | 357 | 631 | 988 | 323 | 356 | 24 | 6 | 412 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | Bristol White Sox | — | 159 | 147 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 272 | 318 | 401 | 720 | 129 | 339 | 23 | 4 | 318 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 425 | 383 | 68 | 16 | 3 | 19 | 29 | 160 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 178 | 252 | 384 | 636 | 206 | 236 | 38 | 7 | 280 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 515 | 449 | 112 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 53 | 143 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 249 | 335 | 450 | 785 | 200 | 316 | 28 | 10 | 343 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 330 | 300 | 73 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 100 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 243 | 302 | 410 | 712 | 167 | 332 | 30 | 6 | 312 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 455 | 418 | 85 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 137 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 203 | 258 | 349 | 608 | 146 | 265 | 30 | 6 | 269 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 79 | 73 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 269 | 329 | 598 | 110 | 300 | 29 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 322 | 295 | 56 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 105 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 253 | 325 | 579 | 136 | 253 | 33 | 7 | 260 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 556 | 778 | 333 | 167 | 22 | 0 | 332 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 32 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 357 | 400 | 500 | 900 | 143 | 588 | 34 | 6 | 374 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 29 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 185 | 160 | 345 | 40 | 176 | 34 | 7 | 155 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 71 | 65 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 310 | 354 | 664 | 108 | 350 | 32 | 7 | 302 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 57 | 54 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 196 | 352 | 548 | 185 | 226 | 37 | 2 | 236 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 383 | 348 | 89 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 29 | 91 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 256 | 317 | 497 | 814 | 241 | 285 | 24 | 8 | 352 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 40 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 133 | 333 | 233 | 567 | 100 | 167 | 18 | 18 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 18 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 294 | 588 | 882 | 294 | 266 | 17 | 0 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 72 | 66 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 273 | 314 | 576 | 890 | 303 | 306 | 32 | 4 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | Bristol White Sox | — | 159 | 150 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 52 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 207 | 242 | 300 | 542 | 93 | 290 | 33 | 3 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 425 | 393 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 231 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 109 | 169 | 234 | 403 | 125 | 194 | 54 | 4 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 515 | 470 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 211 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 183 | 243 | 315 | 557 | 132 | 281 | 41 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 330 | 306 | 63 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 124 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 206 | 252 | 337 | 589 | 131 | 309 | 38 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 455 | 426 | 75 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 169 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 176 | 218 | 303 | 521 | 127 | 251 | 37 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 322 | 302 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 131 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 200 | 258 | 458 | 106 | 225 | 41 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 167 | 147 | 33 | 0 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 32 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 300 | 379 | 679 | 103 | 494 | 47 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 29 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 148 | 154 | 302 | 38 | 157 | 41 | 3 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 71 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 182 | 239 | 242 | 482 | 61 | 309 | 45 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 57 | 54 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 130 | 161 | 296 | 457 | 167 | 190 | 46 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 383 | 356 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 18 | 21 | 125 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 191 | 240 | 385 | 625 | 194 | 228 | 33 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 249 | 233 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 78 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 223 | 258 | 378 | 636 | 155 | 298 | 31 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 249 | 229 | 65 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 284 | 328 | 480 | 808 | 197 | 339 | 22 | 4 | 348 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 425 | 393 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 231 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 109 | 169 | 234 | 403 | 125 | 201 | 54 | 4 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 425 | 383 | 68 | 16 | 3 | 19 | 29 | 160 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 178 | 252 | 384 | 636 | 206 | 236 | 38 | 7 | 280 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 515 | 470 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 211 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 183 | 243 | 315 | 557 | 132 | 286 | 41 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 515 | 449 | 112 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 53 | 143 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 249 | 335 | 450 | 785 | 200 | 316 | 28 | 10 | 343 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 330 | 306 | 63 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 124 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 206 | 252 | 337 | 589 | 131 | 320 | 38 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 330 | 300 | 73 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 100 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 243 | 302 | 410 | 712 | 167 | 332 | 30 | 6 | 312 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 501 | 88 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 198 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 176 | 216 | 303 | 520 | 128 | 255 | 37 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 491 | 101 | 30 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 160 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 206 | 260 | 346 | 606 | 141 | 271 | 30 | 6 | 268 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 372 | 349 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 152 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 207 | 281 | 487 | 117 | 249 | 41 | 4 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 372 | 341 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 120 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 264 | 352 | 615 | 147 | 275 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 152 | 204 | 207 | 411 | 54 | 265 | 44 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 100 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 211 | 276 | 300 | 576 | 89 | 298 | 33 | 7 | 259 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 411 | 76 | 18 | 0 | 20 | 21 | 151 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 185 | 230 | 375 | 605 | 190 | 230 | 34 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 440 | 402 | 98 | 25 | 0 | 23 | 30 | 112 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 244 | 301 | 478 | 779 | 234 | 278 | 25 | 7 | 337 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | INTL MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 40 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 133 | 333 | 233 | 567 | 100 | 167 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | INTL RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 40 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 133 | 333 | 233 | 567 | 100 | 167 | 18 | 18 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 249 | 236 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 78 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 220 | 258 | 373 | 631 | 153 | 293 | 31 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 425 | 394 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 231 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 109 | 169 | 234 | 402 | 124 | 194 | 54 | 4 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 515 | 473 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 211 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 182 | 243 | 313 | 555 | 131 | 281 | 41 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 330 | 308 | 63 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 124 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 205 | 252 | 334 | 587 | 130 | 309 | 38 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 503 | 88 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 198 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 175 | 216 | 302 | 519 | 127 | 251 | 37 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 372 | 350 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 152 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 207 | 280 | 487 | 117 | 244 | 41 | 4 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 94 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 204 | 202 | 406 | 53 | 265 | 44 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 413 | 76 | 18 | 0 | 20 | 21 | 151 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 184 | 230 | 373 | 603 | 189 | 223 | 34 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3005 | 2785 | 483 | 114 | 9 | 82 | 143 | 1196 | 36 | 38 | 28 | 173 | 223 | 309 | 533 | 136 | 261 | 40 | 5 | 228 | 41 | -212 | -4 | +0 | -32 | +65 | -18.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 259 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 174 | 225 | 312 | 537 | 138 | 262 | 40 | 5 | 228 | 41 | -46 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+San Jose Giants · 383 PAwOBA .344 → .268 (−76)K% 23.8% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.76% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.31% | ÷0.936 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.29% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 15.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.17% | ÷0.973 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 6.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.17% | ÷0.947 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 7.68% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 81, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .344 → .268; ISO .241 → .199; BABIP .285 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALouisville Bats · 57 PAwOBA .229 → .174 (−55)K% 36.8% → 46.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷0.960 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.75% | ÷1.151 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 1.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 8.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.12% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 9.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 92, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .229 → .174; ISO .185 → .139; BABIP .226 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Daytona Tortugas · 71 PAwOBA .294 → .215 (−79)K% 32.4% → 44.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.39% | ÷1.035 | ×1.420 | — | — | 44.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.04% | ÷0.994 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.95% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 27.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.088 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.978 | 2.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .294 → .215; ISO .108 → .073; BABIP .350 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABirmingham Barons · 29 PAwOBA .162 → .139 (−24)K% 34.5% → 41.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.48% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.954 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 11.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 114, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .162 → .139; ISO .040 → .039; BABIP .176 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABirmingham Barons · 322 PAwOBA .253 → .203 (−51)K% 32.6% → 40.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.61% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.21% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.47% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×1.012 | 17.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×1.012 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.086 | ×0.880 | ×0.976 | ×1.012 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.77% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 117, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .253 → .203; ISO .136 → .111; BABIP .253 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AKannapolis Intimidators · 32 PAwOBA .364 → .272 (−91)K% 34.4% → 47.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.38% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 47.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.975 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 31.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.070 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 17.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.824 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .364 → .272; ISO .143 → .099; BABIP .588 → .494. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 18 PAwOBA .320 → .213 (−107)K% 22.2% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.966 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 13.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.275 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 9.96% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .320 → .213; ISO .333 → .201; BABIP .167 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 455 PAwOBA .265 → .227 (−38)K% 30.1% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.11% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.15% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.08% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 15.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.90% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.27% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .265 → .227; ISO .146 → .129; BABIP .265 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .