Jason Leblebijian
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 583 | .288/.366/.428 | 14 | 12 | 73 | — | .231/.286/.334 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 488 | .254/.322/.397 | 11 | 3 | 65 | — | .216/.268/.344 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAATOR | 324 | .220/.317/.362 | 10 | 5 | 53 | — | .182/.258/.281 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 352 | 244 | 596 | 22 | 312 | 24 | 13 | 292 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 39 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 342 | 290 | 632 | 97 | 250 | 21 | 13 | 296 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 20 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 350 | 500 | 850 | 222 | 308 | 20 | 10 | 374 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 184 | 160 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 324 | 281 | 605 | 50 | 287 | 18 | 9 | 283 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 364 | 323 | 80 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 71 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 248 | 325 | 378 | 703 | 130 | 300 | 20 | 8 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 124 | 112 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 170 | 250 | 223 | 473 | 54 | 235 | 25 | 8 | 225 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 297 | 264 | 73 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 58 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 277 | 348 | 473 | 822 | 197 | 322 | 20 | 9 | 358 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 233 | 202 | 63 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 312 | 393 | 535 | 928 | 223 | 359 | 19 | 9 | 401 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 306 | 270 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 80 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 293 | 365 | 448 | 814 | 156 | 383 | 26 | 9 | 357 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 222 | 200 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 59 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 295 | 362 | 420 | 782 | 125 | 393 | 27 | 8 | 351 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 55 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 382 | 341 | 723 | 114 | 333 | 29 | 16 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 473 | 427 | 110 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 124 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 258 | 326 | 405 | 731 | 148 | 336 | 26 | 7 | 325 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 143 | 200 | 143 | 343 | 167 | 13 | 7 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 324 | 282 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 220 | 317 | 362 | 678 | 142 | 295 | 30 | 11 | 308 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 54 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 278 | 191 | 469 | 21 | 278 | 35 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 39 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 121 | 237 | 182 | 419 | 61 | 195 | 28 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 20 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 474 | 774 | 211 | 278 | 30 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 184 | 166 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 199 | 269 | 241 | 510 | 42 | 258 | 24 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 364 | 332 | 66 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 95 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 199 | 261 | 292 | 553 | 93 | 258 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 124 | 114 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 123 | 194 | 167 | 360 | 44 | 206 | 37 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 297 | 273 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 81 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 201 | 256 | 337 | 593 | 136 | 253 | 27 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 306 | 280 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 101 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 246 | 299 | 354 | 653 | 107 | 348 | 33 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 222 | 205 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 88 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 210 | 267 | 307 | 574 | 98 | 332 | 40 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 473 | 439 | 95 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 157 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 268 | 344 | 612 | 128 | 305 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 324 | 292 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 119 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 182 | 258 | 281 | 539 | 99 | 271 | 37 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 93 | 80 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 272 | 200 | 472 | 38 | 255 | 32 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 93 | 76 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 348 | 263 | 611 | 53 | 286 | 23 | 13 | 294 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 204 | 184 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 272 | 261 | 533 | 60 | 269 | 25 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 204 | 178 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 236 | 327 | 303 | 630 | 67 | 289 | 18 | 9 | 292 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 364 | 332 | 66 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 95 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 199 | 261 | 292 | 553 | 93 | 263 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 364 | 323 | 80 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 71 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 248 | 325 | 378 | 703 | 130 | 300 | 20 | 8 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 654 | 597 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 198 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 178 | 240 | 280 | 520 | 102 | 243 | 30 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 654 | 578 | 155 | 42 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 134 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 268 | 345 | 446 | 792 | 178 | 319 | 20 | 9 | 348 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 583 | 535 | 123 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 208 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 230 | 286 | 333 | 619 | 103 | 351 | 36 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 583 | 514 | 148 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 55 | 155 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 288 | 366 | 428 | 794 | 140 | 383 | 27 | 9 | 353 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 453 | 98 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 162 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 216 | 268 | 342 | 610 | 126 | 310 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 441 | 112 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 126 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 254 | 322 | 397 | 718 | 143 | 329 | 26 | 7 | 321 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 324 | 292 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 119 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 182 | 258 | 281 | 539 | 99 | 274 | 37 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 324 | 282 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 220 | 317 | 362 | 678 | 142 | 295 | 30 | 11 | 308 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 93 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 160 | 272 | 198 | 469 | 37 | 243 | 32 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 204 | 184 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 272 | 261 | 533 | 60 | 260 | 25 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 364 | 333 | 66 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 95 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 198 | 261 | 291 | 552 | 93 | 258 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 654 | 600 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 198 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 177 | 240 | 278 | 518 | 102 | 239 | 30 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 583 | 536 | 123 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 208 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 229 | 286 | 332 | 618 | 103 | 341 | 36 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 453 | 98 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 162 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 216 | 268 | 342 | 610 | 126 | 305 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 324 | 291 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 119 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 182 | 258 | 282 | 540 | 100 | 271 | 37 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2710 | 2473 | 496 | 97 | 12 | 42 | 165 | 863 | 46 | 49 | 31 | 201 | 263 | 300 | 564 | 100 | 286 | 32 | 6 | 249 | 55 | -146 | -3 | +0 | +10 | +59 | -8.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 119 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 207 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 201 | 264 | 300 | 564 | 99 | 286 | 32 | 6 | 249 | 55 | -35 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAABuffalo Bisons · 324 PAwOBA .302 → .246 (−56)K% 30.2% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.25% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.954 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.37% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 3.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.080 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.24% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .302 → .246; ISO .142 → .107; BABIP .295 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAABuffalo Bisons · 473 PAwOBA .318 → .267 (−51)K% 26.2% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.22% | ÷0.950 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.19% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.09% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×1.018 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.018 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.018 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷0.903 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.44% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 104, 2B 88, 3B 92, K 90, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .318 → .267; ISO .148 → .130; BABIP .336 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 306 PAwOBA .354 → .284 (−69)K% 26.1% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.14% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.15% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.37% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 26.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 8.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.031 | ×0.950 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.68% | ÷1.292 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 106, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .354 → .284; ISO .156 → .109; BABIP .383 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 222 PAwOBA .341 → .250 (−91)K% 26.6% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.58% | ÷0.955 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.038 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.62% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.978 | 27.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.96% | ÷1.064 | ×0.960 | ×0.980 | ×0.978 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.980 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 4.01% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .341 → .250; ISO .125 → .097; BABIP .393 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALansing Lugnuts · 297 PAwOBA .351 → .256 (−95)K% 19.5% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.53% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷1.043 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.980 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.22% | ÷1.210 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×0.980 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×0.980 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.007 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 142, 3B 130, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .351 → .256; ISO .197 → .138; BABIP .322 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 124 PAwOBA .219 → .166 (−54)K% 25.0% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.953 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷0.974 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.28% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 15.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.063 | ×0.960 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.989 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 98, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .219 → .166; ISO .054 → .039; BABIP .235 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ALansing Lugnuts · 364 PAwOBA .309 → .246 (−63)K% 19.5% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.51% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.038 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.84% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 18.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.13% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 6.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.135 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.98% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.80% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 94, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .309 → .246; ISO .130 → .103; BABIP .300 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ALansing Lugnuts · 184 PAwOBA .279 → .228 (−51)K% 17.9% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.93% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.24% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.62% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | — | 21.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.72% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | — | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.112 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | — | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 122, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .279 → .228; ISO .050 → .041; BABIP .287 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .