Max Schrock
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | AAACIN | 138 | .289/.336/.461 | 6 | 0 | 69 | — | .237/.270/.351 | |
| 2021 | 26 | MLBCIN | 134 | .288/.331/.448 | 3 | 1 | 111 | -0.1 | ||
| 2022 | 27 | AAACIN | 73 | .304/.342/.435 | 2 | 0 | 65 | — | .243/.274/.314 | |
| 2022 | 27 | MLBCIN | 27 | .154/.185/.154 | 0 | 0 | -7 | -0.4 | ||
| 2023 | 28 | AAA/ROKSD | 159 | .288/.373/.460 | 4 | 2 | 83 | — | .243/.310/.377 | |
| 2024 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 24 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 391 | 391 | 435 | 826 | 43 | 375 | 0 | 0 | 355 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 253 | 241 | 80 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 332 | 364 | 440 | 803 | 108 | 350 | 9 | 4 | 359 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 299 | 270 | 88 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 326 | 385 | 459 | 844 | 133 | 337 | 7 | 7 | 373 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 56 | 54 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 304 | 407 | 711 | 130 | 288 | 4 | 2 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 457 | 417 | 134 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 321 | 379 | 422 | 801 | 101 | 344 | 9 | 7 | 361 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 457 | 417 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 36 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 249 | 301 | 331 | 632 | 82 | 260 | 8 | 5 | 282 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 303 | 265 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 49 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 275 | 366 | 381 | 747 | 106 | 332 | 16 | 12 | 341 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 353 | 529 | 176 | 200 | 35 | 0 | 229 | 47 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 134 | 125 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 288 | 331 | 448 | 779 | 160 | 333 | 18 | 6 | 342 | 111 | +2 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 138 | 128 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 336 | 461 | 797 | 172 | 316 | 18 | 5 | 351 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 27 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 154 | 339 | 200 | 22 | 4 | 160 | -7 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 73 | 69 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 342 | 435 | 777 | 130 | 333 | 14 | 4 | 347 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 142 | 128 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 289 | 355 | 453 | 808 | 164 | 309 | 11 | 8 | 357 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 529 | 545 | 1.075 | 273 | 400 | 29 | 29 | 477 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 178 | 168 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 294 | 393 | 687 | 137 | 302 | 20 | 5 | 303 | 91 | -2 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +4 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 24 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 391 | 391 | 435 | 826 | 43 | 347 | 0 | 0 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 253 | 244 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 303 | 328 | 393 | 722 | 90 | 331 | 11 | 2 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 299 | 277 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 296 | 341 | 404 | 746 | 108 | 310 | 9 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 457 | 426 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 54 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 258 | 307 | 350 | 657 | 92 | 282 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 457 | 423 | 99 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 48 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 234 | 277 | 310 | 586 | 76 | 243 | 11 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 303 | 276 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 64 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 228 | 297 | 319 | 616 | 91 | 288 | 21 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 353 | 529 | 176 | 200 | 35 | 0 | 238 | 47 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 134 | 126 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 323 | 444 | 768 | 159 | 333 | 18 | 5 | 332 | 111 | +2 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 138 | 131 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 270 | 351 | 621 | 115 | 278 | 23 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 27 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 154 | 339 | 200 | 22 | 4 | 158 | -7 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 73 | 70 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 274 | 314 | 588 | 71 | 286 | 18 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 142 | 131 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 298 | 366 | 664 | 122 | 266 | 13 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 412 | 462 | 873 | 231 | 295 | 41 | 18 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 632 | 597 | 181 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 61 | 8 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 338 | 402 | 740 | 99 | 325 | 10 | 4 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 632 | 588 | 192 | 37 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 44 | 8 | 23 | 6 | 327 | 369 | 446 | 815 | 119 | 340 | 7 | 5 | 362 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 457 | 426 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 54 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 258 | 307 | 350 | 657 | 92 | 281 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 457 | 417 | 134 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 321 | 379 | 422 | 801 | 101 | 344 | 9 | 7 | 361 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 457 | 423 | 99 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 48 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 234 | 277 | 310 | 586 | 76 | 251 | 11 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 457 | 417 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 36 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 249 | 301 | 331 | 632 | 82 | 260 | 8 | 5 | 282 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 303 | 276 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 64 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 228 | 297 | 319 | 616 | 91 | 290 | 21 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 303 | 265 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 49 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 275 | 366 | 381 | 747 | 106 | 332 | 16 | 12 | 341 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 353 | 529 | 176 | 200 | 35 | 0 | 238 | 47 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB RAW | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 353 | 529 | 176 | 200 | 35 | 0 | 229 | 47 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 257 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 296 | 397 | 693 | 136 | 306 | 21 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 272 | 253 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 289 | 333 | 455 | 788 | 166 | 325 | 18 | 6 | 346 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 250 | 271 | 521 | 52 | 263 | 19 | 3 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 100 | 95 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 358 | 658 | 95 | 299 | 16 | 4 | 296 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 159 | 144 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 310 | 375 | 685 | 132 | 278 | 17 | 7 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 159 | 139 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 373 | 460 | 834 | 173 | 313 | 13 | 10 | 370 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 632 | 596 | 181 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 61 | 8 | 23 | 6 | 304 | 338 | 403 | 740 | 99 | 321 | 10 | 4 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 457 | 424 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 54 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 307 | 351 | 658 | 92 | 282 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 457 | 429 | 99 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 48 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 231 | 277 | 305 | 582 | 75 | 243 | 11 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 303 | 273 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 64 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 231 | 297 | 322 | 619 | 92 | 288 | 21 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 353 | 529 | 176 | 200 | 35 | 0 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 257 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 296 | 397 | 693 | 136 | 305 | 21 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 250 | 271 | 521 | 52 | 263 | 19 | 3 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 159 | 144 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 310 | 375 | 685 | 132 | 269 | 17 | 7 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 178 | 168 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 294 | 393 | 687 | 137 | 302 | 20 | 5 | 303 | 81 | -2 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +4 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 613 | 158 | 26 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 131 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 258 | 296 | 396 | 692 | 139 | 304 | 20 | 5 | 303 | 81 | -7 | -1 | -7 | -14 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2397 | 2236 | 579 | 104 | 7 | 33 | 117 | 335 | 27 | 52 | 17 | 259 | 304 | 356 | 660 | 97 | 290 | 14 | 5 | 287 | 81 | -2 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +4 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 157 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 91 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 259 | 303 | 356 | 660 | 97 | 290 | 14 | 5 | 287 | 81 | -7 | -1 | -7 | -14 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 142 PAwOBA .350 → .286 (−64)K% 11.3% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.27% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.54% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 18.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.93% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 7.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .286; ISO .164 → .121; BABIP .309 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Padres · 17 PAwOBA .467 → .325 (−142)K% 29.4% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 17.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 25.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 13.40% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .467 → .325; ISO .273 → .219; BABIP .400 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALouisville Bats · 73 PAwOBA .337 → .264 (−74)K% 13.7% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.70% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.11% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.12% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 23.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.282 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .337 → .264; ISO .130 → .081; BABIP .333 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALouisville Bats · 138 PAwOBA .341 → .270 (−71)K% 18.1% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.12% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.099 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.21% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 23.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.88% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.76% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 90, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .341 → .270; ISO .172 → .115; BABIP .316 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 303 PAwOBA .332 → .271 (−61)K% 16.2% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.17% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.21% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 8.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷1.014 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.76% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .332 → .271; ISO .106 → .089; BABIP .332 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 457 PAwOBA .279 → .257 (−22)K% 7.9% → 10.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.88% | ÷0.975 | ×1.290 | — | — | 10.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.03% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 3.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.47% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×0.993 | ×1.048 | 19.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.957 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×1.048 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .279 → .257; ISO .082 → .073; BABIP .260 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMidland RockHounds · 457 PAwOBA .352 → .288 (−64)K% 9.2% → 11.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.19% | ÷0.939 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.44% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.53% | ÷1.142 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×1.027 | 23.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷0.987 | ×0.840 | ×0.980 | ×1.027 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×0.980 | ×1.027 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.862 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 128, 2B 97, 3B 95, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .352 → .288; ISO .101 → .091; BABIP .344 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AHagerstown Suns · 299 PAwOBA .367 → .321 (−46)K% 6.7% → 8.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.002 | ×1.340 | — | — | 8.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷0.960 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.80% | ÷0.954 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | — | 23.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.820 | ×0.981 | — | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.950 | ×0.940 | ×0.981 | — | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.245 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.05% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 91, 2B 89, 3B 90, K 100, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .367 → .321; ISO .133 → .108; BABIP .337 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).