Carlos Duran
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ALakewood Blue… | 359 | .243/.295/.317 | 2 | 12 | 45 | — | .222/.258/.288 |
| 2017 | 22 | A+/A/INTL3 orgs | 400 | .214/.281/.298 | 3 | 11 | 29 | — | .175/.227/.254 |
| 2019 | 24 | INTLBravos de Mar… | 33 | .222/.344/.259 | 0 | 0 | 77 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK | VSL Phillies | — | 164 | 142 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 204 | 289 | 275 | 564 | 70 | 257 | 21 | 9 | 256 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | VSL Phillies | — | 237 | 203 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 33 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 305 | 403 | 438 | 841 | 133 | 353 | 14 | 12 | 378 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 125 | 107 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 299 | 390 | 393 | 783 | 93 | 381 | 18 | 13 | 351 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 214 | 83 | 298 | 111 | 20 | 13 | 153 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 359 | 325 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 72 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 243 | 295 | 317 | 612 | 74 | 304 | 20 | 7 | 271 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 140 | 127 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 181 | 257 | 260 | 517 | 79 | 226 | 23 | 9 | 241 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 220 | 196 | 45 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 47 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 230 | 291 | 332 | 623 | 102 | 297 | 21 | 7 | 273 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 40 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 250 | 308 | 250 | 558 | 321 | 22 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 344 | 259 | 603 | 37 | 316 | 24 | 15 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 164 | 146 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 130 | 201 | 158 | 359 | 27 | 172 | 26 | 7 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 237 | 213 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 197 | 275 | 263 | 538 | 66 | 237 | 17 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 125 | 113 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 230 | 293 | 301 | 594 | 71 | 307 | 26 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 214 | 83 | 298 | 109 | 33 | 13 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 359 | 333 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 94 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 222 | 258 | 288 | 546 | 66 | 288 | 26 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 140 | 130 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 138 | 200 | 192 | 392 | 54 | 204 | 32 | 6 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 220 | 201 | 40 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 63 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 199 | 244 | 294 | 538 | 95 | 262 | 29 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 164 | 146 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 130 | 201 | 158 | 359 | 27 | 179 | 26 | 7 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK RAW | VSL Phillies | — | 164 | 142 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 204 | 289 | 275 | 564 | 70 | 257 | 21 | 9 | 256 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 237 | 213 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 197 | 275 | 263 | 538 | 66 | 238 | 17 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | VSL Phillies | — | 237 | 203 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 33 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 305 | 403 | 438 | 841 | 133 | 353 | 14 | 12 | 378 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 125 | 113 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 230 | 293 | 301 | 594 | 71 | 325 | 26 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 125 | 107 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 299 | 390 | 393 | 783 | 93 | 381 | 18 | 13 | 351 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 214 | 83 | 298 | 143 | 33 | 13 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 214 | 83 | 298 | 111 | 20 | 13 | 153 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 359 | 333 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 94 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 222 | 258 | 288 | 546 | 66 | 301 | 26 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 359 | 325 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 72 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 243 | 295 | 317 | 612 | 74 | 304 | 20 | 7 | 271 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 400 | 368 | 64 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 120 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 174 | 224 | 253 | 477 | 79 | 248 | 30 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 400 | 359 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 88 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 214 | 281 | 298 | 579 | 84 | 275 | 22 | 8 | 260 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 344 | 259 | 603 | 37 | 316 | 24 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 344 | 259 | 603 | 37 | 316 | 24 | 15 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 164 | 150 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 127 | 201 | 153 | 355 | 27 | 172 | 26 | 7 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 237 | 212 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 198 | 275 | 264 | 540 | 66 | 237 | 17 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 125 | 114 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 228 | 293 | 298 | 591 | 70 | 307 | 26 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 214 | 77 | 291 | 109 | 33 | 13 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 359 | 340 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 94 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 218 | 258 | 282 | 540 | 65 | 288 | 26 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 400 | 373 | 64 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 120 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 172 | 224 | 249 | 474 | 78 | 239 | 30 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1333 | 1212 | 232 | 46 | 7 | 6 | 85 | 343 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 191 | 249 | 256 | 505 | 64 | 260 | 26 | 6 | 216 | 32 | -108 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +29 | -7.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 112 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 167 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 190 | 247 | 252 | 499 | 63 | 257 | 26 | 6 | 216 | 32 | -53 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 ALakewood BlueClaws · 220 PAwOBA .266 → .219 (−47)K% 21.4% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.36% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷0.980 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.81% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.990 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.927 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×0.990 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.021 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×0.990 | 2.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.854 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.64% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 106, 2B 85, 3B 104, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .266 → .219; ISO .102 → .089; BABIP .297 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Clearwater Threshers · 140 PAwOBA .235 → .187 (−48)K% 22.9% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.89% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷0.907 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 100, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .235 → .187; ISO .079 → .064; BABIP .226 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALakewood BlueClaws · 359 PAwOBA .266 → .235 (−31)K% 20.1% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.06% | ÷1.030 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷0.995 | ×0.660 | — | — | 4.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.72% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 22.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | — | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | — | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.864 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .235; ISO .074 → .066; BABIP .304 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Clearwater Threshers · 15 PAwOBA .151 → .133 (−17)K% 20.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.940 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.918 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 11.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 10.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.960 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.117 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 93, 2B 90, 3B 97, K 88, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .151 → .133; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .109. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Phillies · 125 PAwOBA .342 → .252 (−90)K% 18.4% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.40% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 22.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 6.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .342 → .252; ISO .093 → .067; BABIP .381 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLVSL Phillies · 237 PAwOBA .367 → .248 (−119)K% 13.9% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.033 | ×0.995 | 17.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.033 | ×0.995 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.033 | ×0.995 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.83% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .367 → .248; ISO .133 → .077; BABIP .353 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 DSLVSL Phillies · 164 PAwOBA .255 → .172 (−82)K% 21.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 13.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 3.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.44% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .255 → .172; ISO .070 → .041; BABIP .257 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .