Deivy Grullón
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 177 | .195/.269/.428 | 10 | 0 | 31 | — | .150/.209/.299 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 88 | .241/.310/.456 | 3 | 0 | 68 | — | .172/.226/.328 |
| 2024 | 28 | INTLGigantes del … | 55 | .216/.259/.314 | 1 | 0 | 58 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 132 | 121 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 91 | 314 | 14 | 8 | 317 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 81 | 76 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 275 | 342 | 617 | 105 | 274 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 424 | 394 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 105 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 273 | 335 | 608 | 114 | 281 | 25 | 5 | 273 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 356 | 320 | 82 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 256 | 324 | 375 | 699 | 119 | 323 | 23 | 8 | 312 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 89 | 83 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 273 | 410 | 682 | 181 | 246 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 286 | 271 | 69 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 289 | 395 | 684 | 140 | 299 | 21 | 4 | 302 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 353 | 326 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 18 | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 315 | 515 | 830 | 242 | 296 | 23 | 5 | 355 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 17 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 59 | 41 | 6 | 41 | -86 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 457 | 407 | 115 | 24 | 0 | 21 | 45 | 133 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 357 | 496 | 853 | 214 | 367 | 29 | 10 | 374 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 38 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 211 | 316 | 526 | 105 | 269 | 29 | 0 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 159 | 143 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 272 | 441 | 713 | 245 | 240 | 37 | 9 | 311 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 333 | 44 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 63 | 56 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 323 | 500 | 823 | 250 | 355 | 37 | 10 | 354 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 25 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 280 | 348 | 628 | 130 | 312 | 28 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 55 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 314 | 573 | 98 | 357 | 42 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 132 | 125 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 265 | 296 | 561 | 72 | 271 | 20 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 81 | 77 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 250 | 312 | 562 | 91 | 268 | 21 | 2 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 424 | 402 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 142 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 227 | 286 | 514 | 97 | 270 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 356 | 329 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 234 | 284 | 343 | 628 | 109 | 314 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 89 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 250 | 357 | 607 | 143 | 250 | 26 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 286 | 274 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 85 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 257 | 347 | 604 | 117 | 307 | 30 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 353 | 331 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 97 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 286 | 423 | 709 | 169 | 301 | 27 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 457 | 418 | 98 | 18 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 159 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 295 | 421 | 716 | 187 | 321 | 35 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 159 | 147 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 209 | 299 | 508 | 150 | 212 | 44 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 63 | 58 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 226 | 328 | 553 | 155 | 290 | 43 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 132 | 125 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 265 | 296 | 561 | 72 | 276 | 20 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 132 | 121 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 91 | 314 | 14 | 8 | 317 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 81 | 77 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 250 | 312 | 562 | 91 | 271 | 21 | 2 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 81 | 76 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 275 | 342 | 617 | 105 | 274 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 424 | 402 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 142 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 227 | 286 | 514 | 97 | 273 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 424 | 394 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 105 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 273 | 335 | 608 | 114 | 281 | 25 | 5 | 273 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 356 | 329 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 234 | 284 | 343 | 628 | 109 | 324 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 356 | 320 | 82 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 256 | 324 | 375 | 699 | 119 | 323 | 23 | 8 | 312 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 358 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 108 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 255 | 349 | 605 | 123 | 295 | 29 | 3 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 375 | 354 | 88 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 249 | 285 | 398 | 683 | 150 | 287 | 21 | 5 | 301 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 348 | 88 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 102 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 284 | 422 | 706 | 170 | 308 | 28 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 342 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 19 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 303 | 491 | 794 | 231 | 285 | 24 | 5 | 340 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 457 | 418 | 98 | 18 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 159 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 295 | 421 | 716 | 187 | 322 | 35 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 457 | 407 | 115 | 24 | 0 | 21 | 45 | 133 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 357 | 496 | 853 | 214 | 367 | 29 | 10 | 374 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 38 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 211 | 316 | 526 | 105 | 269 | 29 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 38 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 211 | 316 | 526 | 105 | 269 | 29 | 0 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 163 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 200 | 276 | 476 | 135 | 210 | 44 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 177 | 159 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 269 | 428 | 696 | 233 | 250 | 38 | 8 | 303 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 88 | 81 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 241 | 358 | 599 | 173 | 293 | 43 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 88 | 79 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 310 | 456 | 766 | 215 | 340 | 34 | 9 | 333 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 55 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 314 | 573 | 98 | 357 | 42 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 55 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 314 | 573 | 98 | 357 | 42 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 132 | 124 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 265 | 298 | 564 | 73 | 271 | 20 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 81 | 78 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 250 | 308 | 558 | 90 | 268 | 21 | 2 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 424 | 401 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 142 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 287 | 514 | 97 | 270 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 356 | 330 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 233 | 284 | 342 | 627 | 109 | 314 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 358 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 108 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 255 | 349 | 605 | 123 | 293 | 29 | 3 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 352 | 88 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 102 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 284 | 418 | 701 | 168 | 301 | 28 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 457 | 418 | 98 | 18 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 159 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 295 | 421 | 716 | 187 | 321 | 35 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 163 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 200 | 276 | 476 | 135 | 212 | 44 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 88 | 82 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 241 | 354 | 595 | 171 | 290 | 43 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2553 | 2390 | 522 | 103 | 2 | 70 | 124 | 812 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 218 | 261 | 351 | 612 | 133 | 296 | 32 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -120 | -1 | -1 | +46 | +55 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 133 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 207 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 262 | 354 | 616 | 135 | 296 | 32 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -31 | -0 | -0 | +12 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 63 PAwOBA .349 → .263 (−87)K% 36.5% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.51% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 17.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.15% | ÷1.179 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 10.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.939 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 6.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .349 → .263; ISO .250 → .177; BABIP .355 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 159 PAwOBA .304 → .213 (−91)K% 37.1% → 44.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.11% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 44.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.81% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.48% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 15.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.128 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.190 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.23% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .304 → .213; ISO .245 → .144; BABIP .240 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 457 PAwOBA .366 → .312 (−54)K% 29.1% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.10% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.85% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.55% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 22.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.76% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.66% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 7.80% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 112, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .366 → .312; ISO .214 → .195; BABIP .367 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAReading Fightin Phils · 353 PAwOBA .349 → .305 (−44)K% 22.9% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.95% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.82% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.63% | ÷0.964 | ×0.970 | ×1.049 | ×1.042 | 23.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.101 | ×0.860 | ×1.049 | ×1.042 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.049 | ×1.042 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.164 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 5.99% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .349 → .305; ISO .242 → .174; BABIP .296 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Clearwater Threshers · 286 PAwOBA .295 → .265 (−30)K% 21.3% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.33% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.20% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 3.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.38% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 22.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.907 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.81% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.25% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 100, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .265; ISO .140 → .122; BABIP .299 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAReading Fightin Phils · 89 PAwOBA .293 → .251 (−42)K% 21.3% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.62% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 19.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.220 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.20% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 113, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .251; ISO .181 → .129; BABIP .246 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALakewood BlueClaws · 356 PAwOBA .308 → .270 (−38)K% 23.3% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.31% | ÷1.030 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.43% | ÷0.995 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.63% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 23.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.44% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 7.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷0.864 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .308 → .270; ISO .119 → .107; BABIP .323 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALakewood BlueClaws · 424 PAwOBA .266 → .224 (−42)K% 24.8% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.76% | ÷0.989 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.42% | ÷1.027 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.42% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.045 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷0.959 | ×0.820 | ×1.031 | ×1.045 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.043 | ×0.940 | ×1.031 | ×1.045 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.77% | ÷0.872 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 109, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .266 → .224; ISO .114 → .099; BABIP .281 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .