Wendell Rijo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 485 | .255/.353/.440 | 16 | 25 | 84 | — | .224/.290/.364 |
| 2023 | 27 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 127 | .193/.302/.248 | 0 | 1 | 40 | — | .154/.233/.179 |
| 2024 | 28 | INTLToros del Este | 33 | .286/.375/.500 | 1 | 1 | 140 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 203 | 170 | 46 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 29 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 271 | 374 | 359 | 733 | 88 | 319 | 14 | 11 | 330 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 473 | 409 | 104 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 56 | 103 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 254 | 350 | 416 | 765 | 161 | 318 | 22 | 12 | 341 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 455 | 404 | 105 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 94 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 260 | 327 | 381 | 708 | 121 | 321 | 21 | 7 | 312 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 194 | 177 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 186 | 246 | 266 | 512 | 79 | 244 | 24 | 7 | 232 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 247 | 220 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 214 | 279 | 268 | 547 | 55 | 279 | 22 | 8 | 247 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 91 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 275 | 222 | 497 | 37 | 254 | 24 | 8 | 240 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 137 | 114 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 254 | 366 | 395 | 760 | 140 | 283 | 15 | 9 | 340 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 375 | 263 | 638 | 53 | 308 | 25 | 17 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 290 | 255 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 212 | 300 | 314 | 613 | 102 | 248 | 17 | 11 | 280 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 148 | 137 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 324 | 496 | 821 | 226 | 316 | 24 | 5 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 208 | 187 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 235 | 309 | 390 | 700 | 155 | 281 | 22 | 9 | 313 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 30 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 360 | 448 | 480 | 928 | 120 | 500 | 27 | 13 | 402 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 76 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 324 | 594 | 118 | 235 | 22 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 235 | 71 | 307 | 91 | 18 | 18 | 176 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 365 | 322 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 83 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 236 | 320 | 425 | 746 | 189 | 271 | 23 | 9 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 51 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 312 | 293 | 605 | 98 | 286 | 29 | 14 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 395 | 342 | 91 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 85 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 266 | 356 | 444 | 801 | 178 | 317 | 22 | 10 | 354 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 90 | 74 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 337 | 419 | 756 | 216 | 229 | 24 | 13 | 337 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 86 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 187 | 291 | 227 | 517 | 40 | 292 | 31 | 10 | 251 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 41 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 325 | 294 | 619 | 88 | 304 | 27 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 33 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 500 | 875 | 214 | 389 | 27 | 9 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 203 | 178 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 202 | 283 | 264 | 547 | 62 | 248 | 21 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 473 | 427 | 90 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 145 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 211 | 281 | 335 | 616 | 124 | 293 | 31 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 455 | 417 | 91 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 139 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 218 | 266 | 319 | 585 | 101 | 299 | 31 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 194 | 181 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 57 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 177 | 220 | 249 | 469 | 72 | 242 | 29 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 247 | 225 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 77 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 196 | 246 | 249 | 495 | 53 | 273 | 31 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 91 | 83 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 253 | 217 | 470 | 36 | 261 | 31 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 137 | 119 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 313 | 353 | 666 | 126 | 257 | 21 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 290 | 265 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 200 | 261 | 279 | 541 | 79 | 247 | 21 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 148 | 140 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 257 | 379 | 635 | 164 | 274 | 28 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 208 | 193 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 197 | 251 | 316 | 567 | 119 | 252 | 28 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 30 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 379 | 423 | 802 | 115 | 446 | 37 | 10 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 365 | 335 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 101 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 203 | 262 | 361 | 624 | 158 | 242 | 28 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 395 | 357 | 80 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 103 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 224 | 290 | 364 | 654 | 140 | 276 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 86 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 233 | 179 | 412 | 26 | 271 | 38 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 203 | 178 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 202 | 283 | 264 | 547 | 62 | 259 | 21 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 203 | 170 | 46 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 29 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 271 | 374 | 359 | 733 | 88 | 319 | 14 | 11 | 330 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 473 | 427 | 90 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 145 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 211 | 281 | 335 | 616 | 124 | 300 | 31 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 473 | 409 | 104 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 56 | 103 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 254 | 350 | 416 | 765 | 161 | 318 | 22 | 12 | 341 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 455 | 417 | 91 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 139 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 218 | 266 | 319 | 585 | 101 | 308 | 31 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 455 | 404 | 105 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 94 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 260 | 327 | 381 | 708 | 121 | 321 | 21 | 7 | 312 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 406 | 75 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 134 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 185 | 232 | 239 | 471 | 54 | 271 | 30 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 441 | 397 | 80 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 101 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 202 | 265 | 267 | 532 | 65 | 264 | 23 | 7 | 241 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 252 | 223 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 206 | 289 | 291 | 581 | 85 | 272 | 25 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 252 | 214 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 48 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 224 | 333 | 318 | 651 | 93 | 274 | 19 | 10 | 301 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 290 | 265 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 200 | 261 | 279 | 541 | 79 | 248 | 21 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 290 | 255 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 212 | 300 | 314 | 613 | 102 | 248 | 17 | 11 | 280 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 462 | 429 | 91 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 134 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 212 | 262 | 350 | 612 | 138 | 276 | 29 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 462 | 417 | 104 | 26 | 0 | 15 | 37 | 106 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 249 | 317 | 420 | 736 | 170 | 298 | 23 | 8 | 325 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 235 | 71 | 307 | 91 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 235 | 71 | 307 | 91 | 18 | 18 | 176 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 380 | 77 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 116 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 203 | 261 | 363 | 624 | 161 | 246 | 28 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 416 | 363 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 98 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 231 | 320 | 410 | 730 | 179 | 273 | 24 | 10 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 437 | 97 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 127 | 10 | 25 | 8 | 222 | 290 | 359 | 649 | 137 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 485 | 416 | 106 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 107 | 10 | 25 | 8 | 255 | 353 | 440 | 793 | 185 | 303 | 22 | 11 | 351 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 127 | 114 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 246 | 202 | 448 | 35 | 292 | 39 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 127 | 109 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 193 | 302 | 248 | 549 | 55 | 296 | 30 | 11 | 262 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL MLE | Toros del Este | — | 33 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 500 | 875 | 214 | 389 | 27 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL RAW | Toros del Este | — | 33 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 500 | 875 | 214 | 389 | 27 | 9 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 203 | 181 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 199 | 283 | 260 | 542 | 61 | 248 | 21 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 473 | 428 | 90 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 145 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 210 | 281 | 334 | 616 | 124 | 293 | 31 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 455 | 425 | 91 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 139 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 214 | 266 | 313 | 579 | 99 | 299 | 31 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 413 | 75 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 134 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 182 | 232 | 235 | 467 | 53 | 259 | 30 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 252 | 224 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 205 | 289 | 290 | 579 | 85 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 290 | 266 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 199 | 261 | 278 | 540 | 79 | 247 | 21 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 462 | 430 | 91 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 134 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 212 | 262 | 349 | 611 | 137 | 276 | 29 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 383 | 77 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 116 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 201 | 261 | 360 | 621 | 159 | 242 | 28 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 440 | 97 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 127 | 10 | 25 | 8 | 220 | 290 | 357 | 647 | 136 | 276 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 127 | 114 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 246 | 202 | 448 | 35 | 271 | 39 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3654 | 3318 | 684 | 163 | 9 | 59 | 229 | 1021 | 53 | 108 | 46 | 206 | 268 | 314 | 582 | 108 | 277 | 28 | 6 | 251 | 56 | -191 | +3 | +0 | +13 | +79 | -9.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 122 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 182 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 207 | 269 | 314 | 582 | 107 | 279 | 28 | 6 | 251 | 56 | -34 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAReading Fightin Phils · 86 PAwOBA .245 → .200 (−45)K% 31.4% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.40% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 21.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.950 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 101, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .245 → .200; ISO .040 → .032; BABIP .292 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAReading Fightin Phils · 395 PAwOBA .347 → .282 (−65)K% 21.5% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.52% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.13% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.40% | ÷1.069 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×0.978 | 18.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.95% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×0.985 | ×0.978 | 7.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | ×0.978 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.051 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .347 → .282; ISO .178 → .144; BABIP .317 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMississippi Braves · 365 PAwOBA .322 → .268 (−54)K% 22.7% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.74% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.32% | ÷1.106 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.83% | ÷1.023 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.69% | ÷0.999 | ×0.870 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.28% | ÷0.861 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 5.62% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 100, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .322 → .268; ISO .189 → .167; BABIP .271 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATrenton Thunder · 208 PAwOBA .303 → .247 (−56)K% 22.1% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.12% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.15% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 18.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.80% | ÷1.040 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 87, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .303 → .247; ISO .155 → .121; BABIP .281 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 148 PAwOBA .350 → .283 (−67)K% 23.6% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.65% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.61% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 17.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.80% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 5.56% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 88, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .283; ISO .226 → .176; BABIP .316 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Tampa Tarpons · 30 PAwOBA .406 → .328 (−78)K% 26.7% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.989 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.055 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 9.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 29.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.954 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.988 | 17.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 114, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .406 → .328; ISO .120 → .110; BABIP .500 → .446. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AATrenton Thunder · 290 PAwOBA .270 → .245 (−25)K% 16.9% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.90% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.96% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.027 | 18.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×1.006 | ×1.027 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.944 | ×0.950 | ×1.006 | ×1.027 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 89, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .270 → .245; ISO .102 → .086; BABIP .248 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Carolina Mudcats · 137 PAwOBA .334 → .285 (−49)K% 14.6% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.60% | ÷0.990 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.49% | ÷0.973 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.11% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 4.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.21% | ÷1.004 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 19.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷1.034 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 6.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.800 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷0.959 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 3.03% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .334 → .285; ISO .140 → .124; BABIP .283 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .