Keith Curcio

PosCF

B/TL/R

Born1992-12-28

Age (2027)34

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

A+LAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	23	A+Carolina Mudc…	534	.271/.354/.389	3	24	63	—	.222/.281/.306
2017	24	AAMississippi B…	455	.219/.295/.314	4	10	37	—	.186/.239/.270
2019	26	AA/A+2 orgs	387	.273/.332/.394	3	11	47	—	.210/.251/.298

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	21	A	Rome Braves	—	24	19	6	2	0	1	0	2	3	0	1	316	409	579	988	263	312	8	0	399	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	ROK	Danville Braves	—	33	27	7	2	0	0	3	5	0	1	0	259	312	333	646	74	304	15	9	278	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	427	382	92	14	5	4	29	61	4	20	10	241	300	335	635	94	274	14	7	281	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A	Rome Braves	—	138	117	40	6	5	0	14	12	3	4	1	342	422	479	901	137	370	9	10	391	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	183	164	39	6	0	0	14	19	1	10	3	238	300	274	574	37	264	10	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	534	458	124	29	8	3	54	64	7	24	6	271	354	389	742	118	304	12	10	328	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	455	401	88	14	6	4	43	67	1	10	5	219	295	314	609	95	251	15	9	274	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	104	97	22	5	0	2	4	22	1	4	0	227	260	340	600	113	274	21	4	266	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	283	251	73	20	4	1	26	46	1	7	1	291	358	414	773	124	348	16	9	341	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	24	19	6	2	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	316	409	579	988	263	276	12	0	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	33	30	6	2	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	200	250	267	517	67	242	21	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	427	397	81	11	4	3	16	86	4	20	10	204	242	275	517	71	242	20	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	138	123	35	5	4	0	9	17	3	4	1	285	348	390	738	106	317	12	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	534	483	107	23	6	2	33	88	7	24	6	222	281	306	587	85	256	16	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	455	419	78	13	5	4	28	84	1	10	5	186	239	270	509	84	217	18	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	104	100	18	3	0	2	3	27	1	4	0	180	212	270	482	90	228	26	3	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	283	263	58	14	3	1	15	68	1	7	1	221	265	308	573	87	280	24	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	57	49	12	3	0	1	2	10	3	1	1	245	315	367	682	122	282	18	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	57	46	13	4	0	1	3	7	3	1	1	283	352	435	787	152	308	12	5	329	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	748	691	156	21	11	5	33	136	8	34	14	226	269	310	579	84	270	18	4	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	748	663	171	26	10	4	57	92	8	34	14	258	322	345	668	87	289	12	8	297	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	534	483	107	23	6	2	33	88	7	24	6	222	281	306	587	85	263	16	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	534	458	124	29	8	3	54	64	7	24	6	271	354	389	742	118	304	12	10	328	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	455	419	78	13	5	4	28	84	1	10	5	186	239	270	509	84	221	18	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	455	401	88	14	6	4	43	67	1	10	5	219	295	314	609	95	251	15	9	274	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	387	363	75	17	3	2	18	95	2	11	1	207	248	287	535	80	271	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	387	348	95	25	4	3	30	68	2	11	1	273	332	394	725	121	329	18	8	321	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	57	52	12	3	0	1	2	10	3	1	1	231	315	346	661	115	256	18	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	748	701	156	21	11	5	33	136	8	34	14	223	269	305	574	83	260	18	4	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	534	489	107	23	6	2	33	88	7	24	6	219	281	303	584	84	256	16	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	455	423	78	13	5	4	28	84	1	10	5	184	239	267	506	83	217	18	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	387	364	75	17	3	2	18	95	2	11	1	206	248	286	534	80	266	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2181	2005	428	77	25	14	114	413	21	80	27	213	263	298	561	84	258	19	5	246	53	-122	+5	+0	+8	+47	-6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	127	23	7	4	34	123	6	24	8	212	262	294	556	82	257	19	5	246	53	-36	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 A+Salem Red Sox · 283 PAwOBA .333 → .249 (−85)K% 16.3% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.25%	÷0.958	×1.420	—	—	24.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.48%	÷0.968	×0.630	—	×0.958	5.29%
HBP% /PA	0.35%	—	×0.860	—	×0.958	0.29%
Singles /BIP	23.41%	÷1.003	×0.940	×0.950	×0.958	19.98%
Doubles /BIP	9.76%	÷1.070	×0.830	×0.950	×0.958	6.89%
Triples /BIP	1.95%	÷0.972	×0.800	×0.950	×0.958	1.46%
Home runs /BIP	0.49%	÷1.080	×0.900	—	×0.958	0.39%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 101, 2B 114, 3B 94, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .333 → .249; ISO .124 → .087; BABIP .348 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 104 PAwOBA .259 → .205 (−54)K% 21.2% → 26.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.15%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	26.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.85%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×0.978	2.64%
HBP% /PA	0.96%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.80%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.016	×0.970	×0.950	×0.978	17.74%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.158	×0.860	×0.950	×0.978	4.60%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.950	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.67%	÷0.953	×0.780	—	×0.978	2.13%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .259 → .205; ISO .113 → .083; BABIP .274 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAMississippi Braves · 455 PAwOBA .268 → .223 (−44)K% 14.7% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.73%	÷0.970	×1.220	—	—	18.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.01%	÷0.989	×0.680	—	×0.998	6.18%
HBP% /PA	0.22%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.18%
Singles /BIP	19.16%	÷1.026	×0.920	×0.963	×0.998	16.51%
Doubles /BIP	4.19%	÷0.951	×0.910	×0.963	×0.998	3.85%
Triples /BIP	1.80%	÷1.146	×0.880	×0.963	×0.998	1.33%
Home runs /BIP	1.20%	÷0.925	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.03%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .268 → .223; ISO .095 → .082; BABIP .251 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Carolina Mudcats · 534 PAwOBA .322 → .261 (−62)K% 12.0% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.99%	÷1.030	×1.420	—	—	16.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.55%	÷0.970	×0.630	—	×0.988	6.13%
HBP% /PA	1.31%	—	×0.860	—	×0.988	1.11%
Singles /BIP	21.32%	÷1.018	×0.940	×0.956	×0.988	18.59%
Doubles /BIP	7.36%	÷1.004	×0.830	×0.956	×0.988	5.74%
Triples /BIP	2.03%	÷0.987	×0.800	×0.956	×0.988	1.55%
Home runs /BIP	0.76%	÷1.362	×0.900	—	×0.988	0.50%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .322 → .261; ISO .118 → .092; BABIP .304 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Carolina Mudcats · 427 PAwOBA .274 → .228 (−46)K% 14.3% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.012	×1.420	—	—	20.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.32%	÷1.042	×0.630	—	×0.998	3.82%
HBP% /PA	0.94%	—	×0.860	—	×0.998	0.80%
Singles /BIP	21.50%	÷1.014	×0.940	×0.990	×0.998	19.69%
Doubles /BIP	4.36%	÷1.083	×0.830	×0.990	×0.998	3.30%
Triples /BIP	1.56%	÷0.952	×0.800	×0.990	×0.998	1.29%
Home runs /BIP	1.25%	÷1.039	×0.900	—	×0.998	1.08%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .274 → .228; ISO .094 → .077; BABIP .274 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 ARome Braves · 138 PAwOBA .390 → .325 (−65)K% 8.7% → 12.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.70%	÷0.932	×1.340	—	—	12.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.14%	÷1.077	×0.660	—	×0.990	6.16%
HBP% /PA	2.17%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	1.66%
Singles /BIP	27.62%	÷1.026	×0.920	×0.973	×0.990	23.86%
Doubles /BIP	5.71%	÷0.915	×0.820	×0.973	×0.990	4.93%
Triples /BIP	4.76%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.973	×0.990	3.75%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.097	×0.820	—	×0.990	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 105, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 86, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .390 → .325; ISO .137 → .117; BABIP .370 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ROKDanville Braves · 33 PAwOBA .280 → .225 (−55)K% 15.2% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.15%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	21.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.975	5.67%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.740	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.73%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.975	18.61%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.740	—	×0.975	6.56%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.740	—	×0.975	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.975	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .280 → .225; ISO .074 → .058; BABIP .304 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ARome Braves · 24 PAwOBA .388 → .366 (−21)K% 8.3% → 11.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.33%	÷0.966	×1.340	—	—	11.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.972	×0.660	—	—	0.00%
HBP% /PA	12.50%	—	×0.770	—	—	9.62%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.012	×0.920	—	—	16.04%
Doubles /BIP	11.76%	÷0.965	×0.820	—	—	10.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.066	×0.940	—	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.88%	÷0.873	×0.820	—	—	5.53%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 113, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .388 → .366; ISO .263 → .265; BABIP .312 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .