Elier Hernandez

PosRF

B/TR/R

Born1994-11-21

Age (2027)32

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	28	AAA/INTL2 orgs	711	.296/.361/.470	20	13	85	—	.240/.289/.368
2024	29	AAATEX	88	.289/.386/.474	2	1	94	—	.250/.318/.412
2025	30	INTLDominican Rep…	48	.186/.271/.256	0	2	55	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 AAA

BB%72

Whiff%67

Speed67

Max EV60

Z-Con%58

Chase%56

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	17	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	250	52	10	4	0	14	66	2	2	0	208	256	280	536	72	283	25	5	243	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	289	87	15	8	3	18	62	6	9	2	301	355	439	794	138	368	19	6	347	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Lexington Legends	—	446	420	111	19	4	9	16	99	4	5	5	264	298	393	691	129	324	22	4	303	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	23	22	6	2	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	273	304	364	668	91	429	35	0	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	196	177	41	7	2	1	10	47	4	4	2	232	288	311	599	79	299	24	5	267	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Lexington Legends	—	314	290	84	19	2	5	14	73	5	6	5	290	333	421	754	131	369	23	4	331	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	500	113	28	4	2	30	120	10	8	5	226	283	310	593	84	290	22	5	268	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	70	62	21	4	0	1	4	14	2	0	3	339	397	452	849	113	417	20	6	371	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	131	124	38	7	3	4	4	35	2	1	0	306	338	508	847	202	395	27	3	367	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	81	72	15	4	0	1	7	18	1	0	0	208	287	306	593	97	259	22	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	147	129	36	8	1	0	14	37	1	0	1	279	354	357	711	78	383	25	10	319	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	381	355	102	22	1	3	14	71	6	10	8	287	325	380	706	93	347	19	4	313	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	32	28	7	3	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	250	323	357	680	107	368	28	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	428	396	97	13	2	10	25	116	4	8	5	245	296	364	660	119	321	27	6	295	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	90	77	16	2	0	0	12	17	1	4	1	208	322	234	556	26	267	19	13	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	358	329	76	14	0	16	21	107	6	3	1	231	289	419	709	188	288	30	6	313	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	64	57	13	1	0	0	6	15	1	2	1	228	312	246	558	18	310	23	9	267	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	35	33	6	2	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	182	206	242	448	61	316	43	3	197	21	-3	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.7
2022	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	351	319	95	21	6	13	24	64	6	10	2	298	358	524	882	226	336	18	7	384	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	84	75	16	5	0	1	5	18	3	2	2	213	289	320	609	107	263	21	6	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	612	554	165	36	5	18	50	126	5	9	6	298	361	478	840	181	356	21	8	370	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	99	88	25	6	0	2	9	19	1	4	0	284	357	420	778	136	338	19	9	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	88	76	22	6	1	2	11	21	1	1	3	289	386	474	860	184	377	24	12	382	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	48	43	8	3	0	0	3	14	2	2	0	186	271	256	527	70	276	29	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	35	33	6	2	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	182	206	242	448	61	316	43	3	197	19	-3	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	17	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	256	40	7	3	0	8	95	2	2	0	156	188	207	395	51	241	36	3	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	296	66	10	6	2	11	89	6	9	2	223	265	318	583	95	295	28	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	446	425	101	16	3	7	11	128	4	5	5	238	264	339	602	101	313	29	2	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	196	181	35	6	1	1	6	67	4	4	2	193	236	254	490	61	275	34	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	314	295	69	14	2	3	9	100	5	6	5	234	269	325	594	92	331	32	3	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	511	97	24	3	2	19	162	10	8	5	190	233	260	494	70	263	30	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	70	63	18	3	0	1	3	18	2	0	3	286	338	381	719	95	364	26	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	131	126	31	5	2	4	2	50	2	1	0	246	269	413	682	167	363	38	2	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	147	133	31	7	1	0	10	47	1	0	1	233	292	301	592	68	343	32	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	381	359	88	17	1	2	10	88	6	10	8	245	277	315	592	70	306	23	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	428	404	74	10	1	7	17	154	4	8	5	183	224	265	488	82	272	36	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	358	335	65	12	0	11	15	120	6	3	1	194	242	328	570	134	260	34	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	64	59	12	1	0	0	4	18	1	2	1	203	266	220	486	17	282	28	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	35	33	6	2	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	182	206	242	448	61	316	43	3	199	21	-3	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.7
2022	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	351	327	87	19	7	9	16	75	6	10	2	266	312	450	762	183	315	21	5	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	612	570	137	27	5	12	34	157	5	9	6	240	289	368	657	128	307	26	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	88	80	20	5	1	2	7	24	1	1	3	250	318	412	731	162	331	27	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	256	40	7	3	0	8	95	2	2	0	156	188	207	395	51	248	36	3	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	250	52	10	4	0	14	66	2	2	0	208	256	280	536	72	283	25	5	243	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	296	66	10	6	2	11	89	6	9	2	223	265	318	583	95	306	28	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	289	87	15	8	3	18	62	6	9	2	301	355	439	794	138	368	19	6	347	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	469	447	106	17	3	7	11	134	5	5	5	237	263	336	599	98	320	29	2	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	469	442	117	21	4	9	16	107	5	5	5	265	298	391	689	127	328	23	3	303	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	510	476	105	20	3	5	15	168	9	10	7	221	258	307	565	86	323	33	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	510	467	125	26	4	6	24	120	9	10	7	268	316	379	695	111	342	24	5	306	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	511	97	24	3	2	19	162	10	8	5	190	233	260	494	70	270	30	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	500	113	28	4	2	30	120	10	8	5	226	283	310	593	84	290	22	5	268	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	282	266	69	12	3	6	7	94	5	1	3	259	291	395	686	135	373	33	2	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	282	258	74	15	3	6	15	67	5	1	3	287	338	438	776	151	362	24	5	340	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	560	522	127	25	2	3	21	144	7	10	9	243	282	316	598	73	325	26	4	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	560	512	145	33	2	3	31	117	7	10	9	283	333	373	706	90	357	21	6	313	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	518	489	91	12	2	9	21	186	5	12	6	186	227	274	501	88	278	36	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	518	473	113	15	2	10	37	133	5	12	6	239	301	342	643	104	311	26	7	291	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	422	394	77	13	0	11	19	137	7	5	2	195	245	312	557	117	266	32	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	422	386	89	15	0	16	27	122	7	5	2	231	293	394	687	163	292	29	6	306	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	470	436	112	25	8	11	21	110	9	12	4	257	305	427	731	170	317	23	4	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	470	427	117	28	6	14	30	97	9	12	4	274	335	466	801	192	322	21	6	351	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	711	661	159	31	6	14	40	182	6	13	6	241	290	369	659	129	309	26	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	711	642	190	42	5	20	59	145	6	13	6	296	361	470	831	174	353	20	8	366	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	88	80	20	5	1	2	7	24	1	1	3	250	318	412	731	162	333	27	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	88	76	22	6	1	2	11	21	1	1	3	289	386	474	860	184	377	24	12	382	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	48	43	8	3	0	0	3	14	2	2	0	186	271	256	527	70	276	29	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	48	43	8	3	0	0	3	14	2	2	0	186	271	256	527	70	276	29	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	255	40	7	3	0	8	95	2	2	0	157	188	208	396	51	241	36	3	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	299	66	10	6	2	11	89	6	9	2	221	265	314	580	94	295	28	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	469	450	106	17	3	7	11	134	5	5	5	236	263	333	597	98	313	29	2	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	510	481	105	20	3	5	15	168	9	10	7	218	258	304	562	85	309	33	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	512	97	24	3	2	19	162	10	8	5	189	233	260	493	70	263	30	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	282	268	69	12	3	6	7	94	5	1	3	257	291	392	683	134	363	33	2	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	560	527	127	25	2	3	21	144	7	10	9	241	282	313	595	72	316	26	4	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	518	487	91	12	2	9	21	186	5	12	6	187	227	275	502	88	272	36	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	422	393	77	13	0	11	19	137	7	5	2	196	245	313	558	117	263	32	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	470	437	112	25	8	11	21	110	9	12	4	256	305	426	730	169	315	23	4	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	711	659	159	31	6	14	40	182	6	13	6	241	290	370	660	129	307	26	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	88	80	20	5	1	2	7	24	1	1	3	250	318	412	731	162	331	27	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	29	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	88	80	20	5	1	2	7	24	1	1	3	250	318	412	731	162	331	27	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	35	33	6	2	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	182	206	242	448	61	316	43	3	197	56	-3	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	613	111	37	0	0	19	279	0	0	0	181	206	241	447	60	314	43	3	197	56	-62	+0	+7	-94	+14	-13.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5210	4877	1077	204	40	72	203	1539	74	90	52	221	263	323	586	103	304	30	4	251	56	-3	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	608	134	25	5	9	25	192	9	11	6	220	261	322	584	102	303	30	4	251	56	-62	+0	+7	-94	+14	-13.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAARound Rock Express · 88 PAwOBA .373 → .307 (−66)K% 23.9% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.86%	÷1.069	×1.200	—	—	26.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.040	×0.690	—	×0.972	8.06%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.04%
Singles /BIP	23.64%	÷0.989	×0.930	×1.006	×0.972	21.73%
Doubles /BIP	10.91%	÷0.987	×0.830	×1.006	×0.972	8.97%
Triples /BIP	1.82%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.006	×0.972	1.50%
Home runs /BIP	3.64%	÷0.928	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.67%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 114, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .373 → .307; ISO .184 → .148; BABIP .377 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAARound Rock Express · 612 PAwOBA .361 → .285 (−76)K% 20.6% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.59%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	25.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.17%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.58%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.75%
Singles /BIP	24.77%	÷0.993	×0.930	×0.984	×0.982	22.43%
Doubles /BIP	8.41%	÷1.044	×0.830	×0.984	×0.982	6.47%
Triples /BIP	1.17%	÷0.918	×0.970	×0.984	×0.982	1.19%
Home runs /BIP	4.21%	÷1.035	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.79%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .361 → .285; ISO .181 → .130; BABIP .356 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARound Rock Express · 351 PAwOBA .375 → .325 (−50)K% 18.2% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.23%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	21.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.84%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.70%
HBP% /PA	1.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.59%
Singles /BIP	21.57%	÷0.986	×0.930	×1.021	×0.992	20.59%
Doubles /BIP	8.24%	÷0.938	×0.830	×1.021	×0.992	7.38%
Triples /BIP	2.35%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.021	×0.992	2.57%
Home runs /BIP	5.10%	÷0.957	×0.700	—	×0.992	3.70%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .375 → .325; ISO .226 → .187; BABIP .336 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAARound Rock Express · 358 PAwOBA .306 → .251 (−54)K% 29.9% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.89%	÷1.072	×1.200	—	—	33.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.87%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.16%
HBP% /PA	1.68%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.58%
Singles /BIP	20.72%	÷0.999	×0.930	×0.990	×1.003	19.16%
Doubles /BIP	6.31%	÷0.915	×0.830	×0.990	×1.003	5.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.990	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.21%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×1.003	5.28%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .306 → .251; ISO .188 → .142; BABIP .288 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 64 PAwOBA .260 → .217 (−43)K% 23.4% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.44%	÷1.044	×1.220	—	—	27.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.38%	÷1.098	×0.690	—	×0.978	5.76%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	1.30%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.006	×0.940	—	×0.978	26.12%
Doubles /BIP	2.38%	÷0.957	×0.870	—	×0.978	2.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.995	×0.920	—	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.114	×0.780	—	×0.978	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .260 → .217; ISO .018 → .016; BABIP .310 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 428 PAwOBA .288 → .216 (−71)K% 27.1% → 36.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.10%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	36.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.84%	÷1.065	×0.710	—	×1.033	4.02%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.95%
Singles /BIP	25.71%	÷1.024	×0.900	×0.950	×1.033	22.18%
Doubles /BIP	4.64%	÷0.973	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	3.79%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.038	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷1.023	×0.780	—	×1.033	2.81%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .288 → .216; ISO .119 → .085; BABIP .321 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 381 PAwOBA .307 → .258 (−50)K% 18.6% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.64%	÷0.979	×1.220	—	—	23.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.67%	÷1.049	×0.700	—	×1.012	2.48%
HBP% /PA	1.57%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	1.39%
Singles /BIP	26.76%	÷1.046	×0.920	×1.023	×1.012	24.36%
Doubles /BIP	7.75%	÷1.113	×0.840	×1.023	×1.012	6.05%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷0.956	×0.940	×1.023	×1.012	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	1.06%	÷1.008	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.85%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 109, 2B 123, 3B 91, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .307 → .258; ISO .093 → .073; BABIP .347 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 147 PAwOBA .315 → .263 (−52)K% 25.2% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.17%	÷1.007	×1.290	—	—	32.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷1.018	×0.710	—	×1.048	6.96%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.70%
Singles /BIP	29.35%	÷1.020	×0.900	×0.973	×1.048	26.42%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷0.936	×0.810	×0.973	×1.048	7.67%
Triples /BIP	1.09%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.973	×1.048	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.101	×0.780	—	×1.048	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .315 → .263; ISO .078 → .066; BABIP .383 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .