Adam Brett Walker
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 24 | AAAWSH | 531 | .243/.309/.479 | 27 | 7 | 71 | — | .200/.250/.389 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 317 | .190/.240/.401 | 15 | 3 | 28 | — | .153/.189/.310 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAWSH | 145 | .200/.329/.383 | 4 | 1 | 48 | — | .156/.245/.297 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 20 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 254 | 232 | 58 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 76 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 307 | 496 | 803 | 246 | 310 | 30 | 7 | 348 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 553 | 508 | 141 | 31 | 7 | 27 | 31 | 115 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 278 | 324 | 526 | 849 | 248 | 304 | 21 | 6 | 363 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 555 | 505 | 124 | 19 | 1 | 25 | 44 | 156 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 246 | 308 | 436 | 744 | 190 | 303 | 28 | 8 | 327 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 560 | 502 | 120 | 31 | 3 | 31 | 51 | 195 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 239 | 312 | 498 | 810 | 259 | 317 | 35 | 9 | 350 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 86 | 75 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 329 | 493 | 823 | 253 | 361 | 41 | 9 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 531 | 478 | 116 | 22 | 5 | 27 | 44 | 202 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 243 | 309 | 479 | 788 | 236 | 348 | 38 | 8 | 340 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 213 | 198 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 76 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 152 | 204 | 283 | 487 | 131 | 210 | 36 | 5 | 217 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 104 | 96 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 314 | 646 | 960 | 375 | 308 | 35 | 6 | 401 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 145 | 120 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 329 | 383 | 712 | 183 | 299 | 35 | 15 | 319 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 254 | 241 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 108 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 166 | 209 | 320 | 528 | 154 | 249 | 43 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 553 | 522 | 119 | 25 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 164 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 228 | 259 | 402 | 661 | 174 | 280 | 30 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 555 | 518 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 221 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 187 | 237 | 332 | 569 | 145 | 273 | 40 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 560 | 520 | 94 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 241 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 181 | 232 | 348 | 581 | 167 | 278 | 43 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 531 | 491 | 98 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 241 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 200 | 250 | 389 | 639 | 189 | 308 | 45 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 213 | 201 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 93 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 124 | 166 | 229 | 395 | 104 | 187 | 44 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 104 | 99 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 235 | 475 | 710 | 263 | 267 | 43 | 3 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 145 | 128 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 245 | 297 | 542 | 141 | 251 | 43 | 10 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 254 | 241 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 108 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 166 | 209 | 320 | 528 | 154 | 250 | 43 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 254 | 232 | 58 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 76 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 307 | 496 | 803 | 246 | 310 | 30 | 7 | 348 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 553 | 522 | 119 | 25 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 164 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 228 | 259 | 402 | 661 | 174 | 289 | 30 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 553 | 508 | 141 | 31 | 7 | 27 | 31 | 115 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 278 | 324 | 526 | 849 | 248 | 304 | 21 | 6 | 363 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 555 | 518 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 221 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 187 | 237 | 332 | 569 | 145 | 278 | 40 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 555 | 505 | 124 | 19 | 1 | 25 | 44 | 156 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 246 | 308 | 436 | 744 | 190 | 303 | 28 | 8 | 327 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 598 | 109 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 278 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 182 | 236 | 353 | 589 | 171 | 286 | 43 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 646 | 577 | 138 | 33 | 4 | 36 | 59 | 230 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 239 | 314 | 497 | 811 | 258 | 322 | 36 | 9 | 351 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 531 | 491 | 98 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 241 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 200 | 250 | 389 | 639 | 189 | 321 | 45 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 531 | 478 | 116 | 22 | 5 | 27 | 44 | 202 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 243 | 309 | 479 | 788 | 236 | 348 | 38 | 8 | 340 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 300 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 150 | 185 | 303 | 489 | 153 | 219 | 44 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 317 | 294 | 56 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 17 | 112 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 240 | 401 | 641 | 211 | 240 | 35 | 5 | 278 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 145 | 128 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 245 | 297 | 542 | 141 | 266 | 43 | 10 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 145 | 120 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 329 | 383 | 712 | 183 | 299 | 35 | 15 | 319 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 254 | 239 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 108 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 167 | 209 | 322 | 531 | 155 | 249 | 43 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 553 | 526 | 119 | 25 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 164 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 226 | 259 | 399 | 658 | 173 | 280 | 30 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 555 | 516 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 221 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 188 | 237 | 333 | 571 | 145 | 273 | 40 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 599 | 109 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 278 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 182 | 236 | 352 | 588 | 170 | 278 | 43 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 531 | 493 | 98 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 241 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 199 | 250 | 387 | 637 | 189 | 308 | 45 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 301 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 150 | 185 | 302 | 488 | 153 | 213 | 44 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 145 | 129 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 245 | 295 | 539 | 140 | 251 | 43 | 10 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3001 | 2798 | 528 | 105 | 21 | 105 | 156 | 1213 | 16 | 48 | 14 | 189 | 236 | 354 | 590 | 165 | 280 | 40 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -152 | +4 | +0 | -32 | +65 | -11.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 115 | 23 | 5 | 23 | 34 | 263 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 190 | 236 | 358 | 594 | 168 | 281 | 40 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -33 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAHarrisburg Senators · 145 PAwOBA .315 → .239 (−76)K% 35.2% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.17% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.17% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 10.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 15.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.012 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.070 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.78% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 114, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .315 → .239; ISO .183 → .144; BABIP .299 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALouisville Bats · 213 PAwOBA .213 → .167 (−47)K% 35.7% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.68% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.16% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.30% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 11.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.113 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.042 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 108, 2B 110, 3B 123, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .213 → .167; ISO .131 → .099; BABIP .210 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABowie Baysox · 104 PAwOBA .394 → .298 (−96)K% 34.6% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.62% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.81% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 16.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 8.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 12.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 103, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .394 → .298; ISO .375 → .270; BABIP .308 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 531 PAwOBA .334 → .273 (−61)K% 38.0% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.04% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.46% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×0.961 | ×1.033 | 21.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.97% | ÷1.224 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×1.033 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.81% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.961 | ×1.033 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.78% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 8.92% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .334 → .273; ISO .236 → .192; BABIP .348 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 560 PAwOBA .343 → .251 (−93)K% 34.8% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.82% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷1.059 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.92% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 16.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.10% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 9.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.020 | ×0.880 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.10% | ÷1.232 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.64% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 104, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .343 → .251; ISO .259 → .173; BABIP .317 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 555 PAwOBA .320 → .247 (−73)K% 28.1% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.11% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.93% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.64% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.44% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.16% | ÷0.995 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 86, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .320 → .247; ISO .190 → .147; BABIP .303 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 553 PAwOBA .356 → .281 (−75)K% 20.8% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.80% | ÷0.954 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.06% | ÷1.074 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.34% | ÷0.928 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 19.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.78% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.132 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 86, 2B 94, 3B 105, K 91, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .356 → .281; ISO .248 → .177; BABIP .304 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKElizabethton Twins · 254 PAwOBA .338 → .229 (−109)K% 29.9% → 42.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.985 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.985 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.022 | ×0.985 | 17.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.022 | ×0.985 | 3.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.022 | ×0.985 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.985 | 7.07% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .338 → .229; ISO .246 → .163; BABIP .310 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .