Kevin Plawecki

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1991-02-26

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	31	MLBTEX	186	.220/.288/.286	1	0	64	-0.1
2023	32	AAATEX	269	.272/.351/.389	4	0	65	—	.230/.287/.319
2024	33	AAASD	299	.260/.342/.443	11	0	61	—	.208/.264/.328
2025	34	No MLB games played
2026	35	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

xwOBA46

Avg EV41

Barrel%11

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	22	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	239	204	60	14	0	2	19	21	14	0	0	294	392	392	785	98	319	9	8	358	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A	Savannah Sand Gnats	—	282	245	77	24	1	6	23	32	10	1	0	314	396	494	890	180	336	11	8	390	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	170	152	43	6	0	5	14	21	1	0	0	283	347	421	768	138	299	12	8	339	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	249	224	73	18	0	6	16	27	5	0	0	326	384	487	870	161	344	11	6	381	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB	New York Mets	—	258	233	51	9	0	3	17	60	4	0	0	219	283	296	580	77	277	23	7	263	61	-12	+0	+16	+6	+6	1.6
2015	24	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	90	85	19	5	1	1	3	12	2	0	0	224	267	341	608	118	250	13	3	273	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB	New York Mets	—	151	132	26	6	0	1	17	33	2	0	0	197	298	265	563	68	255	22	11	267	65	-6	+0	+7	+6	+3	1.1
2016	25	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	207	190	57	11	0	8	13	19	2	0	1	300	351	484	835	184	297	9	6	366	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	118	100	26	5	0	3	14	17	3	1	0	260	368	400	768	140	284	14	12	347	118	+2	+0	-4	+7	+3	0.9
2017	26	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	275	247	81	17	1	9	16	38	6	0	0	328	383	514	897	186	350	14	6	388	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	MLB	New York Mets	—	277	238	50	13	2	7	28	65	9	0	1	210	316	370	686	160	257	23	10	310	97	-1	-0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2018	27	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	15	13	3	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	222	20	13	352	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	174	158	35	10	0	3	12	31	3	0	1	222	289	342	631	120	256	18	7	285	78	-5	-0	+8	+3	+4	1.0
2020	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	89	82	28	5	1	1	5	14	2	1	0	341	393	463	857	122	403	16	6	383	139	+4	+0	-2	+2	+2	0.6
2021	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	173	157	45	7	0	3	12	26	3	0	0	287	349	389	737	102	328	15	7	332	106	+1	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.7
2022	31	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	186	168	37	8	0	1	14	32	2	0	0	220	288	286	574	65	265	17	8	263	64	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
2023	32	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	269	239	65	14	1	4	26	47	3	0	0	272	351	389	740	117	323	17	10	334	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	299	262	68	15	0	11	32	43	1	0	0	260	342	443	785	183	271	14	11	345	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1426	1268	298	63	3	22	119	278	28	2	2	235	314	341	656	106	283	19	8	298	88	-20	-0	+24	+36	+31	7.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	22	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	239	208	53	14	0	1	15	31	14	0	0	255	346	337	683	82	288	13	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A MLE	Savannah Sand Gnats	—	282	254	68	20	1	6	14	43	10	1	0	268	331	425	756	157	291	15	5	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	170	157	41	5	0	4	9	29	1	0	0	261	305	369	675	108	288	17	5	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	249	229	72	16	0	5	11	33	5	0	0	314	359	450	809	135	336	13	4	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	258	237	53	10	0	3	13	60	4	0	0	224	276	304	579	80	277	23	5	259	61	-12	+0	+16	+6	+6	1.6
2015	24	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	90	86	17	4	1	1	2	16	2	0	0	198	233	302	536	105	232	18	2	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	151	134	26	6	0	1	15	33	2	0	0	194	285	261	546	67	255	22	10	264	65	-6	+0	+7	+6	+3	1.1
2016	25	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	207	193	50	8	0	6	10	25	2	0	1	259	302	394	696	135	270	12	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	118	102	26	5	0	3	12	17	3	1	0	255	350	392	743	137	284	14	10	342	118	+2	+0	-4	+7	+3	0.9
2017	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	275	252	69	14	1	6	11	52	6	0	0	274	320	409	728	135	301	19	4	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	277	240	52	14	2	7	26	65	9	0	1	217	316	379	696	162	257	23	9	312	97	-1	-0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2018	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	15	14	3	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	429	695	214	197	27	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	174	158	35	10	0	3	12	31	3	0	1	222	289	342	631	120	256	18	7	284	78	-5	-0	+8	+3	+4	1.0
2020	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	89	82	27	4	1	1	5	14	2	1	0	329	382	439	821	110	403	16	6	374	139	+4	+0	-2	+2	+2	0.6
2021	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	173	157	43	6	0	3	12	26	3	0	0	274	337	369	707	96	328	15	7	325	106	+1	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.7
2022	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	186	168	37	8	0	1	14	32	2	0	0	220	288	286	574	65	265	17	8	263	64	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
2023	32	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	269	248	57	11	1	3	17	58	3	0	0	230	287	319	606	89	285	22	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	299	274	57	12	0	7	20	54	1	0	0	208	264	328	593	120	228	18	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	521	461	122	34	1	8	30	74	24	1	0	265	342	395	737	130	297	14	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	521	449	137	38	1	8	42	53	24	1	0	305	394	448	842	143	328	10	8	375	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	419	386	113	21	0	9	20	61	6	0	0	293	337	417	754	124	324	15	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	419	376	116	24	0	11	30	48	6	0	0	309	369	460	829	152	326	11	7	364	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	348	323	70	14	1	4	15	76	6	0	0	217	265	303	568	87	268	22	4	251	56	-18	+0	+16	+6	+8	1.1
2015	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	348	318	70	14	1	4	20	72	6	0	0	220	279	308	587	88	269	21	6	266	56	-18	+0	+16	+6	+8	1.1
2016	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	358	327	78	15	0	7	25	58	4	0	1	239	301	349	649	110	269	16	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	358	322	83	17	0	9	30	52	4	0	1	258	329	394	723	137	281	15	8	324	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	393	354	95	19	1	9	23	69	9	1	0	268	329	404	733	136	304	18	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	393	347	107	22	1	12	30	55	9	1	0	308	378	481	860	173	331	14	8	375	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	292	254	54	14	2	8	27	69	9	0	1	213	310	378	688	165	258	24	9	310	96	-1	-0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2018	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	292	251	53	13	2	8	30	68	9	0	1	211	317	375	692	163	256	23	10	313	96	-1	-0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2019	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	174	158	35	10	0	3	12	31	3	0	1	222	289	342	631	120	256	18	7	284	78	-5	-0	+8	+3	+4	1.0
2019	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	174	158	35	10	0	3	12	31	3	0	1	222	289	342	631	120	256	18	7	285	78	-5	-0	+8	+3	+4	1.0
2020	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	89	82	27	4	1	1	5	14	2	1	0	329	382	439	821	110	388	16	6	374	139	+4	+0	-2	+2	+2	0.6
2020	29	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	89	82	28	5	1	1	5	14	2	1	0	341	393	463	857	122	403	16	6	383	139	+4	+0	-2	+2	+2	0.6
2021	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	173	157	43	6	0	3	12	26	3	0	0	274	337	369	707	96	312	15	7	325	106	+1	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.7
2021	30	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	173	157	45	7	0	3	12	26	3	0	0	287	349	389	737	102	328	15	7	332	106	+1	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.7
2022	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	186	168	37	8	0	1	14	32	2	0	0	220	288	286	574	65	265	17	8	263	64	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
2022	31	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	186	168	37	8	0	1	14	32	2	0	0	220	288	286	574	65	265	17	8	263	64	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
2023	32	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	269	248	57	11	1	3	17	58	3	0	0	230	287	319	606	89	287	22	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	269	239	65	14	1	4	26	47	3	0	0	272	351	389	740	117	323	17	10	334	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	299	274	57	12	0	7	20	54	1	0	0	208	264	328	593	120	233	18	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	299	262	68	15	0	11	32	43	1	0	0	260	342	443	785	183	271	14	11	345	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	521	462	122	34	1	8	30	74	24	1	0	264	342	394	736	130	290	14	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	419	390	113	21	0	9	20	61	6	0	0	290	337	413	750	123	317	15	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	348	324	70	14	1	4	15	76	6	0	0	216	265	302	567	86	266	22	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	358	326	78	15	0	7	25	58	4	0	1	239	301	350	650	110	264	16	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	393	358	95	19	1	9	23	69	9	1	0	265	329	399	728	134	296	18	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	292	254	54	14	2	8	27	69	9	0	1	213	310	378	688	165	254	24	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	174	157	35	10	0	3	12	31	3	0	1	223	289	344	633	121	256	18	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	89	82	27	4	1	1	5	14	2	1	0	329	382	439	821	110	403	16	6	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	173	156	43	6	0	3	12	26	3	0	0	276	337	372	709	96	328	15	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	186	168	37	8	0	1	14	32	2	0	0	220	288	286	574	65	265	17	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	269	247	57	11	1	3	17	58	3	0	0	231	287	320	607	89	285	22	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	299	276	57	12	0	7	20	54	1	0	0	207	264	326	590	120	228	18	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	299	276	57	12	0	7	20	54	1	0	0	207	264	326	590	120	228	18	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1426	1268	298	63	3	22	119	278	28	2	2	235	314	341	656	106	283	19	8	298	87	-20	-0	+24	+36	+31	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	136	29	1	10	54	127	13	1	1	235	315	341	656	106	284	20	8	298	87	-9	-0	+11	+16	+14	3.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3521	3192	788	168	7	63	220	622	72	3	3	247	310	363	673	116	286	18	6	297	87	-20	-0	+24	+36	+31	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	146	31	1	12	41	115	13	1	1	248	311	365	676	117	287	18	6	297	87	-9	-0	+11	+16	+14	3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 299 PAwOBA .338 → .259 (−80)K% 14.4% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.38%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	17.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.70%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×0.942	6.78%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.30%
Singles /BIP	19.18%	÷1.025	×0.930	×1.040	×0.942	17.05%
Doubles /BIP	6.85%	÷1.053	×0.830	×1.040	×0.942	5.29%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.996	×0.970	×1.040	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.02%	÷1.078	×0.700	—	×0.942	3.07%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 99, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .338 → .259; ISO .183 → .124; BABIP .271 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAARound Rock Express · 269 PAwOBA .327 → .265 (−62)K% 17.5% → 21.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.47%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	21.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.67%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×0.952	6.40%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.00%
Singles /BIP	23.96%	÷0.993	×0.930	×1.030	×0.952	22.01%
Doubles /BIP	7.29%	÷1.044	×0.830	×1.030	×0.952	5.69%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷0.918	×0.970	×1.030	×0.952	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷1.035	×0.700	—	×0.952	1.34%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .327 → .265; ISO .117 → .086; BABIP .323 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALas Vegas 51s · 15 PAwOBA .343 → .267 (−76)K% 20.0% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.986	×1.290	—	—	26.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.039	×0.710	—	×1.003	9.14%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.992	×0.900	—	×1.003	18.21%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.918	×0.810	—	×1.003	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.959	×0.810	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.00%	÷1.009	×0.780	—	×1.003	7.76%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 92, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .343 → .267; ISO .231 → .174; BABIP .222 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAALas Vegas 51s · 275 PAwOBA .385 → .312 (−73)K% 13.8% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.82%	÷0.948	×1.290	—	—	18.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.82%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×1.018	4.14%
HBP% /PA	2.18%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	2.18%
Singles /BIP	25.84%	÷0.994	×0.900	×0.976	×1.018	23.25%
Doubles /BIP	8.13%	÷0.998	×0.810	×0.976	×1.018	6.56%
Triples /BIP	0.48%	÷1.111	×0.810	×0.976	×1.018	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	4.31%	÷1.209	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.83%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 122, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .385 → .312; ISO .186 → .131; BABIP .350 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAALas Vegas 51s · 207 PAwOBA .359 → .305 (−54)K% 9.2% → 12.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.18%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	12.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.28%	÷0.962	×0.710	—	×1.033	4.79%
HBP% /PA	0.97%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.98%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.994	×0.900	×1.033	×1.033	21.47%
Doubles /BIP	6.43%	÷1.128	×0.810	×1.033	×1.033	4.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.980	×0.810	×1.033	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.68%	÷1.088	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.46%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 126, 3B 96, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .359 → .305; ISO .184 → .137; BABIP .297 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 90 PAwOBA .265 → .228 (−37)K% 13.3% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷0.977	×1.290	—	—	17.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.33%	÷1.010	×0.710	—	×1.048	2.45%
HBP% /PA	2.22%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	2.28%
Singles /BIP	16.44%	÷0.983	×0.900	×1.024	×1.048	16.15%
Doubles /BIP	6.85%	÷1.042	×0.810	×1.024	×1.048	5.71%
Triples /BIP	1.37%	÷1.061	×0.810	×1.024	×1.048	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	1.37%	÷1.099	×0.780	—	×1.048	1.02%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .265 → .228; ISO .118 → .091; BABIP .250 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AABinghamton Mets · 249 PAwOBA .376 → .349 (−28)K% 10.8% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.84%	÷1.011	×1.220	—	—	13.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.43%	÷1.032	×0.700	—	×1.027	4.47%
HBP% /PA	2.01%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.75%
Singles /BIP	24.87%	÷0.990	×0.970	×1.022	×1.027	25.59%
Doubles /BIP	9.14%	÷1.050	×0.860	×1.022	×1.027	7.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.036	×0.950	×1.022	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.05%	÷1.009	×0.780	—	×1.027	2.42%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .376 → .349; ISO .161 → .136; BABIP .344 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALas Vegas 51s · 170 PAwOBA .329 → .299 (−31)K% 12.4% → 16.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.35%	÷0.945	×1.290	—	—	16.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.65%	÷1.060	×0.710	—	×1.050	5.38%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.61%
Singles /BIP	24.43%	÷0.991	×0.900	×1.040	×1.050	24.23%
Doubles /BIP	4.58%	÷1.057	×0.810	×1.040	×1.050	3.83%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.040	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.82%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×1.050	3.38%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .329 → .299; ISO .138 → .121; BABIP .299 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).