Micah Johnson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAAOklahoma City… | 516 | .261/.321/.356 | 5 | 26 | 55 | — | .226/.270/.301 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAAGwinnett Brav… | 155 | .289/.377/.400 | 1 | 6 | 89 | — | .255/.318/.355 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAATB | 254 | .198/.249/.345 | 5 | 3 | 28 | — | .164/.201/.282 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 318 | 271 | 74 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 74 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 375 | 391 | 766 | 118 | 363 | 23 | 14 | 345 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 238 | 238 | 476 | 278 | 18 | 0 | 206 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 228 | 211 | 58 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 275 | 311 | 360 | 671 | 85 | 310 | 12 | 4 | 293 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 351 | 304 | 104 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 40 | 67 | 3 | 61 | 19 | 342 | 424 | 530 | 953 | 187 | 422 | 19 | 11 | 415 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 29 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 320 | 393 | 520 | 913 | 200 | 381 | 17 | 10 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 302 | 273 | 75 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 275 | 317 | 370 | 687 | 95 | 315 | 14 | 5 | 296 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 170 | 146 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 27 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 329 | 417 | 466 | 882 | 137 | 385 | 16 | 12 | 391 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 114 | 100 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 230 | 304 | 270 | 574 | 40 | 329 | 26 | 8 | 264 | 64 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 353 | 311 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 63 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 315 | 377 | 466 | 843 | 151 | 369 | 18 | 9 | 365 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 17 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 412 | 467 | 878 | 133 | 385 | 12 | 12 | 393 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 516 | 464 | 121 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 105 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 261 | 321 | 356 | 677 | 95 | 327 | 20 | 8 | 301 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 155 | 135 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 38 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 289 | 377 | 400 | 777 | 111 | 396 | 25 | 12 | 349 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 254 | 232 | 46 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 74 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 198 | 249 | 345 | 594 | 147 | 268 | 29 | 6 | 259 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 114 | 100 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 230 | 304 | 270 | 574 | 40 | 329 | 26 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 318 | 289 | 57 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 107 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 197 | 263 | 273 | 537 | 76 | 295 | 34 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 238 | 238 | 476 | 265 | 23 | 0 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 228 | 215 | 53 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 247 | 270 | 316 | 587 | 70 | 283 | 17 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 351 | 317 | 98 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 88 | 3 | 61 | 19 | 309 | 369 | 473 | 842 | 164 | 398 | 25 | 8 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 302 | 278 | 81 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 291 | 321 | 392 | 713 | 101 | 330 | 17 | 4 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 170 | 153 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 314 | 375 | 451 | 826 | 137 | 375 | 21 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 114 | 101 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 228 | 304 | 267 | 571 | 40 | 329 | 26 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 353 | 322 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 78 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 304 | 351 | 419 | 770 | 115 | 368 | 22 | 7 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 62 | 283 | 18 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 516 | 478 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 139 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 226 | 270 | 301 | 571 | 75 | 303 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 155 | 141 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 255 | 318 | 355 | 673 | 99 | 378 | 30 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 254 | 238 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 164 | 201 | 282 | 482 | 118 | 233 | 34 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 318 | 289 | 57 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 107 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 197 | 263 | 273 | 537 | 76 | 302 | 34 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 318 | 271 | 74 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 74 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 375 | 391 | 766 | 118 | 363 | 23 | 14 | 345 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 630 | 579 | 161 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 35 | 138 | 4 | 87 | 27 | 278 | 324 | 394 | 717 | 116 | 353 | 22 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 630 | 561 | 175 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 53 | 103 | 4 | 87 | 27 | 312 | 375 | 455 | 830 | 143 | 369 | 16 | 8 | 362 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 431 | 127 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 86 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 295 | 336 | 399 | 735 | 104 | 357 | 18 | 5 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 472 | 419 | 123 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 69 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 294 | 354 | 403 | 757 | 110 | 338 | 15 | 8 | 330 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 484 | 439 | 124 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 111 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 282 | 335 | 378 | 714 | 96 | 364 | 23 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 484 | 426 | 126 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 95 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 296 | 361 | 420 | 781 | 124 | 361 | 20 | 9 | 342 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 516 | 478 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 139 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 226 | 270 | 301 | 571 | 75 | 310 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 516 | 464 | 121 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 105 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 261 | 321 | 356 | 677 | 95 | 327 | 20 | 8 | 301 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 155 | 141 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 255 | 318 | 355 | 673 | 99 | 372 | 30 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 155 | 135 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 38 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 289 | 377 | 400 | 777 | 111 | 396 | 25 | 12 | 349 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 254 | 238 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 164 | 201 | 282 | 482 | 118 | 236 | 34 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | — | 254 | 232 | 46 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 74 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 198 | 249 | 345 | 594 | 147 | 268 | 29 | 6 | 259 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 318 | 289 | 57 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 107 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 197 | 263 | 273 | 537 | 76 | 295 | 34 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 630 | 586 | 161 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 35 | 138 | 4 | 87 | 27 | 275 | 324 | 389 | 713 | 114 | 350 | 22 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 442 | 127 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 86 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 287 | 336 | 389 | 725 | 102 | 346 | 18 | 5 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 484 | 446 | 124 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 111 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 278 | 335 | 372 | 708 | 94 | 356 | 23 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 516 | 482 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 139 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 224 | 270 | 299 | 569 | 75 | 303 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 155 | 141 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 255 | 318 | 355 | 673 | 99 | 378 | 30 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 254 | 241 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 162 | 201 | 278 | 479 | 116 | 233 | 34 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 114 | 100 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 230 | 304 | 270 | 574 | 40 | 329 | 26 | 8 | 264 | 77 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 570 | 131 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 171 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 230 | 302 | 270 | 572 | 40 | 328 | 26 | 8 | 264 | 77 | -27 | -1 | -10 | +10 | +14 | -1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2829 | 2595 | 652 | 103 | 35 | 27 | 168 | 713 | 12 | 194 | 74 | 251 | 300 | 349 | 649 | 98 | 335 | 25 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 150 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 164 | 3 | 45 | 17 | 252 | 301 | 349 | 650 | 97 | 336 | 25 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -27 | -1 | -10 | +10 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAADurham Bulls · 254 PAwOBA .252 → .210 (−42)K% 29.1% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.13% | ÷1.032 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.91% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.82% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×0.992 | 14.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.23% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×0.992 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×0.992 | 1.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.970 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 99, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .252 → .210; ISO .147 → .124; BABIP .268 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 155 PAwOBA .341 → .300 (−41)K% 24.5% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.52% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.90% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 28.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.19% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.09% | ÷1.005 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 3.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.89% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .341 → .300; ISO .111 → .103; BABIP .396 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 516 PAwOBA .294 → .250 (−44)K% 20.3% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.35% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.07% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .294 → .250; ISO .095 → .079; BABIP .327 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 353 PAwOBA .360 → .331 (−29)K% 17.8% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.85% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.07% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.23% | ÷0.973 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 29.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷0.993 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.306 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .360 → .331; ISO .151 → .121; BABIP .369 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKACL White Sox · 17 PAwOBA .383 → .267 (−116)K% 11.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 6.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 17.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 10.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .383 → .267; ISO .133 → .090; BABIP .385 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAACharlotte Knights · 302 PAwOBA .291 → .298 (+6)K% 13.9% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.91% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.30% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.11% | ÷0.966 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 26.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.33% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.16% | ÷0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.118 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.68% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 82, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .291 → .298; ISO .095 → .097; BABIP .315 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABirmingham Barons · 170 PAwOBA .383 → .348 (−36)K% 15.9% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.88% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.35% | ÷1.057 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 28.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.56% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 8.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.52% | ÷0.967 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.11% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 104, 2B 81, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .383 → .348; ISO .137 → .132; BABIP .385 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AKannapolis Intimidators · 351 PAwOBA .404 → .353 (−51)K% 19.1% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.09% | ÷1.024 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.83% | ÷0.924 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 7.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.54% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 28.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.17% | ÷0.980 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 6.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.004 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 4.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.053 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.95% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 101, K 105, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .404 → .353; ISO .188 → .163; BABIP .422 → .398. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).