Eliezer Álvarez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 462 | .235/.333/.360 | 9 | 16 | 52 | — | .179/.247/.269 |
| 2022 | 27 | INTLAguilas Cibae… | 26 | .190/.346/.286 | 0 | 3 | 92 | — | |
| 2023 | 28 | INTLAguilas Cibae… | 17 | .188/.235/.312 | 0 | 0 | 50 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 210 | 176 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 35 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 205 | 324 | 290 | 613 | 85 | 245 | 17 | 13 | 286 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 73 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 209 | 264 | 373 | 637 | 164 | 250 | 19 | 5 | 278 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 75 | 68 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 353 | 413 | 632 | 1.046 | 279 | 383 | 9 | 8 | 449 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 221 | 204 | 64 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 314 | 358 | 451 | 809 | 137 | 358 | 14 | 5 | 355 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 499 | 433 | 140 | 36 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 96 | 8 | 36 | 15 | 323 | 407 | 476 | 883 | 152 | 400 | 19 | 11 | 390 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 209 | 186 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 247 | 324 | 382 | 705 | 134 | 328 | 27 | 8 | 316 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 27 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 458 | 766 | 208 | 238 | 11 | 7 | 324 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 28 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 130 | 286 | 130 | 416 | 200 | 29 | 14 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 460 | 408 | 93 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 124 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 228 | 302 | 387 | 690 | 159 | 295 | 27 | 9 | 304 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 403 | 352 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 123 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 230 | 324 | 358 | 682 | 128 | 326 | 31 | 12 | 310 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 59 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 271 | 397 | 375 | 772 | 104 | 382 | 25 | 15 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 26 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 190 | 346 | 286 | 632 | 95 | 267 | 23 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 273 | 29 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 210 | 184 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 130 | 227 | 174 | 401 | 43 | 159 | 20 | 9 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 73 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 145 | 181 | 261 | 441 | 116 | 206 | 27 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 75 | 70 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 271 | 320 | 486 | 806 | 214 | 299 | 13 | 5 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 221 | 208 | 52 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 250 | 284 | 361 | 645 | 111 | 296 | 21 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 499 | 450 | 127 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 126 | 8 | 36 | 15 | 282 | 346 | 400 | 746 | 118 | 374 | 25 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 209 | 191 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 69 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 215 | 275 | 304 | 579 | 89 | 315 | 33 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 27 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 320 | 512 | 160 | 177 | 15 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 460 | 422 | 80 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 164 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 190 | 245 | 303 | 548 | 114 | 278 | 36 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 403 | 368 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 152 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 179 | 247 | 269 | 516 | 90 | 282 | 38 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 210 | 184 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 130 | 227 | 174 | 401 | 43 | 164 | 20 | 9 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 210 | 176 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 35 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 205 | 324 | 290 | 613 | 85 | 245 | 17 | 13 | 286 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 73 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 145 | 181 | 261 | 441 | 116 | 188 | 27 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 73 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 209 | 264 | 373 | 637 | 164 | 250 | 19 | 5 | 278 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 75 | 70 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 271 | 320 | 486 | 806 | 214 | 305 | 13 | 5 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 75 | 68 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 353 | 413 | 632 | 1.046 | 279 | 383 | 9 | 8 | 449 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 221 | 208 | 52 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 250 | 284 | 361 | 645 | 111 | 307 | 21 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 221 | 204 | 64 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 314 | 358 | 451 | 809 | 137 | 358 | 14 | 5 | 355 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 499 | 450 | 127 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 126 | 8 | 36 | 15 | 282 | 346 | 400 | 746 | 118 | 380 | 25 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 499 | 433 | 140 | 36 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 96 | 8 | 36 | 15 | 323 | 407 | 476 | 883 | 152 | 400 | 19 | 11 | 390 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 264 | 241 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 82 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 216 | 276 | 324 | 600 | 108 | 304 | 31 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 264 | 233 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 67 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 236 | 318 | 365 | 683 | 129 | 305 | 25 | 8 | 307 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 460 | 422 | 80 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 164 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 190 | 245 | 303 | 548 | 114 | 285 | 36 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 460 | 408 | 93 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 124 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 228 | 302 | 387 | 690 | 159 | 295 | 27 | 9 | 304 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 420 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 175 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 179 | 248 | 262 | 510 | 83 | 286 | 38 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 462 | 400 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 58 | 138 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 235 | 333 | 360 | 693 | 125 | 333 | 30 | 13 | 315 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 26 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 190 | 346 | 286 | 632 | 95 | 267 | 23 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 26 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 190 | 346 | 286 | 632 | 95 | 267 | 23 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 273 | 29 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 273 | 29 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 210 | 185 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 130 | 227 | 173 | 400 | 43 | 159 | 20 | 9 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 73 | 70 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 143 | 181 | 257 | 438 | 114 | 206 | 27 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 75 | 70 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 271 | 320 | 486 | 806 | 214 | 299 | 13 | 5 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 221 | 209 | 52 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 249 | 284 | 359 | 643 | 110 | 296 | 21 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 499 | 452 | 127 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 126 | 8 | 36 | 15 | 281 | 346 | 398 | 744 | 117 | 374 | 25 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 264 | 242 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 82 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 215 | 276 | 322 | 598 | 107 | 299 | 31 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 460 | 426 | 80 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 164 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 188 | 245 | 300 | 546 | 113 | 278 | 36 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 420 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 175 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 179 | 248 | 262 | 510 | 83 | 282 | 38 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2307 | 2101 | 446 | 93 | 23 | 27 | 153 | 677 | 28 | 119 | 43 | 212 | 275 | 317 | 592 | 105 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 255 | 59 | -113 | +7 | +0 | +8 | +50 | -4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 125 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 191 | 8 | 34 | 12 | 211 | 274 | 316 | 590 | 105 | 295 | 29 | 7 | 255 | 59 | -32 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 403 PAwOBA .303 → .230 (−73)K% 30.5% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.52% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.45% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 21.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷0.960 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.93% | ÷1.208 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .303 → .230; ISO .128 → .090; BABIP .326 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 460 PAwOBA .298 → .241 (−57)K% 27.0% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.96% | ÷0.922 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.13% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.42% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×1.012 | 20.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.99% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×1.044 | ×1.012 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.044 | ×1.012 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.14% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .298 → .241; ISO .159 → .120; BABIP .295 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AASpringfield Cardinals · 209 PAwOBA .311 → .261 (−50)K% 26.8% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.79% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 23.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.46% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.093 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.315 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.92% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .261; ISO .134 → .099; BABIP .328 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Cardinals · 27 PAwOBA .327 → .241 (−86)K% 11.1% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 4.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 11.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 3.58% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .327 → .241; ISO .208 → .155; BABIP .238 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 APeoria Chiefs · 499 PAwOBA .380 → .330 (−51)K% 19.2% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.24% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.82% | ÷0.938 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.30% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 26.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 9.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.78% | ÷1.029 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 1.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.78% | ÷1.066 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 106, K 107, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .380 → .330; ISO .152 → .127; BABIP .400 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKJohnson City Cardinals · 221 PAwOBA .350 → .271 (−79)K% 14.5% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.985 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.985 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.044 | ×0.985 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.044 | ×0.985 | 8.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.044 | ×0.985 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.985 | 0.92% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .350 → .271; ISO .137 → .102; BABIP .358 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Cardinals · 75 PAwOBA .437 → .326 (−111)K% 9.3% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | ×0.995 | 16.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.020 | ×0.995 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.020 | ×0.995 | 5.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.27% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .437 → .326; ISO .279 → .205; BABIP .383 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Cardinals · 73 PAwOBA .270 → .200 (−71)K% 19.2% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 13.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 4.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.48% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .270 → .200; ISO .164 → .118; BABIP .250 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .