Claudio Bautista
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 476 | .258/.315/.392 | 9 | 8 | 51 | — | .216/.255/.324 |
| 2016 | 22 | AA/A+2 orgs | 340 | .215/.300/.323 | 7 | 7 | 42 | — | .189/.244/.286 |
| 2017 | 23 | A+Lynchburg Hil… | 252 | .216/.285/.361 | 7 | 0 | 41 | — | .180/.233/.296 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 123 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 225 | 289 | 288 | 578 | 63 | 258 | 15 | 8 | 263 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 156 | 132 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 273 | 373 | 485 | 857 | 212 | 309 | 20 | 12 | 372 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 55 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 157 | 204 | 255 | 459 | 98 | 194 | 25 | 5 | 205 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 483 | 461 | 115 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 103 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 249 | 276 | 410 | 686 | 161 | 294 | 21 | 2 | 299 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 199 | 178 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 51 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 197 | 263 | 287 | 549 | 90 | 260 | 26 | 8 | 246 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 277 | 253 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 49 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 300 | 352 | 466 | 818 | 166 | 347 | 18 | 7 | 357 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 63 | 63 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 127 | 127 | 190 | 317 | 63 | 167 | 32 | 0 | 140 | -36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 277 | 234 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 55 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 239 | 341 | 359 | 700 | 120 | 281 | 20 | 12 | 313 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 252 | 227 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 285 | 361 | 646 | 145 | 269 | 26 | 7 | 288 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 123 | 114 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 140 | 190 | 158 | 348 | 18 | 175 | 19 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 156 | 139 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 201 | 275 | 353 | 627 | 151 | 249 | 29 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 55 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 135 | 167 | 231 | 397 | 96 | 175 | 35 | 4 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 483 | 464 | 94 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 142 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 203 | 226 | 323 | 549 | 121 | 266 | 29 | 2 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 199 | 185 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 162 | 201 | 238 | 439 | 76 | 228 | 35 | 5 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 277 | 259 | 66 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 66 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 255 | 293 | 386 | 679 | 131 | 309 | 24 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 63 | 63 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 111 | 175 | 286 | 63 | 164 | 38 | 0 | 115 | -36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 277 | 247 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 82 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 206 | 274 | 312 | 586 | 105 | 263 | 30 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 252 | 233 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 89 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 233 | 296 | 529 | 116 | 246 | 35 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 123 | 114 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 140 | 190 | 158 | 348 | 18 | 172 | 19 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 123 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 225 | 289 | 288 | 578 | 63 | 258 | 15 | 8 | 263 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 156 | 139 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 201 | 275 | 353 | 627 | 151 | 253 | 29 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 156 | 132 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 273 | 373 | 485 | 857 | 212 | 309 | 20 | 12 | 372 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 55 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 135 | 167 | 231 | 397 | 96 | 188 | 35 | 4 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 55 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 157 | 204 | 255 | 459 | 98 | 194 | 25 | 5 | 205 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 483 | 464 | 94 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 142 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 203 | 226 | 323 | 549 | 121 | 270 | 29 | 2 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 483 | 461 | 115 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 103 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 249 | 276 | 410 | 686 | 161 | 294 | 21 | 2 | 299 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 444 | 93 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 136 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 209 | 248 | 309 | 557 | 99 | 284 | 29 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 431 | 111 | 29 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 100 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 258 | 315 | 392 | 707 | 135 | 313 | 21 | 8 | 311 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 310 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 106 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 187 | 243 | 274 | 517 | 87 | 256 | 31 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 340 | 297 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 75 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 215 | 300 | 323 | 624 | 108 | 259 | 22 | 10 | 281 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 252 | 233 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 89 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 233 | 296 | 529 | 116 | 257 | 35 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 252 | 227 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 285 | 361 | 646 | 145 | 269 | 26 | 7 | 288 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 123 | 115 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 139 | 190 | 157 | 347 | 17 | 175 | 19 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 156 | 141 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 199 | 275 | 348 | 622 | 149 | 249 | 29 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 55 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 167 | 226 | 393 | 94 | 175 | 35 | 4 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 483 | 466 | 94 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 142 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 202 | 226 | 322 | 548 | 120 | 266 | 29 | 2 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 450 | 93 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 136 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 207 | 248 | 304 | 553 | 98 | 275 | 29 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 314 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 106 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 185 | 243 | 271 | 514 | 86 | 245 | 31 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 252 | 234 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 89 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 233 | 295 | 528 | 115 | 246 | 35 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1885 | 1756 | 338 | 65 | 9 | 33 | 84 | 560 | 15 | 41 | 22 | 192 | 236 | 296 | 532 | 104 | 258 | 30 | 4 | 232 | 43 | -127 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +41 | -8.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 193 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 191 | 234 | 292 | 526 | 101 | 257 | 30 | 4 | 232 | 43 | -44 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 252 PAwOBA .283 → .229 (−54)K% 26.2% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.19% | ÷1.048 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.75% | ÷1.008 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.25% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 18.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.21% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.070 | ×0.800 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.902 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 4.29% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 96, 2B 117, 3B 114, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .283 → .229; ISO .145 → .121; BABIP .269 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 277 PAwOBA .310 → .257 (−53)K% 19.9% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.86% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.55% | ÷1.015 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.35% | ÷0.969 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.35% | ÷0.932 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 3.23% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .310 → .257; ISO .120 → .106; BABIP .281 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 63 PAwOBA .135 → .115 (−20)K% 31.7% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.75% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.95% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 14.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 2.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .135 → .115; ISO .063 → .049; BABIP .167 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALake County Captains · 277 PAwOBA .350 → .285 (−65)K% 17.7% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.69% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.02% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | — | 21.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.31% | ÷0.902 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | — | 8.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.103 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | — | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.169 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 121, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .350 → .285; ISO .166 → .127; BABIP .347 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 199 PAwOBA .240 → .185 (−55)K% 25.6% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.63% | ÷1.031 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.54% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.11% | ÷1.026 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 16.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.129 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 84, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .240 → .185; ISO .090 → .069; BABIP .260 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ALake County Captains · 483 PAwOBA .291 → .235 (−56)K% 21.3% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.33% | ÷0.986 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.48% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 1.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.67% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.015 | 19.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.87% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.015 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.015 | 1.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷1.042 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.83% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .291 → .235; ISO .161 → .124; BABIP .294 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ALake County Captains · 55 PAwOBA .199 → .160 (−40)K% 25.5% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.45% | ÷1.001 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.51% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 12.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.33% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 100, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .199 → .160; ISO .098 → .078; BABIP .194 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Indians · 156 PAwOBA .367 → .272 (−95)K% 19.9% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×1.008 | 18.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×1.008 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×1.008 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.67% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .367 → .272; ISO .212 → .159; BABIP .309 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).