Sthervin Matos
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 20 | A/ROK2 orgs | 242 | .256/.287/.445 | 9 | 9 | 35 | — | .190/.214/.329 |
| 2015 | 21 | AMIL | 466 | .224/.305/.339 | 8 | 23 | 34 | — | .176/.240/.252 |
| 2016 | 22 | AMIL | 144 | .182/.229/.295 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — | .157/.193/.246 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers | — | 138 | 113 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 274 | 397 | 381 | 778 | 106 | 323 | 14 | 12 | 354 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers | — | 46 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 184 | 326 | 184 | 510 | 250 | 22 | 13 | 261 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | DSL Brewers | — | 139 | 125 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 232 | 309 | 416 | 725 | 184 | 269 | 20 | 7 | 324 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 43 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 103 | 125 | 179 | 304 | 77 | 111 | 28 | 2 | 128 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 199 | 188 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 287 | 320 | 500 | 820 | 213 | 322 | 19 | 4 | 355 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 466 | 407 | 91 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 120 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 224 | 305 | 339 | 645 | 115 | 290 | 26 | 9 | 287 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 144 | 132 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 182 | 229 | 295 | 524 | 114 | 231 | 26 | 6 | 229 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 138 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 178 | 287 | 246 | 533 | 68 | 213 | 17 | 9 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 46 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 239 | 125 | 364 | 171 | 26 | 9 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 139 | 128 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 133 | 201 | 234 | 436 | 102 | 161 | 24 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 43 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 103 | 125 | 179 | 304 | 77 | 102 | 40 | 2 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 199 | 191 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 209 | 234 | 361 | 595 | 152 | 250 | 28 | 2 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 466 | 420 | 74 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 164 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 176 | 240 | 252 | 492 | 76 | 257 | 35 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 144 | 134 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 157 | 193 | 246 | 439 | 90 | 206 | 35 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 138 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 178 | 287 | 246 | 533 | 68 | 213 | 17 | 9 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers | — | 138 | 113 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 274 | 397 | 381 | 778 | 106 | 323 | 14 | 12 | 354 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 46 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 239 | 125 | 364 | 179 | 26 | 9 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers | — | 46 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 184 | 326 | 184 | 510 | 250 | 22 | 13 | 261 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 139 | 128 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 133 | 201 | 234 | 436 | 102 | 163 | 24 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers | — | 139 | 125 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 232 | 309 | 416 | 725 | 184 | 269 | 20 | 7 | 324 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 230 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 71 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 183 | 207 | 309 | 515 | 126 | 232 | 29 | 2 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 242 | 227 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 256 | 287 | 445 | 732 | 189 | 288 | 21 | 3 | 315 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 466 | 420 | 74 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 164 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 176 | 240 | 252 | 492 | 76 | 267 | 35 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 466 | 407 | 91 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 120 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 224 | 305 | 339 | 645 | 115 | 290 | 26 | 9 | 287 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 144 | 134 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 157 | 193 | 246 | 439 | 90 | 235 | 35 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 144 | 132 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 182 | 229 | 295 | 524 | 114 | 231 | 26 | 6 | 229 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 138 | 119 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 176 | 287 | 244 | 530 | 67 | 213 | 17 | 9 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 46 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 239 | 125 | 364 | 171 | 26 | 9 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 139 | 127 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 134 | 201 | 236 | 438 | 102 | 161 | 24 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 233 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 71 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 180 | 207 | 305 | 511 | 124 | 224 | 29 | 2 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 466 | 428 | 74 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 164 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 173 | 240 | 248 | 487 | 75 | 257 | 35 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 144 | 137 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 153 | 193 | 241 | 434 | 88 | 206 | 35 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1175 | 1070 | 180 | 28 | 9 | 16 | 63 | 356 | 20 | 56 | 20 | 168 | 228 | 256 | 484 | 88 | 232 | 30 | 5 | 210 | 28 | -100 | +3 | +0 | +4 | +25 | -6.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 99 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 197 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 167 | 228 | 255 | 483 | 88 | 230 | 30 | 5 | 210 | 28 | -55 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 144 PAwOBA .223 → .173 (−50)K% 26.4% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.39% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.09% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | — | 16.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | — | 1.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | — | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.161 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .223 → .173; ISO .114 → .079; BABIP .231 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 466 PAwOBA .284 → .218 (−67)K% 25.8% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.75% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.01% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.65% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 21.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.53% | ÷1.090 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.085 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.79% | ÷1.331 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.70% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .284 → .218; ISO .115 → .075; BABIP .290 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKHelena Brewers · 199 PAwOBA .346 → .245 (−102)K% 19.1% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.10% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 2.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.995 | 17.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.995 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.995 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 3.98% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .346 → .245; ISO .213 → .145; BABIP .322 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 43 PAwOBA .127 → .104 (−23)K% 27.9% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.91% | ÷0.989 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.33% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 1.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 10.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .127 → .104; ISO .077 → .059; BABIP .111 → .102. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLDSL Brewers · 139 PAwOBA .315 → .186 (−129)K% 20.1% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.88% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 9.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.93% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .315 → .186; ISO .184 → .093; BABIP .269 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 DSLDSL Brewers · 46 PAwOBA .255 → .178 (−77)K% 21.7% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .178; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 DSLDSL Brewers · 138 PAwOBA .348 → .240 (−108)K% 14.5% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.983 | ×1.022 | 16.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×1.022 | 3.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×1.022 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.52% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .348 → .240; ISO .106 → .064; BABIP .323 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).