Nick Williams
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | AAAPHI | 210 | .316/.381/.574 | 10 | 1 | 114 | — | .253/.310/.469 | |
| 2019 | 25 | MLBPHI | 112 | .151/.196/.245 | 2 | 0 | 22 | -1.3 | ||
| 2021 | 27 | AAACWS | 138 | .262/.316/.429 | 4 | 4 | 55 | — | .211/.257/.312 | |
| 2025 | 31 | INTLCaneros de lo… | 137 | .289/.368/.455 | 4 | 0 | 133 | — | ||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 201 | 63 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 313 | 378 | 448 | 826 | 134 | 404 | 22 | 7 | 366 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 404 | 376 | 110 | 19 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 110 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 293 | 338 | 543 | 881 | 250 | 371 | 27 | 4 | 381 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 64 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 250 | 290 | 540 | 65 | 341 | 33 | 3 | 243 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 408 | 377 | 110 | 28 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 117 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 292 | 344 | 491 | 835 | 199 | 391 | 29 | 5 | 367 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 115 | 112 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 277 | 296 | 420 | 715 | 143 | 372 | 28 | 1 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 515 | 475 | 144 | 26 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 97 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 303 | 355 | 491 | 845 | 187 | 351 | 19 | 7 | 371 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 527 | 497 | 128 | 33 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 136 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 258 | 290 | 427 | 717 | 169 | 325 | 26 | 4 | 311 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 343 | 313 | 90 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 97 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 288 | 342 | 473 | 815 | 185 | 375 | 28 | 6 | 356 | 124 | +10 | -1 | -8 | -7 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 306 | 282 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 280 | 330 | 511 | 841 | 230 | 358 | 29 | 5 | 364 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 448 | 407 | 104 | 12 | 3 | 17 | 32 | 111 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 256 | 324 | 425 | 749 | 170 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 334 | 107 | +4 | -0 | -9 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 112 | 106 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 196 | 245 | 442 | 94 | 230 | 38 | 4 | 202 | 22 | -10 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +2 | -1.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 210 | 190 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 574 | 955 | 258 | 391 | 25 | 7 | 416 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 138 | 126 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 316 | 429 | 745 | 167 | 333 | 26 | 5 | 326 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 137 | 121 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 368 | 455 | 822 | 165 | 352 | 21 | 10 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 903 | 826 | 210 | 30 | 7 | 31 | 56 | 251 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 254 | 315 | 420 | 735 | 166 | 327 | 28 | 6 | 326 | 107 | +7 | -1 | -18 | -15 | +20 | -0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 208 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 72 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 226 | 275 | 308 | 582 | 82 | 332 | 32 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 404 | 381 | 89 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 149 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 234 | 274 | 428 | 701 | 194 | 340 | 37 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 64 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 203 | 254 | 457 | 63 | 326 | 41 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 408 | 384 | 87 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 174 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 227 | 270 | 372 | 643 | 146 | 379 | 43 | 3 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 515 | 485 | 141 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 112 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 291 | 329 | 443 | 773 | 153 | 354 | 22 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 527 | 503 | 116 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 160 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 231 | 256 | 378 | 634 | 147 | 305 | 30 | 2 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 343 | 313 | 89 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 97 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 284 | 339 | 460 | 799 | 176 | 375 | 28 | 6 | 351 | 124 | +10 | -1 | -8 | -7 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 306 | 287 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 112 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 240 | 281 | 429 | 709 | 188 | 334 | 37 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 448 | 409 | 103 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 111 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 252 | 317 | 413 | 730 | 161 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 326 | 107 | +4 | -0 | -9 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 112 | 106 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 196 | 245 | 442 | 94 | 230 | 38 | 4 | 200 | 22 | -10 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +2 | -1.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 210 | 194 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 253 | 310 | 469 | 779 | 216 | 329 | 30 | 5 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 138 | 128 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 211 | 257 | 312 | 570 | 102 | 288 | 31 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 208 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 72 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 226 | 275 | 308 | 582 | 82 | 336 | 32 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 201 | 63 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 313 | 378 | 448 | 826 | 134 | 404 | 22 | 7 | 366 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 404 | 381 | 89 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 149 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 234 | 274 | 428 | 701 | 194 | 347 | 37 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 404 | 376 | 110 | 19 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 110 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 293 | 338 | 543 | 881 | 250 | 371 | 27 | 4 | 381 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 587 | 557 | 124 | 27 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 249 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 223 | 261 | 359 | 620 | 136 | 375 | 42 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 587 | 551 | 155 | 36 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 170 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 281 | 324 | 454 | 778 | 172 | 381 | 29 | 4 | 343 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 515 | 485 | 141 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 112 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 291 | 329 | 443 | 773 | 153 | 355 | 22 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 515 | 475 | 144 | 26 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 97 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 303 | 355 | 491 | 845 | 187 | 351 | 19 | 7 | 371 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 527 | 503 | 116 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 160 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 231 | 256 | 378 | 634 | 147 | 309 | 30 | 2 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 527 | 497 | 128 | 33 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 136 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 258 | 290 | 427 | 717 | 169 | 325 | 26 | 4 | 311 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 649 | 600 | 157 | 28 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 209 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 262 | 310 | 443 | 753 | 182 | 358 | 32 | 5 | 326 | 107 | +5 | -1 | -8 | -7 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 649 | 595 | 169 | 30 | 6 | 27 | 36 | 187 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 284 | 336 | 491 | 827 | 207 | 367 | 29 | 6 | 360 | 107 | +5 | -1 | -8 | -7 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 448 | 409 | 103 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 111 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 252 | 317 | 413 | 730 | 161 | 309 | 25 | 7 | 326 | 107 | +4 | -0 | -9 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 448 | 407 | 104 | 12 | 3 | 17 | 32 | 111 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 256 | 324 | 425 | 749 | 170 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 334 | 107 | +4 | -0 | -9 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 300 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 105 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 270 | 390 | 660 | 173 | 293 | 33 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 322 | 296 | 76 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 95 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 317 | 456 | 773 | 199 | 339 | 30 | 6 | 341 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 138 | 128 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 211 | 257 | 312 | 570 | 102 | 298 | 31 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 138 | 126 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 316 | 429 | 745 | 167 | 333 | 26 | 5 | 326 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 137 | 121 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 368 | 455 | 822 | 165 | 352 | 21 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 137 | 121 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 368 | 455 | 822 | 165 | 352 | 21 | 10 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 208 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 72 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 226 | 275 | 308 | 582 | 82 | 332 | 32 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 404 | 380 | 89 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 149 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 234 | 274 | 429 | 703 | 195 | 340 | 37 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 587 | 553 | 124 | 27 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 249 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 224 | 261 | 362 | 623 | 137 | 372 | 42 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 515 | 482 | 141 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 112 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 293 | 329 | 446 | 775 | 154 | 354 | 22 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 527 | 505 | 116 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 160 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 230 | 256 | 376 | 632 | 147 | 305 | 30 | 2 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 649 | 602 | 157 | 28 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 209 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 261 | 310 | 442 | 752 | 181 | 356 | 32 | 5 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 448 | 406 | 103 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 111 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 254 | 317 | 416 | 733 | 163 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 297 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 105 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 270 | 394 | 664 | 175 | 294 | 33 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 138 | 129 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 209 | 257 | 310 | 567 | 101 | 288 | 31 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 903 | 826 | 210 | 30 | 7 | 31 | 56 | 251 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 254 | 315 | 420 | 735 | 166 | 327 | 28 | 6 | 326 | 80 | +7 | -1 | -18 | -15 | +20 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 151 | 22 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 181 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 254 | 314 | 418 | 732 | 165 | 327 | 28 | 6 | 326 | 80 | +5 | -1 | -13 | -11 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3951 | 3692 | 904 | 170 | 42 | 107 | 167 | 1239 | 68 | 62 | 37 | 245 | 290 | 401 | 691 | 156 | 337 | 31 | 4 | 287 | 80 | +7 | -1 | -18 | -15 | +20 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 149 | 28 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 204 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 245 | 289 | 404 | 693 | 158 | 338 | 31 | 4 | 287 | 80 | +5 | -1 | -13 | -11 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 138 PAwOBA .320 → .249 (−71)K% 26.1% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.07% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 21.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.128 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.190 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.59% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .320 → .249; ISO .167 → .108; BABIP .333 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 210 PAwOBA .404 → .337 (−67)K% 24.8% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.76% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 8.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.061 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.25% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 7.15% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 112, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .404 → .337; ISO .258 → .225; BABIP .391 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 306 PAwOBA .355 → .297 (−58)K% 29.4% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.90% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.96% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 7.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.047 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.81% | ÷1.043 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 6.59% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 111, 2B 94, 3B 109, K 92, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .355 → .297; ISO .230 → .187; BABIP .358 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 527 PAwOBA .305 → .272 (−33)K% 25.8% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.42% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.028 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 20.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.14% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 7.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.107 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.942 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 121, K 104, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .305 → .272; ISO .169 → .150; BABIP .325 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAReading Fightin Phils · 515 PAwOBA .361 → .334 (−27)K% 18.8% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.83% | ÷1.060 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷1.029 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.13% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×1.042 | 26.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷0.949 | ×0.860 | ×1.024 | ×1.042 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.024 | ×1.042 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.50% | ÷1.021 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 112, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .361 → .334; ISO .187 → .160; BABIP .351 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 408 PAwOBA .357 → .278 (−78)K% 28.7% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.68% | ÷0.957 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.41% | ÷0.954 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 2.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 25.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.77% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 9.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 4.76% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .357 → .278; ISO .199 → .150; BABIP .391 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 64 PAwOBA .229 → .198 (−31)K% 32.8% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.81% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.56% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.83% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 25.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.890 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.921 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.322 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 84, K 97, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .229 → .198; ISO .065 → .060; BABIP .341 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AHickory Crawdads · 404 PAwOBA .372 → .293 (−78)K% 27.2% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.23% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 36.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.71% | ÷1.065 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 2.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.72% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.31% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 21.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.947 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.51% | ÷0.968 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 4.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.39% | ÷1.091 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 4.95% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 119, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 99, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .372 → .293; ISO .250 → .196; BABIP .371 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .