Cole Irvin

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 33 LHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.8 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	29	MIX2 levels	33	21	127	4.41	4.21	17.9%	5.5%	1.0	K 17.1% · BB 5.3% · FIP 4.32
2024	30	MIX2 levels	31	18	118	5.05	4.54	15.8%	6.5%	0.5	K 15.9% · BB 5.7% · FIP 4.48
2026	32	MIX2 levels	29	28	144	3.57	3.80	14.0%	9.2%	1.9	K 11.9% · BB 8.2% · FIP 3.82
2027PROJ	33	MLBLAD	16	16	93	4.67	4.67	12.3%	7.9%	0.2
2028PROJ	34	MLBLAD	14	14	84	4.86	4.98	11.4%	8.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ	35	MLBLAD	13	13	76	4.97	5.04	12.4%	8.1%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo14

Whiff%10

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsEnrique Lechuga (age 31) · Paul Oseguera (age 32) · Tomas Solis (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%12.3%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%4.4%

Proj IP93

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1491.9

Whiff%

p1017.0%

p1015.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.366

SI (20%)

CU (25%)

CT-0.9 (11%)

SL-2.8 (4%)

CH-6.1 (13%)

FB-7.3 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	151	627	118	38	14	96%	6.1	14.9%	6.8%	8.1%	2.3%	3.39	3.94	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	151	627	118	38	14	96%	6.1	18.8%	6.1%	12.8%	2.2%	3.39	3.50	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	26	25	161	639	131	34	11	96%	6.2	18.0%	5.6%	12.5%	2.0%	2.57	3.37	—
2018	24	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	26	25	161	639	131	34	11	96%	6.2	20.5%	5.3%	15.2%	1.7%	2.57	2.99	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	19	135	582	96	25	20	58%	4.1	15.2%	4.4%	10.7%	4.0%	4.52	4.55	+0.6
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	19	135	582	96	25	20	58%	4.1	16.5%	4.3%	12.2%	3.4%	4.52	4.16	+1.2
2020	26	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	3	0	4	22	4	1	1	0%	1.2	18.2%	4.5%	13.6%	4.5%	17.18	4.64	-0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	3	0	4	22	4	1	1	0%	1.2	18.2%	4.5%	13.6%	4.5%	17.18	5.28	-0.0
2021	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	32	32	178	768	125	42	23	100%	5.6	16.3%	5.5%	10.8%	3.3%	4.24	4.22	+1.4
2021	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	32	32	178	768	125	42	23	100%	5.6	16.3%	5.5%	10.8%	3.0%	4.24	4.08	+1.7
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	31	186	761	134	33	26	100%	6.0	17.3%	4.5%	12.8%	3.7%	3.92	4.24	+1.4
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	31	186	761	134	33	26	100%	6.0	17.6%	4.3%	13.3%	3.4%	3.92	4.01	+2.0
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	21	127	548	98	30	19	64%	3.8	17.1%	5.3%	11.8%	3.6%	4.41	4.32	+0.9
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	21	127	548	98	30	19	64%	3.8	17.9%	5.5%	12.4%	3.5%	4.41	4.21	+1.0
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	18	118	525	83	34	18	58%	3.8	15.9%	5.7%	10.2%	3.6%	5.05	4.48	+0.6
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	18	118	525	83	34	18	58%	3.8	15.9%	5.7%	10.2%	3.6%	5.05	4.48	+0.6
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	18	118	525	83	34	18	58%	3.8	15.8%	6.5%	9.3%	3.4%	5.05	4.54	+0.5
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	28	144	643	90	59	8	97%	5.0	11.9%	8.2%	3.7%	1.3%	3.57	3.82	+1.9
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	28	144	643	90	59	8	97%	5.0	11.9%	8.2%	3.7%	1.3%	3.57	3.82	+1.9
2026	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	28	144	643	90	59	8	97%	5.0	14.0%	9.2%	4.8%	1.2%	3.57	3.80	+1.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			135	93	599	2570	439	140	86	69%	4.4	17.1%	5.4%	11.6%	3.3%	4.58	4.20	+4.9
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	LAD	16	16	93	393	48	31	9	100%	5.8	12.3%	7.9%	4.4%	2.2%	4.67	4.67	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	84	357	41	30	9	100%	6.0	11.4%	8.4%	3.0%	2.5%	4.86	4.98	-0.1
2029	35	MLB MLE	LAD	13	13	76	320	40	26	9	100%	5.8	12.4%	8.1%	4.3%	2.9%	4.97	5.04	-0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	LAD	14	14	84	355	40	30	9	100%	6.0	11.4%	8.4%	3.0%	2.5%	4.86	4.98	-0.1
2029	35	MLB CTX	LAD	13	13	76	321	40	26	9	100%	5.8	12.4%	8.1%	4.3%	2.9%	4.97	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		162	120	759	3247	519	196	104	74%	4.7	16.0%	6.0%	10.0%	3.2%	4.65	4.28	+5.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	32	200	855	137	52	27	74%	4.7	16.0%	6.0%	10.0%	3.2%	4.65	4.28	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		243	198	1204	5115	811	293	151	81%	5.0	15.9%	5.7%	10.1%	3.0%	3.95	4.11	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		40	33	200	850	135	49	25	81%	5.0	15.9%	5.7%	10.1%	3.0%	3.95	4.11	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cole Irvin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	12.3%	7.9%	2.2%	—	5.01	11.9%	3.6%	160	+0.34	—	—	—
Enrique Lechuga L 2017 · 3.78 FIP	31	SP	3.78	10.5%	6.1%	1.5%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	137	66
Paul Oseguera L 2016 · 5.62 FIP	32	SP	5.62	5.6%	12.5%	2.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	162	63
Tomas Solis L 2016 · 4.86 FIP	33	SP	4.86	12.4%	8.5%	3.1%	.273	5.95	10.1%	2.4%	117	+1.09	4.20	327	60
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2014 · 3.60 FIP	33	SP	3.60	19.7%	6.2%	2.5%	.290	3.66	16.8%	9.7%	119	+0.06	3.60	188	60
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	58
Oscar Rivera L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	34	SP	3.68	14.2%	6.9%	1.7%	.298	4.66	10.4%	3.0%	129	+0.98	3.68	237	57
Pat Misch L 2015 · 3.94 FIP	33	SP-	3.94	11.6%	7.9%	1.5%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	265	56
Arturo Lopez L 2016 · 5.26 FIP	33	SP	5.26	11.5%	7.9%	3.9%	.341	4.92	11.3%	5.2%	224	-0.34	4.34	445	55
Orlando Lara L 2017 · 4.39 FIP	32	SP	4.39	14.7%	6.5%	3.1%	.346	4.09	22.0%	14.2%	104	-0.30	3.85	426	55
Mauricio Lara L 2015 · 3.62 FIP	36	SP	3.62	13.9%	6.9%	1.5%	.310	3.69	12.1%	5.1%	220	+0.07	3.62	444	55
Yohan Flande L 2019 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	10.0%	11.9%	0.8%	.386	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	394	53
Daniel Rodriguez L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	32	SP	3.87	13.1%	9.7%	1.2%	.335	4.77	20.8%	13.0%	112	+0.90	2.89	391	52
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	208	52
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	51
Matt Dermody L 2023 · 3.87 FIP	33	SP	3.87	20.7%	4.6%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	348	47
Roy Merritt L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	31	SP	3.95	16.2%	5.8%	2.7%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	129	47
Travis Blackley L 2016 · 3.85 FIP	33	SP	3.85	11.6%	10.7%	0.7%	.301	6.88	6.1%	-3.6%	27	+3.03	3.85	409	39
Carlos Teller L 2019 · 4.90 FIP	32	SP-	4.90	13.1%	14.2%	2.0%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	333	37
Diego Moreno R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	32	SP	4.08	12.4%	6.9%	2.1%	.376	4.75	18.6%	9.2%	30	+0.67	2.29	187	36
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	35

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	107	15.6%	6.4%	1.20	4.65
Frank Hiller ('46-'53, 2 WAR*)	2.7	107	16.3%*	6.2%*	1.32*	4.64*
Dutch Henry ('21-'30, 0 WAR*)	3.2	108	15.3%*	7.2%*	1.29*	4.49*
Joe Moeller ('62-'71, -1 WAR*)	2.9	97	16.0%*	7.3%*	1.16*	4.98*
Jeff Karstens ('12)	3.0	99	13.1%	6.1%	1.22	4.44
Brett Oberholtzer ('16)	1.6	81	15.6%	6.2%	1.14	4.36
Mark Hendrickson ('11)	5.8	130	13.0%	6.7%	1.12	5.03