Tim Roberson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | AABOS | 231 | .300/.342/.419 | 4 | 1 | 86 | — | .279/.307/.374 |
| 2016 | 27 | AABOS | 240 | .247/.300/.368 | 4 | 0 | 45 | — | .211/.250/.294 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAAPawtucket Red… | 71 | .217/.239/.261 | 0 | 0 | 14 | — | .186/.197/.214 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 62 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 339 | 411 | 749 | 143 | 325 | 23 | 10 | 337 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 196 | 187 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 318 | 396 | 714 | 107 | 367 | 23 | 4 | 317 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 163 | 151 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 276 | 338 | 614 | 119 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 296 | 269 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 305 | 387 | 692 | 149 | 283 | 22 | 8 | 309 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 231 | 217 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 342 | 419 | 761 | 120 | 365 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 240 | 223 | 55 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 300 | 368 | 668 | 121 | 321 | 25 | 6 | 300 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 71 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 239 | 261 | 500 | 43 | 306 | 28 | 3 | 227 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 62 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 258 | 328 | 586 | 121 | 285 | 32 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 196 | 190 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 241 | 295 | 536 | 74 | 311 | 32 | 3 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 163 | 156 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 202 | 263 | 465 | 96 | 257 | 36 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 296 | 279 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 90 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 231 | 290 | 521 | 104 | 246 | 30 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 231 | 222 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 307 | 374 | 681 | 95 | 361 | 25 | 3 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 240 | 228 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 294 | 544 | 83 | 296 | 31 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 71 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 197 | 214 | 411 | 29 | 289 | 34 | 1 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 258 | 248 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 245 | 302 | 548 | 85 | 307 | 32 | 3 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 258 | 243 | 69 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 323 | 399 | 722 | 115 | 358 | 23 | 5 | 322 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 435 | 78 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 148 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 221 | 276 | 496 | 97 | 253 | 32 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 459 | 420 | 97 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 105 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 295 | 369 | 664 | 138 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 231 | 222 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 307 | 374 | 681 | 95 | 364 | 25 | 3 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 231 | 217 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 342 | 419 | 761 | 120 | 365 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 240 | 228 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 294 | 544 | 83 | 303 | 31 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 240 | 223 | 55 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 300 | 368 | 668 | 121 | 321 | 25 | 6 | 300 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 71 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 197 | 214 | 411 | 29 | 283 | 34 | 1 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 71 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 239 | 261 | 500 | 43 | 306 | 28 | 3 | 227 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 258 | 247 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 245 | 304 | 549 | 85 | 305 | 32 | 3 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 433 | 78 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 148 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 221 | 277 | 498 | 97 | 250 | 32 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 231 | 220 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 307 | 377 | 685 | 95 | 361 | 25 | 3 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 240 | 226 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 250 | 296 | 546 | 84 | 296 | 31 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 71 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 197 | 214 | 411 | 29 | 289 | 34 | 1 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1259 | 1203 | 255 | 51 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 385 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 246 | 299 | 545 | 87 | 297 | 31 | 4 | 238 | 47 | -79 | -0 | +0 | +22 | +27 | -3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 621 | 132 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 199 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 247 | 300 | 546 | 87 | 299 | 31 | 4 | 238 | 47 | -41 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 71 PAwOBA .221 → .189 (−32)K% 28.2% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.17% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.82% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.49% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×0.992 | 23.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×0.992 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .221 → .189; ISO .043 → .035; BABIP .306 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 240 PAwOBA .292 → .235 (−57)K% 25.0% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.040 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×0.978 | 21.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.20% | ÷0.997 | ×0.860 | ×1.047 | ×0.978 | 8.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.950 | ×1.047 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.45% | ÷1.371 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 108, 2B 99, 3B 106, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .292 → .235; ISO .121 → .085; BABIP .321 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 231 PAwOBA .331 → .295 (−36)K% 19.9% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.91% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.07% | ÷0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 28.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.026 | ×0.860 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .331 → .295; ISO .120 → .095; BABIP .365 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AGreenville Drive · 296 PAwOBA .300 → .227 (−73)K% 21.6% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.62% | ÷0.955 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.43% | ÷1.001 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.970 | 18.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.80% | ÷1.096 | ×0.820 | ×1.033 | ×0.970 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.033 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.045 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 98, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .300 → .227; ISO .149 → .105; BABIP .283 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Salem Red Sox · 163 PAwOBA .269 → .202 (−67)K% 25.2% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.15% | ÷0.998 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷1.031 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.015 | ×0.940 | ×1.024 | ×0.978 | 16.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.978 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.024 | ×0.978 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.025 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 1.56% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .269 → .202; ISO .119 → .090; BABIP .287 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AGreenville Drive · 196 PAwOBA .310 → .235 (−75)K% 23.5% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.08% | ÷0.986 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 2.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.08% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.980 | 25.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.124 | ×0.820 | ×0.978 | ×0.980 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×0.980 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.967 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .310 → .235; ISO .107 → .075; BABIP .367 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Salem Red Sox · 62 PAwOBA .328 → .250 (−77)K% 22.6% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.58% | ÷0.994 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.054 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.19% | ÷1.036 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 23.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.129 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.979 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 4.32% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 126, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .328 → .250; ISO .143 → .115; BABIP .325 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).