Drew Stankiewicz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 26 | AACLE | 32 | .091/.375/.091 | 0 | 1 | 21 | — | .077/.250/.077 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAAMIN | 167 | .253/.339/.390 | 2 | 1 | 61 | — | .211/.273/.309 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA/AAARI | 393 | .228/.316/.418 | 14 | 7 | 45 | — | .176/.236/.313 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 82 | 76 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 145 | 198 | 145 | 342 | 200 | 26 | 6 | 164 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 188 | 167 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 275 | 339 | 341 | 680 | 66 | 319 | 14 | 9 | 303 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 230 | 208 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 288 | 354 | 389 | 743 | 101 | 328 | 12 | 9 | 334 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 32 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 483 | 531 | 621 | 1.152 | 138 | 538 | 9 | 9 | 509 | 230 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 197 | 167 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 314 | 299 | 614 | 96 | 250 | 18 | 14 | 282 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 172 | 149 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 302 | 392 | 436 | 828 | 134 | 353 | 17 | 12 | 371 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 205 | 179 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 263 | 343 | 408 | 751 | 145 | 313 | 20 | 10 | 332 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 179 | 156 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 199 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 103 | 266 | 26 | 11 | 269 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 32 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 91 | 375 | 91 | 466 | 125 | 19 | 31 | 275 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 167 | 146 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 253 | 339 | 390 | 730 | 137 | 327 | 23 | 11 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 50 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 306 | 405 | 711 | 214 | 280 | 32 | 14 | 310 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 343 | 300 | 70 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 91 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 233 | 318 | 420 | 738 | 187 | 286 | 27 | 11 | 323 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 82 | 77 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 130 | 173 | 130 | 303 | 191 | 34 | 5 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 188 | 170 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 311 | 324 | 635 | 65 | 322 | 21 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 230 | 215 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 288 | 330 | 618 | 88 | 283 | 16 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 197 | 174 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 268 | 276 | 544 | 92 | 240 | 26 | 10 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 172 | 156 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 333 | 372 | 705 | 103 | 328 | 20 | 8 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 205 | 184 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 59 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 289 | 348 | 636 | 125 | 285 | 29 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 179 | 163 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 233 | 239 | 472 | 67 | 247 | 31 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 32 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 250 | 77 | 327 | 119 | 22 | 19 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 167 | 152 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 273 | 309 | 582 | 99 | 287 | 28 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 50 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 265 | 386 | 652 | 205 | 239 | 38 | 10 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 343 | 314 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 110 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 175 | 231 | 303 | 534 | 127 | 228 | 32 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 82 | 77 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 130 | 173 | 130 | 303 | 204 | 34 | 5 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 82 | 76 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 145 | 198 | 145 | 342 | 200 | 26 | 6 | 164 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 450 | 415 | 103 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 82 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 248 | 297 | 323 | 620 | 75 | 304 | 18 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 450 | 404 | 120 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 56 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 297 | 360 | 386 | 746 | 89 | 340 | 12 | 9 | 334 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 197 | 174 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 268 | 276 | 544 | 92 | 252 | 26 | 10 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 197 | 167 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 314 | 299 | 614 | 96 | 250 | 18 | 14 | 282 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 341 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 243 | 306 | 358 | 664 | 114 | 314 | 25 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 377 | 328 | 92 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 71 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 280 | 366 | 421 | 786 | 140 | 332 | 19 | 11 | 349 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 179 | 163 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 233 | 239 | 472 | 67 | 250 | 31 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 179 | 156 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 199 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 103 | 266 | 26 | 11 | 269 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 32 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 250 | 77 | 327 | 105 | 22 | 19 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 32 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 91 | 375 | 91 | 466 | 125 | 19 | 31 | 275 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 167 | 152 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 273 | 309 | 582 | 99 | 292 | 28 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA RAW | St. Paul Saints | — | 167 | 146 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 253 | 339 | 390 | 730 | 137 | 327 | 23 | 11 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 358 | 63 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 129 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 176 | 236 | 313 | 549 | 137 | 239 | 33 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 393 | 342 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 107 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 228 | 316 | 418 | 734 | 190 | 286 | 27 | 11 | 322 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 82 | 78 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 128 | 173 | 128 | 301 | 191 | 34 | 5 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 450 | 418 | 103 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 82 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 246 | 297 | 321 | 618 | 74 | 301 | 18 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 197 | 175 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 268 | 274 | 542 | 91 | 240 | 26 | 10 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 343 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 242 | 306 | 356 | 662 | 114 | 305 | 25 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 179 | 164 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 233 | 238 | 471 | 67 | 247 | 31 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 32 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 250 | 77 | 327 | 119 | 22 | 19 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 167 | 152 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 273 | 309 | 582 | 99 | 287 | 28 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 362 | 63 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 129 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 174 | 236 | 309 | 545 | 135 | 229 | 33 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1877 | 1706 | 353 | 78 | 10 | 21 | 139 | 493 | 5 | 25 | 10 | 207 | 269 | 301 | 570 | 94 | 276 | 26 | 7 | 251 | 56 | -98 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +41 | -5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 121 | 27 | 3 | 7 | 48 | 171 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 205 | 267 | 296 | 563 | 91 | 273 | 26 | 7 | 251 | 56 | -34 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 343 PAwOBA .317 → .235 (−82)K% 26.5% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.53% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.79% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.14% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.958 | 15.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.13% | ÷1.022 | ×0.840 | ×0.982 | ×0.958 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.094 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 4.36% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 88, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .317 → .235; ISO .187 → .135; BABIP .286 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAReno Aces · 50 PAwOBA .302 → .236 (−66)K% 32.0% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.00% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 9.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 10.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.100 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 6.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.74% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 120, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .302 → .236; ISO .214 → .174; BABIP .280 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASt. Paul Saints · 167 PAwOBA .319 → .258 (−61)K% 22.8% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.75% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.38% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.37% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×0.992 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.992 | 9.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.992 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.121 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .319 → .258; ISO .137 → .108; BABIP .327 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAkron RubberDucks · 32 PAwOBA .257 → .199 (−58)K% 18.8% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 28.12% | ÷1.019 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 19.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 11.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 102, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .257 → .199; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAReading Fightin Phils · 179 PAwOBA .259 → .219 (−40)K% 25.7% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.70% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.50% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.27% | ÷0.964 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×0.998 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.101 | ×0.860 | ×1.007 | ×0.998 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.007 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.164 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .259 → .219; ISO .103 → .077; BABIP .266 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Clearwater Threshers · 205 PAwOBA .326 → .271 (−55)K% 20.5% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.49% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.36% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷0.907 | ×0.960 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 100, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .326 → .271; ISO .145 → .122; BABIP .313 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAReading Fightin Phils · 172 PAwOBA .360 → .307 (−53)K% 16.9% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.86% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.33% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 27.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.063 | ×0.950 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.220 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 113, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .360 → .307; ISO .134 → .101; BABIP .353 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Clearwater Threshers · 197 PAwOBA .278 → .239 (−40)K% 18.3% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.27% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.71% | ÷1.011 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 10.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.56% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 16.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷0.947 | ×0.960 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.964 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.70% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .278 → .239; ISO .096 → .089; BABIP .250 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).