Hunter Cole
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | AASF | 319 | .249/.328/.431 | 7 | 2 | 74 | — | .210/.271/.359 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA/AATEX | 423 | .299/.368/.479 | 16 | 1 | 88 | — | .256/.303/.391 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAAMIL | 116 | .308/.379/.529 | 5 | 0 | 88 | — | .252/.310/.430 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 208 | 192 | 56 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 292 | 340 | 464 | 803 | 172 | 368 | 22 | 7 | 350 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 245 | 217 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 313 | 379 | 493 | 872 | 180 | 358 | 17 | 8 | 378 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 46 | 40 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 275 | 370 | 425 | 795 | 150 | 393 | 26 | 11 | 358 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 513 | 469 | 127 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 115 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 271 | 323 | 420 | 743 | 149 | 329 | 22 | 6 | 326 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 79 | 68 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 325 | 338 | 663 | 103 | 275 | 22 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 319 | 281 | 70 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 328 | 431 | 759 | 181 | 293 | 20 | 10 | 332 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 190 | 178 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 264 | 307 | 438 | 745 | 174 | 331 | 28 | 6 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 233 | 200 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 330 | 417 | 515 | 932 | 185 | 414 | 24 | 12 | 407 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 116 | 104 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 379 | 529 | 908 | 221 | 409 | 28 | 10 | 398 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 208 | 196 | 52 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 301 | 423 | 724 | 158 | 344 | 27 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 245 | 223 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 57 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 256 | 308 | 386 | 694 | 130 | 311 | 23 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 46 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 261 | 286 | 547 | 95 | 330 | 35 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 513 | 481 | 115 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 144 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 239 | 275 | 353 | 629 | 114 | 309 | 28 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 319 | 290 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 271 | 359 | 629 | 148 | 263 | 26 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 190 | 181 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 254 | 348 | 602 | 127 | 303 | 34 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 233 | 211 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 284 | 343 | 427 | 770 | 142 | 383 | 31 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 116 | 107 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 310 | 430 | 740 | 178 | 354 | 36 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 499 | 460 | 118 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 129 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 257 | 305 | 396 | 701 | 139 | 335 | 26 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 499 | 449 | 135 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 100 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 301 | 362 | 474 | 836 | 174 | 365 | 20 | 8 | 364 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 592 | 554 | 134 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 166 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 242 | 278 | 363 | 641 | 121 | 318 | 28 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 592 | 537 | 143 | 26 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 132 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 266 | 323 | 410 | 733 | 143 | 322 | 22 | 7 | 322 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 319 | 290 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 271 | 359 | 629 | 148 | 266 | 26 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 319 | 281 | 70 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 328 | 431 | 759 | 181 | 293 | 20 | 10 | 332 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 392 | 100 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 137 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 255 | 303 | 390 | 693 | 135 | 356 | 32 | 6 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 423 | 378 | 113 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 108 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 299 | 368 | 479 | 846 | 180 | 376 | 26 | 9 | 372 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 116 | 107 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 310 | 430 | 740 | 178 | 377 | 36 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 116 | 104 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 379 | 529 | 908 | 221 | 409 | 28 | 10 | 398 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 499 | 464 | 118 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 129 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 254 | 305 | 392 | 697 | 138 | 327 | 26 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 592 | 559 | 134 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 166 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 240 | 278 | 360 | 638 | 120 | 309 | 28 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 319 | 292 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 271 | 356 | 627 | 147 | 263 | 26 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 393 | 100 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 137 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 303 | 389 | 692 | 135 | 347 | 32 | 6 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 116 | 106 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 310 | 434 | 744 | 179 | 354 | 36 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1949 | 1803 | 440 | 84 | 18 | 42 | 106 | 556 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 244 | 291 | 380 | 672 | 136 | 324 | 29 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -44 | -3 | +0 | -21 | +42 | -2.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 147 | 28 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 185 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 245 | 291 | 381 | 672 | 136 | 325 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -15 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAANashville Sounds · 116 PAwOBA .387 → .298 (−89)K% 28.4% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.45% | ÷1.015 | ×1.290 | — | — | 36.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.17% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 25.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.45% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.069 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 5.52% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .387 → .298; ISO .221 → .162; BABIP .409 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 233 PAwOBA .398 → .330 (−68)K% 23.6% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.61% | ÷0.922 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.16% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.41% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×0.988 | 30.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×1.039 | ×0.988 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.039 | ×0.988 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.01% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .398 → .330; ISO .185 → .140; BABIP .414 → .383. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAARound Rock Express · 190 PAwOBA .320 → .262 (−58)K% 27.9% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.89% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.79% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.60% | ÷0.962 | ×0.900 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 24.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.60% | ÷1.019 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.40% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 5.20% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 92, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 111, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .320 → .262; ISO .174 → .132; BABIP .331 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 319 PAwOBA .328 → .277 (−51)K% 20.1% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.06% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.72% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.51% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 16.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.22% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .328 → .277; ISO .181 → .157; BABIP .293 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 513 PAwOBA .321 → .275 (−46)K% 22.4% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.42% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.04% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.29% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 23.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.67% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .321 → .275; ISO .149 → .122; BABIP .329 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+San Jose Giants · 245 PAwOBA .374 → .306 (−68)K% 17.1% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.14% | ÷0.983 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.76% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.29% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 24.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.29% | ÷1.071 | ×0.820 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 1.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 3.05% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .374 → .306; ISO .180 → .139; BABIP .358 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 208 PAwOBA .343 → .301 (−42)K% 22.1% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.12% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.73% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.96% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 9.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.025 | ×0.950 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 2.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .343 → .301; ISO .172 → .151; BABIP .368 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAugusta GreenJackets · 46 PAwOBA .349 → .258 (−91)K% 26.1% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷0.996 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.87% | ÷0.989 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 7.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 16.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.055 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 16.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .349 → .258; ISO .150 → .106; BABIP .393 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .