Pat Cantwell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | AAATEX | 32 | .133/.188/.133 | 0 | 1 | -29 | — | .100/.156/.100 |
| 2018 | 28 | AATOR | 155 | .276/.391/.433 | 4 | 2 | 103 | — | .265/.358/.394 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAATOR | 80 | .217/.316/.275 | 0 | 1 | 34 | — | .167/.241/.208 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 289 | 257 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 249 | 316 | 311 | 627 | 62 | 294 | 15 | 6 | 283 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 325 | 276 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 58 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 268 | 365 | 341 | 705 | 72 | 330 | 18 | 6 | 322 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 42 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 262 | 189 | 451 | 27 | 214 | 21 | 10 | 222 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 52 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 136 | 240 | 182 | 422 | 45 | 188 | 23 | 4 | 201 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 221 | 198 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 258 | 268 | 526 | 81 | 221 | 19 | 7 | 240 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 202 | 183 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 262 | 328 | 306 | 634 | 44 | 356 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 32 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 133 | 321 | 211 | 34 | 0 | 159 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 28 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 155 | 127 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 391 | 433 | 824 | 157 | 330 | 20 | 12 | 363 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 80 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 316 | 275 | 592 | 58 | 333 | 30 | 11 | 276 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 289 | 263 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 61 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 270 | 270 | 539 | 53 | 260 | 21 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 325 | 283 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 72 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 333 | 322 | 655 | 71 | 311 | 22 | 4 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 52 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 133 | 220 | 178 | 398 | 44 | 173 | 29 | 2 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 221 | 203 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 217 | 236 | 453 | 74 | 191 | 23 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 202 | 187 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 63 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 225 | 279 | 257 | 535 | 32 | 325 | 31 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 32 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 156 | 100 | 256 | 183 | 44 | 0 | 126 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 28 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 155 | 132 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 358 | 394 | 752 | 129 | 313 | 24 | 8 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 80 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 241 | 208 | 449 | 42 | 297 | 38 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 289 | 263 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 61 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 270 | 270 | 539 | 53 | 276 | 21 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 289 | 257 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 249 | 316 | 311 | 627 | 62 | 294 | 15 | 6 | 283 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 322 | 80 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 81 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 328 | 317 | 645 | 68 | 324 | 22 | 4 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 367 | 313 | 80 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 67 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 256 | 353 | 323 | 675 | 67 | 317 | 18 | 7 | 311 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 273 | 247 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 217 | 223 | 440 | 69 | 194 | 24 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 273 | 242 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 255 | 252 | 507 | 74 | 215 | 20 | 7 | 232 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 202 | 187 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 63 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 225 | 279 | 257 | 535 | 32 | 336 | 31 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 202 | 183 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 262 | 328 | 306 | 634 | 44 | 356 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 32 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 156 | 100 | 256 | 188 | 44 | 0 | 126 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 32 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 133 | 321 | 211 | 34 | 0 | 159 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 28 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 155 | 132 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 358 | 394 | 752 | 129 | 340 | 24 | 8 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 155 | 127 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 391 | 433 | 824 | 157 | 330 | 20 | 12 | 363 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 80 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 241 | 208 | 449 | 42 | 286 | 38 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 80 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 316 | 275 | 592 | 58 | 333 | 30 | 11 | 276 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 289 | 268 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 61 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 213 | 270 | 265 | 534 | 52 | 260 | 21 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 326 | 80 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 81 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 245 | 328 | 313 | 641 | 67 | 311 | 22 | 4 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 273 | 251 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 151 | 217 | 219 | 436 | 68 | 188 | 24 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 202 | 186 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 63 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 226 | 279 | 258 | 537 | 32 | 325 | 31 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 32 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 156 | 100 | 256 | 183 | 44 | 0 | 126 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 28 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 155 | 135 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 259 | 358 | 385 | 743 | 126 | 313 | 24 | 8 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 80 | 73 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 241 | 205 | 446 | 41 | 297 | 38 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1398 | 1253 | 267 | 43 | 6 | 8 | 69 | 352 | 50 | 14 | 10 | 213 | 281 | 276 | 557 | 63 | 287 | 25 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -79 | -1 | +0 | +25 | +30 | -2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 125 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 164 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 214 | 282 | 280 | 562 | 65 | 288 | 25 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -37 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAABuffalo Bisons · 80 PAwOBA .270 → .219 (−51)K% 30.0% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.25% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 22.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 7.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .270 → .219; ISO .058 → .047; BABIP .333 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 155 PAwOBA .359 → .320 (−38)K% 20.0% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷0.961 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.87% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 3.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.04% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×0.968 | 25.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.980 | ×0.860 | ×1.032 | ×0.968 | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.086 | ×0.950 | ×1.032 | ×0.968 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.945 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 3.33% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 117, K 107, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .359 → .320; ISO .157 → .137; BABIP .330 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARound Rock Express · 32 PAwOBA .155 → .126 (−29)K% 34.4% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.38% | ÷1.033 | ×1.290 | — | — | 42.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 6.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.039 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 18.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.117 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 107, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .155 → .126; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .211 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARound Rock Express · 202 PAwOBA .287 → .237 (−50)K% 24.3% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.26% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.43% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.85% | ÷0.949 | ×0.900 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 28.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.079 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.839 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 90, 2B 116, 3B 95, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .287 → .237; ISO .044 → .031; BABIP .356 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 221 PAwOBA .236 → .197 (−39)K% 19.5% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.46% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.24% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.71% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 16.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 1.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.94% | ÷0.946 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .236 → .197; ISO .081 → .068; BABIP .221 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARound Rock Express · 52 PAwOBA .197 → .180 (−17)K% 23.1% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.69% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 7.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 14.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 2.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.184 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .197 → .180; ISO .045 → .042; BABIP .188 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 325 PAwOBA .318 → .286 (−32)K% 17.8% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.85% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.15% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.77% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 5.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 24.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷0.890 | ×0.840 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.921 | ×0.940 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.322 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.28% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 84, K 97, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .318 → .286; ISO .072 → .069; BABIP .330 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 289 PAwOBA .278 → .233 (−45)K% 15.2% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.22% | ÷1.031 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 3.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.77% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷1.072 | ×0.940 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.800 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.847 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 114, 2B 108, 3B 117, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .278 → .233; ISO .062 → .053; BABIP .294 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .