Christopher Bostick
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | AAAPIT | 549 | .294/.364/.418 | 7 | 8 | 98 | — | .277/.332/.386 | |
| 2017 | 24 | MLBPIT | 32 | .296/.406/.370 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 0.3 | ||
| 2018 | 25 | AAANew Orleans B… | 398 | .293/.350/.412 | 4 | 7 | 74 | — | .243/.289/.338 | |
| 2018 | 25 | MLBMIA | 18 | .188/.278/.250 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 0.1 | ||
| 2019 | 26 | AAABAL | 442 | .258/.326/.421 | 12 | 4 | 69 | — | .220/.271/.369 | |
| 2020 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 57 | 52 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 442 | 482 | 654 | 1.136 | 212 | 564 | 21 | 5 | 488 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 555 | 489 | 138 | 25 | 8 | 14 | 51 | 122 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 357 | 452 | 809 | 170 | 346 | 22 | 9 | 354 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 556 | 495 | 124 | 31 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 116 | 7 | 24 | 11 | 251 | 324 | 412 | 736 | 162 | 304 | 21 | 8 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 317 | 296 | 73 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 247 | 288 | 402 | 690 | 155 | 278 | 18 | 4 | 302 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 264 | 234 | 64 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 44 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 274 | 346 | 393 | 739 | 120 | 319 | 17 | 7 | 329 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 78 | 71 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 268 | 333 | 549 | 883 | 282 | 341 | 29 | 9 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 242 | 222 | 45 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 203 | 263 | 297 | 560 | 95 | 279 | 28 | 7 | 253 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 297 | 262 | 76 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 290 | 361 | 462 | 823 | 172 | 347 | 20 | 8 | 357 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 32 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 406 | 370 | 777 | 74 | 444 | 28 | 12 | 360 | 128 | +1 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 549 | 486 | 143 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 97 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 294 | 364 | 418 | 781 | 123 | 353 | 18 | 8 | 345 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 250 | 528 | 62 | 333 | 39 | 11 | 249 | 60 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 398 | 362 | 106 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 85 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 293 | 350 | 412 | 762 | 119 | 371 | 21 | 7 | 338 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 442 | 392 | 101 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 99 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 258 | 326 | 421 | 747 | 163 | 312 | 22 | 7 | 326 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 50 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 360 | 326 | 686 | 70 | 407 | 32 | 12 | 320 | 103 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 57 | 53 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 340 | 375 | 509 | 884 | 170 | 452 | 30 | 4 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 555 | 504 | 111 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 171 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 220 | 280 | 341 | 621 | 121 | 302 | 31 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 556 | 511 | 106 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 172 | 7 | 24 | 11 | 207 | 262 | 341 | 603 | 133 | 280 | 31 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 317 | 300 | 71 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 237 | 268 | 373 | 642 | 137 | 277 | 21 | 3 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 264 | 241 | 58 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 62 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 241 | 296 | 349 | 645 | 108 | 293 | 23 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 242 | 228 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 85 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 167 | 208 | 250 | 458 | 83 | 248 | 35 | 4 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 297 | 269 | 69 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 72 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 257 | 313 | 379 | 692 | 123 | 323 | 24 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 32 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 406 | 370 | 777 | 74 | 444 | 28 | 12 | 358 | 128 | +1 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 549 | 498 | 138 | 27 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 113 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 277 | 332 | 386 | 718 | 108 | 336 | 21 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 250 | 528 | 62 | 333 | 39 | 11 | 257 | 60 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 398 | 370 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 104 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 243 | 289 | 338 | 627 | 95 | 325 | 26 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 442 | 404 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 122 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 220 | 271 | 369 | 640 | 149 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 57 | 53 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 340 | 375 | 509 | 884 | 170 | 486 | 30 | 4 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Athletics | — | 57 | 52 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 442 | 482 | 654 | 1.136 | 212 | 564 | 21 | 5 | 488 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 555 | 504 | 111 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 171 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 220 | 280 | 341 | 621 | 121 | 308 | 31 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Beloit Snappers | — | 555 | 489 | 138 | 25 | 8 | 14 | 51 | 122 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 357 | 452 | 809 | 170 | 346 | 22 | 9 | 354 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 556 | 511 | 106 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 172 | 7 | 24 | 11 | 207 | 262 | 341 | 603 | 133 | 288 | 31 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 556 | 495 | 124 | 31 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 116 | 7 | 24 | 11 | 251 | 324 | 412 | 736 | 162 | 304 | 21 | 8 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 659 | 616 | 145 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 147 | 12 | 37 | 9 | 235 | 276 | 356 | 632 | 120 | 289 | 22 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 659 | 601 | 156 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 123 | 12 | 37 | 9 | 260 | 316 | 416 | 732 | 156 | 300 | 19 | 6 | 322 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 539 | 497 | 107 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 157 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 215 | 266 | 320 | 585 | 105 | 300 | 29 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 539 | 484 | 121 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 125 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 250 | 316 | 386 | 703 | 136 | 317 | 23 | 8 | 311 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 581 | 525 | 146 | 29 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 122 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 278 | 336 | 385 | 721 | 107 | 348 | 21 | 6 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 581 | 513 | 151 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 106 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 294 | 366 | 415 | 781 | 121 | 357 | 18 | 8 | 346 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 386 | 93 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 289 | 334 | 623 | 93 | 328 | 27 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 416 | 378 | 109 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 92 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 288 | 347 | 405 | 752 | 116 | 370 | 22 | 7 | 335 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 442 | 404 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 122 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 220 | 271 | 369 | 640 | 149 | 281 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 442 | 392 | 101 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 99 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 258 | 326 | 421 | 747 | 163 | 312 | 22 | 7 | 326 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 57 | 54 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 333 | 375 | 500 | 875 | 167 | 452 | 30 | 4 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 555 | 508 | 111 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 171 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 219 | 280 | 339 | 619 | 120 | 302 | 31 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 556 | 513 | 106 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 172 | 7 | 24 | 11 | 207 | 262 | 339 | 601 | 133 | 280 | 31 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 659 | 619 | 145 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 147 | 12 | 37 | 9 | 234 | 276 | 354 | 630 | 120 | 284 | 22 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 539 | 500 | 107 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 157 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 214 | 266 | 318 | 584 | 104 | 289 | 29 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 581 | 530 | 146 | 29 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 122 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 275 | 336 | 381 | 717 | 106 | 342 | 21 | 6 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 387 | 93 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 240 | 289 | 333 | 622 | 93 | 325 | 27 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 442 | 411 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 122 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 217 | 271 | 363 | 633 | 146 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 50 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 360 | 326 | 686 | 70 | 407 | 32 | 12 | 320 | 73 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 559 | 143 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 208 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 256 | 360 | 326 | 686 | 70 | 407 | 32 | 12 | 320 | 73 | +2 | -5 | -6 | +46 | +14 | 5.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3805 | 3496 | 815 | 156 | 40 | 60 | 201 | 1019 | 51 | 120 | 54 | 233 | 285 | 352 | 637 | 119 | 309 | 27 | 5 | 276 | 73 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 139 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 174 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 233 | 284 | 352 | 636 | 119 | 309 | 27 | 5 | 276 | 73 | +2 | -5 | -6 | +46 | +14 | 5.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAANorfolk Tides · 442 PAwOBA .320 → .270 (−51)K% 22.4% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.40% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.47% | ÷1.103 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.84% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 19.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.51% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷0.889 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.94% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 95, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .320 → .270; ISO .163 → .149; BABIP .312 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 398 PAwOBA .330 → .278 (−52)K% 21.4% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.36% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.04% | ÷0.990 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.71% | ÷1.054 | ×0.900 | ×0.988 | ×1.033 | 23.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.03% | ÷0.906 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×1.033 | 8.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.031 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×1.033 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.952 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 81, 3B 106, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .330 → .278; ISO .119 → .102; BABIP .371 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 549 PAwOBA .338 → .313 (−25)K% 17.7% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.67% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.01% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷0.950 | ×0.930 | ×0.973 | ×1.048 | 25.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.48% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.048 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×1.048 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.850 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.86% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 90, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 106, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .338 → .313; ISO .123 → .112; BABIP .353 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAHarrisburg Senators · 297 PAwOBA .353 → .301 (−52)K% 19.5% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.53% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 24.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷0.922 | ×0.860 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.137 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 3.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.445 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 189, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .353 → .301; ISO .172 → .129; BABIP .347 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 242 PAwOBA .246 → .199 (−47)K% 27.7% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.69% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.20% | ÷1.110 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷1.048 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 17.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.29% | ÷0.978 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.16% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 90, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .246 → .199; ISO .095 → .081; BABIP .279 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAHarrisburg Senators · 317 PAwOBA .295 → .273 (−22)K% 17.7% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.67% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.79% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 2.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.042 | 20.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.070 | ×0.860 | ×0.990 | ×1.042 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.916 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | ×1.042 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.986 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 92, 2B 114, 3B 83, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .295 → .273; ISO .155 → .135; BABIP .278 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Potomac Nationals · 264 PAwOBA .323 → .275 (−48)K% 16.7% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.006 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.20% | ÷1.022 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.65% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 2.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.74% | ÷1.030 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 23.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.58% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷0.900 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 2.13% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .323 → .275; ISO .120 → .107; BABIP .319 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 556 PAwOBA .318 → .258 (−60)K% 20.9% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.86% | ÷0.957 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.27% | ÷0.954 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.53% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×1.027 | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.18% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×1.027 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.982 | ×1.027 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .318 → .258; ISO .162 → .132; BABIP .304 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .