Rando Moreno
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 518 | .264/.314/.325 | 1 | 12 | 68 | — | .280/.315/.342 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 530 | .245/.293/.307 | 1 | 6 | 50 | — | .236/.272/.291 |
| 2017 | 25 | AASF | 199 | .200/.249/.227 | 0 | 3 | 17 | — | .185/.218/.206 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants | — | 142 | 117 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 222 | 355 | 265 | 620 | 43 | 263 | 13 | 14 | 298 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK | DSL Giants | — | 293 | 243 | 65 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 33 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 267 | 384 | 300 | 684 | 33 | 307 | 11 | 14 | 321 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 37 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 353 | 371 | 500 | 871 | 147 | 429 | 16 | 3 | 361 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 130 | 117 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 342 | 403 | 453 | 856 | 111 | 404 | 14 | 9 | 380 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 100 | 87 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 218 | 277 | 218 | 495 | 268 | 17 | 7 | 221 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 376 | 330 | 65 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 44 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 197 | 262 | 227 | 489 | 30 | 222 | 12 | 6 | 221 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 484 | 429 | 118 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 62 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 275 | 325 | 340 | 666 | 65 | 318 | 13 | 6 | 289 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 34 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 156 | 100 | 256 | 136 | 24 | 6 | 121 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 156 | 147 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 299 | 327 | 381 | 708 | 82 | 347 | 15 | 3 | 311 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 189 | 177 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 215 | 261 | 271 | 532 | 56 | 257 | 15 | 5 | 243 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 141 | 125 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 248 | 319 | 288 | 607 | 40 | 284 | 12 | 8 | 277 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 233 | 250 | 483 | 75 | 226 | 20 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 199 | 185 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 200 | 249 | 227 | 476 | 27 | 230 | 13 | 6 | 220 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 142 | 123 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 146 | 255 | 179 | 434 | 33 | 174 | 15 | 10 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 293 | 256 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 40 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 180 | 273 | 199 | 473 | 20 | 209 | 14 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 324 | 343 | 471 | 813 | 147 | 399 | 22 | 3 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 130 | 122 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 246 | 287 | 320 | 606 | 74 | 311 | 20 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 100 | 89 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 213 | 255 | 213 | 469 | 260 | 22 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 376 | 337 | 60 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 56 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 178 | 228 | 205 | 433 | 27 | 197 | 15 | 4 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 484 | 439 | 123 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 76 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 280 | 315 | 342 | 656 | 62 | 316 | 16 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 156 | 148 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 291 | 314 | 372 | 685 | 81 | 339 | 19 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 189 | 181 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 204 | 234 | 254 | 488 | 50 | 258 | 19 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 141 | 128 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 219 | 275 | 250 | 525 | 31 | 256 | 16 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 199 | 189 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 185 | 218 | 206 | 425 | 21 | 221 | 16 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 142 | 123 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 146 | 255 | 179 | 434 | 33 | 178 | 15 | 10 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants | — | 142 | 117 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 222 | 355 | 265 | 620 | 43 | 263 | 13 | 14 | 298 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 293 | 256 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 40 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 180 | 273 | 199 | 473 | 20 | 211 | 14 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants | — | 293 | 243 | 65 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 33 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 267 | 384 | 300 | 684 | 33 | 307 | 11 | 14 | 321 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 156 | 42 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 269 | 305 | 359 | 664 | 90 | 344 | 20 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 167 | 151 | 52 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 344 | 396 | 464 | 860 | 119 | 409 | 14 | 8 | 376 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 426 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 78 | 7 | 26 | 9 | 185 | 234 | 207 | 441 | 21 | 222 | 16 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 417 | 84 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 61 | 7 | 26 | 9 | 201 | 265 | 225 | 490 | 24 | 231 | 13 | 6 | 221 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 470 | 132 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 81 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 281 | 314 | 343 | 657 | 62 | 336 | 16 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 459 | 121 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 70 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 264 | 314 | 325 | 639 | 61 | 308 | 14 | 6 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 530 | 499 | 118 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 236 | 270 | 291 | 561 | 54 | 290 | 18 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 530 | 489 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 78 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 245 | 293 | 307 | 600 | 61 | 289 | 15 | 5 | 270 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 199 | 189 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 185 | 218 | 206 | 425 | 21 | 222 | 16 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 199 | 185 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 200 | 249 | 227 | 476 | 27 | 230 | 13 | 6 | 220 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 142 | 123 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 146 | 255 | 179 | 434 | 33 | 174 | 15 | 10 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 293 | 258 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 40 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 178 | 273 | 198 | 471 | 19 | 209 | 14 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 157 | 42 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 268 | 305 | 357 | 662 | 89 | 330 | 20 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 446 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 78 | 7 | 26 | 9 | 177 | 234 | 197 | 431 | 20 | 210 | 16 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 490 | 132 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 81 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 269 | 314 | 329 | 643 | 59 | 316 | 16 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 530 | 502 | 118 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 235 | 270 | 289 | 559 | 54 | 283 | 18 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 199 | 189 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 185 | 218 | 206 | 425 | 21 | 221 | 16 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2325 | 2119 | 470 | 61 | 11 | 3 | 119 | 383 | 21 | 88 | 52 | 222 | 270 | 265 | 535 | 43 | 268 | 16 | 5 | 234 | 45 | -153 | -3 | +0 | +25 | +50 | -8.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 131 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 107 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 221 | 269 | 265 | 534 | 44 | 267 | 16 | 5 | 234 | 45 | -43 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 199 PAwOBA .213 → .193 (−20)K% 12.6% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.56% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.53% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 19.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 2.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .213 → .193; ISO .027 → .022; BABIP .230 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 189 PAwOBA .237 → .218 (−18)K% 15.3% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.34% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.29% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 19.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .237 → .218; ISO .056 → .052; BABIP .257 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASacramento River Cats · 156 PAwOBA .304 → .285 (−19)K% 14.7% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.74% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.21% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 2.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.84% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | ×1.007 | ×1.048 | 29.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.048 | 2.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.048 | 2.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.082 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .304 → .285; ISO .082 → .071; BABIP .347 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+San Jose Giants · 141 PAwOBA .272 → .234 (−38)K% 12.1% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.06% | ÷0.998 | ×1.340 | — | — | 16.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.07% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×0.988 | 21.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.63% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×0.988 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.015 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .272 → .234; ISO .040 → .035; BABIP .284 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 484 PAwOBA .281 → .279 (−2)K% 12.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.81% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.99% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.89% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.027 | 26.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.029 | ×1.027 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.025 | ×0.950 | ×1.029 | ×1.027 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.27% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.25% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .281 → .279; ISO .065 → .064; BABIP .318 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAugusta GreenJackets · 376 PAwOBA .217 → .190 (−28)K% 11.7% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.70% | ÷1.053 | ×1.340 | — | — | 14.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.85% | ÷0.966 | ×0.660 | — | — | 4.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.93% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | — | 17.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.45% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | — | 2.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.890 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.32% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 111, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .217 → .190; ISO .030 → .028; BABIP .222 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+San Jose Giants · 100 PAwOBA .218 → .205 (−13)K% 17.0% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.00% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷0.996 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | ×1.012 | 26.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×1.049 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.760 | ×1.049 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 105, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .218 → .205; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .268 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Giants · 130 PAwOBA .370 → .267 (−103)K% 13.8% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.983 | ×0.985 | 24.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.983 | ×0.985 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.983 | ×0.985 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .370 → .267; ISO .111 → .076; BABIP .404 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .