Todd Hankins
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AACLE | 533 | .227/.286/.351 | 9 | 21 | 42 | — | .197/.244/.296 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AACLE | 351 | .223/.287/.293 | 3 | 17 | 28 | — | .191/.234/.250 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA/AACLE | 236 | .273/.338/.368 | 2 | 15 | 72 | — | .256/.307/.345 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 89 | 78 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 315 | 410 | 725 | 192 | 298 | 31 | 10 | 325 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 308 | 268 | 65 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 79 | 3 | 30 | 3 | 243 | 334 | 343 | 678 | 101 | 333 | 26 | 11 | 308 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 129 | 108 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 32 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 204 | 323 | 259 | 582 | 56 | 289 | 25 | 12 | 276 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 159 | 141 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 220 | 304 | 340 | 644 | 121 | 267 | 23 | 9 | 293 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 19 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 333 | 474 | 533 | 1.007 | 200 | 500 | 26 | 16 | 447 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 392 | 349 | 90 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 96 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 258 | 329 | 390 | 719 | 132 | 340 | 24 | 8 | 319 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 486 | 445 | 116 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 105 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 261 | 315 | 369 | 683 | 108 | 327 | 22 | 6 | 304 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 76 | 57 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 246 | 419 | 333 | 752 | 88 | 310 | 21 | 22 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 29 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 321 | 345 | 429 | 773 | 107 | 529 | 38 | 3 | 342 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 504 | 456 | 101 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 126 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 221 | 283 | 346 | 629 | 125 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 279 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 91 | 82 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 207 | 270 | 293 | 562 | 85 | 286 | 27 | 7 | 253 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 260 | 232 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 70 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 228 | 292 | 293 | 586 | 65 | 313 | 27 | 8 | 263 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 181 | 161 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 273 | 330 | 354 | 684 | 81 | 391 | 28 | 7 | 301 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 55 | 48 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 271 | 364 | 417 | 780 | 146 | 316 | 16 | 9 | 353 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 89 | 81 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 136 | 213 | 259 | 473 | 123 | 247 | 46 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 308 | 280 | 53 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 107 | 3 | 30 | 3 | 189 | 256 | 257 | 513 | 68 | 295 | 35 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 129 | 114 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 167 | 252 | 211 | 462 | 44 | 257 | 36 | 8 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 159 | 145 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 166 | 234 | 255 | 489 | 90 | 221 | 31 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 19 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 312 | 628 | 125 | 367 | 37 | 11 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 392 | 360 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 142 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 194 | 249 | 294 | 543 | 100 | 290 | 36 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 486 | 453 | 106 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 126 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 234 | 277 | 320 | 597 | 86 | 305 | 26 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 29 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 286 | 310 | 393 | 703 | 107 | 495 | 48 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 504 | 465 | 89 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 154 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 191 | 240 | 290 | 531 | 99 | 259 | 31 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 91 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 179 | 225 | 250 | 475 | 71 | 260 | 33 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 260 | 240 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 86 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 196 | 237 | 250 | 487 | 54 | 279 | 33 | 5 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 181 | 166 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 60 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 253 | 295 | 325 | 621 | 72 | 369 | 33 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 55 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 345 | 408 | 754 | 143 | 298 | 20 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 362 | 66 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 148 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 182 | 249 | 273 | 522 | 91 | 292 | 37 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 397 | 346 | 82 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 107 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 237 | 330 | 358 | 688 | 121 | 326 | 27 | 11 | 312 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 307 | 275 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 102 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 164 | 243 | 233 | 476 | 69 | 247 | 33 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 307 | 264 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 73 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 220 | 322 | 318 | 641 | 98 | 289 | 24 | 11 | 295 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 392 | 360 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 142 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 194 | 249 | 294 | 543 | 100 | 302 | 36 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 392 | 349 | 90 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 96 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 258 | 329 | 390 | 719 | 132 | 340 | 24 | 8 | 319 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 523 | 123 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 146 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 235 | 278 | 323 | 601 | 88 | 312 | 26 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 562 | 502 | 130 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 121 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 259 | 329 | 365 | 693 | 106 | 325 | 22 | 9 | 310 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 494 | 96 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 168 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 194 | 240 | 289 | 530 | 95 | 277 | 32 | 5 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 533 | 484 | 110 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 137 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 227 | 286 | 351 | 637 | 124 | 297 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 324 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 117 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 191 | 234 | 241 | 475 | 49 | 288 | 33 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 351 | 314 | 70 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 95 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 223 | 287 | 293 | 580 | 70 | 306 | 27 | 8 | 260 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 215 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 71 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 256 | 307 | 344 | 652 | 88 | 371 | 30 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 236 | 209 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 60 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 273 | 338 | 368 | 706 | 96 | 372 | 25 | 8 | 313 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 362 | 66 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 148 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 182 | 249 | 273 | 522 | 91 | 284 | 37 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 307 | 275 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 102 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 164 | 243 | 233 | 476 | 69 | 245 | 33 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 392 | 363 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 142 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 193 | 249 | 292 | 541 | 99 | 290 | 36 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 526 | 123 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 146 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 234 | 278 | 321 | 599 | 87 | 305 | 26 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 498 | 96 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 168 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 193 | 240 | 287 | 528 | 94 | 272 | 32 | 5 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 330 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 117 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 188 | 234 | 236 | 470 | 48 | 274 | 33 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 218 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 71 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 252 | 307 | 339 | 647 | 87 | 352 | 30 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2778 | 2553 | 517 | 87 | 21 | 29 | 152 | 894 | 30 | 167 | 49 | 203 | 256 | 287 | 543 | 85 | 297 | 32 | 5 | 237 | 46 | -177 | +14 | +0 | +10 | +60 | -9.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 121 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 209 | 7 | 39 | 11 | 203 | 256 | 288 | 544 | 85 | 297 | 32 | 6 | 237 | 46 | -41 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAAColumbus Clippers · 181 PAwOBA .295 → .266 (−29)K% 28.2% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.18% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.18% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.91% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×0.992 | 29.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×0.992 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×0.992 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.135 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.67% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .295 → .266; ISO .081 → .071; BABIP .391 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAkron RubberDucks · 55 PAwOBA .344 → .304 (−40)K% 16.4% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.36% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.968 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.26% | ÷0.922 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 9.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.840 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 84, 3B 96, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .344 → .304; ISO .146 → .131; BABIP .316 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAkron RubberDucks · 260 PAwOBA .258 → .212 (−46)K% 26.9% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.54% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 24.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.32% | ÷1.072 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.008 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .258 → .212; ISO .065 → .048; BABIP .313 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 91 PAwOBA .246 → .202 (−44)K% 27.5% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.47% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | ×0.968 | ×1.003 | 20.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×1.003 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.968 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.231 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .246 → .202; ISO .085 → .062; BABIP .286 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 504 PAwOBA .272 → .229 (−43)K% 25.0% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.75% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.91% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 19.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.73% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .272 → .229; ISO .125 → .100; BABIP .285 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 29 PAwOBA .333 → .267 (−66)K% 37.9% → 47.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.93% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 47.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.45% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.18% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 38.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.901 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 6.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .333 → .267; ISO .107 → .093; BABIP .529 → .495. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 486 PAwOBA .297 → .261 (−36)K% 21.6% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.38% | ÷0.934 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×0.998 | 24.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.053 | ×0.860 | ×0.977 | ×0.998 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.977 | ×0.998 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷0.842 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .297 → .261; ISO .108 → .090; BABIP .327 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Carolina Mudcats · 392 PAwOBA .312 → .233 (−79)K% 24.5% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.49% | ÷0.961 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷0.966 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.32% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 20.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.30% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.98% | ÷0.869 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .312 → .233; ISO .132 → .099; BABIP .340 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .