Travis Taijeron
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 28 | AAALas Vegas 51s | 533 | .272/.385/.525 | 25 | 2 | 70 | — | .186/.279/.337 | |
| 2017 | 28 | MLBNYM | 59 | .173/.271/.269 | 1 | 0 | 62 | -0.9 | ||
| 2018 | 29 | AAAOklahoma City… | 318 | .271/.354/.468 | 11 | 1 | 51 | — | .179/.247/.297 | |
| 2019 | 30 | AAANYM | 453 | .229/.366/.496 | 24 | 6 | 81 | — | .174/.284/.381 | |
| 2020 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 182 | 158 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 304 | 373 | 677 | 171 | 253 | 29 | 10 | 306 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 277 | 230 | 67 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 70 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 291 | 405 | 548 | 953 | 257 | 364 | 25 | 13 | 413 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 261 | 232 | 57 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 77 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 324 | 504 | 829 | 259 | 301 | 30 | 9 | 359 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 222 | 188 | 57 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 402 | 564 | 966 | 261 | 375 | 24 | 10 | 416 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 387 | 330 | 82 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 48 | 107 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 248 | 358 | 476 | 833 | 227 | 321 | 28 | 12 | 368 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 478 | 394 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 25 | 65 | 147 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 274 | 397 | 536 | 932 | 261 | 367 | 31 | 14 | 406 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 56 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 345 | 426 | 771 | 191 | 310 | 30 | 14 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 541 | 459 | 126 | 42 | 5 | 19 | 67 | 166 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 275 | 376 | 512 | 888 | 237 | 381 | 31 | 12 | 385 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 59 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 96 | 296 | 41 | 8 | 255 | 62 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 533 | 448 | 122 | 32 | 3 | 25 | 70 | 146 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 385 | 525 | 909 | 252 | 346 | 27 | 13 | 397 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 318 | 280 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 110 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 271 | 354 | 468 | 822 | 196 | 404 | 35 | 10 | 362 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 453 | 371 | 85 | 21 | 3 | 24 | 64 | 165 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 229 | 366 | 496 | 862 | 267 | 332 | 36 | 14 | 379 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 59 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 96 | 296 | 41 | 8 | 255 | 59 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | -0.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 182 | 163 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 135 | 221 | 233 | 454 | 98 | 221 | 43 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 277 | 244 | 56 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 91 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 314 | 426 | 740 | 197 | 307 | 33 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 261 | 239 | 50 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 270 | 410 | 680 | 201 | 271 | 35 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 222 | 193 | 43 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 78 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 315 | 399 | 714 | 176 | 318 | 35 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 387 | 345 | 68 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 129 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 197 | 282 | 359 | 642 | 162 | 271 | 33 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 478 | 414 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 194 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 193 | 295 | 355 | 650 | 162 | 303 | 41 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 541 | 476 | 91 | 27 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 221 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 191 | 279 | 340 | 619 | 149 | 305 | 41 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 59 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 96 | 296 | 41 | 8 | 260 | 62 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 533 | 469 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 199 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 186 | 279 | 337 | 616 | 151 | 275 | 37 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 318 | 290 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 146 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 179 | 247 | 297 | 543 | 117 | 322 | 46 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 453 | 391 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 194 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 174 | 284 | 381 | 665 | 207 | 259 | 43 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 407 | 77 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 170 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 189 | 275 | 346 | 621 | 157 | 279 | 37 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 459 | 388 | 99 | 23 | 3 | 19 | 55 | 122 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 255 | 365 | 477 | 842 | 222 | 320 | 27 | 12 | 370 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 432 | 92 | 31 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 169 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 289 | 400 | 689 | 188 | 302 | 35 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 420 | 114 | 38 | 1 | 23 | 47 | 131 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 271 | 360 | 531 | 891 | 260 | 336 | 27 | 10 | 386 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 387 | 345 | 68 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 129 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 197 | 282 | 359 | 642 | 162 | 277 | 33 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | Binghamton Mets | — | 387 | 330 | 82 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 48 | 107 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 248 | 358 | 476 | 833 | 227 | 321 | 28 | 12 | 368 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 464 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 217 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 192 | 291 | 353 | 645 | 162 | 303 | 41 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 441 | 119 | 25 | 3 | 27 | 73 | 164 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 270 | 391 | 524 | 915 | 254 | 361 | 31 | 14 | 399 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 541 | 476 | 91 | 27 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 221 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 191 | 279 | 340 | 619 | 149 | 316 | 41 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas 51s | — | 541 | 459 | 126 | 42 | 5 | 19 | 67 | 166 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 275 | 376 | 512 | 888 | 237 | 381 | 31 | 12 | 385 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 592 | 521 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 54 | 223 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 184 | 278 | 330 | 609 | 146 | 281 | 38 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 592 | 500 | 131 | 34 | 3 | 26 | 75 | 170 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 374 | 498 | 872 | 236 | 342 | 29 | 13 | 383 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 318 | 290 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 146 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 179 | 247 | 297 | 543 | 117 | 324 | 46 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 318 | 280 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 110 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 271 | 354 | 468 | 822 | 196 | 404 | 35 | 10 | 362 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 453 | 391 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 194 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 174 | 284 | 381 | 665 | 207 | 268 | 43 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Mets | — | 453 | 371 | 85 | 21 | 3 | 24 | 64 | 165 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 229 | 366 | 496 | 862 | 267 | 332 | 36 | 14 | 379 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 408 | 77 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 170 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 189 | 275 | 346 | 620 | 157 | 273 | 37 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 434 | 92 | 31 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 169 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 289 | 399 | 687 | 187 | 293 | 35 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 387 | 343 | 68 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 129 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 198 | 282 | 362 | 644 | 163 | 271 | 33 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 464 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 217 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 192 | 291 | 353 | 645 | 162 | 303 | 41 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 541 | 478 | 91 | 27 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 221 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 190 | 279 | 339 | 618 | 149 | 305 | 41 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 592 | 519 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 54 | 223 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 278 | 331 | 610 | 146 | 277 | 38 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 318 | 289 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 146 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 180 | 247 | 298 | 544 | 118 | 322 | 46 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 453 | 390 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 194 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 174 | 284 | 382 | 666 | 208 | 259 | 43 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 59 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 96 | 296 | 41 | 8 | 255 | 74 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 99 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 264 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 96 | 295 | 41 | 8 | 255 | 74 | -32 | +0 | -9 | -70 | +14 | -9.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3767 | 3326 | 633 | 166 | 15 | 114 | 325 | 1469 | 87 | 20 | 17 | 190 | 280 | 352 | 632 | 162 | 293 | 39 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 110 | 29 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 253 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 192 | 281 | 357 | 638 | 166 | 294 | 39 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -32 | +0 | -9 | -70 | +14 | -9.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAASyracuse Mets · 453 PAwOBA .371 → .288 (−83)K% 36.4% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.42% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.13% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 9.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 3.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.96% | ÷1.042 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 14.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.19% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.65% | ÷0.960 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 9.91% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 108, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .371 → .288; ISO .267 → .215; BABIP .332 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 318 PAwOBA .355 → .243 (−112)K% 34.6% → 46.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.59% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 46.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.38% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.59% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 7.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.47% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 4.86% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 104, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .355 → .243; ISO .196 → .126; BABIP .404 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALas Vegas 51s · 533 PAwOBA .389 → .271 (−118)K% 27.4% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.39% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.13% | ÷1.015 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 9.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 2.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.53% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 17.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.60% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 8.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.28% | ÷1.209 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 5.30% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 122, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .389 → .271; ISO .252 → .155; BABIP .346 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALas Vegas 51s · 541 PAwOBA .380 → .273 (−107)K% 30.7% → 40.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.68% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.38% | ÷0.962 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 9.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.48% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | ×0.984 | ×1.003 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.33% | ÷1.128 | ×0.810 | ×0.984 | ×1.003 | 10.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷0.980 | ×0.810 | ×0.984 | ×1.003 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.48% | ÷1.088 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.66% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 126, 3B 96, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .380 → .273; ISO .237 → .154; BABIP .381 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 478 PAwOBA .397 → .292 (−105)K% 30.8% → 40.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.75% | ÷0.977 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.18% | ÷1.010 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 9.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.14% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 3.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.48% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×0.958 | ×1.018 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.91% | ÷1.042 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×1.018 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.061 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×1.018 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.12% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 7.31% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .397 → .292; ISO .261 → .173; BABIP .367 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABinghamton Mets · 387 PAwOBA .360 → .280 (−80)K% 27.6% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.65% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.40% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.59% | ÷0.990 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.45% | ÷1.050 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 10.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.73% | ÷1.009 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 5.19% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .360 → .280; ISO .227 → .172; BABIP .321 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABinghamton Mets · 261 PAwOBA .352 → .285 (−67)K% 29.5% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.50% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.20% | ÷1.019 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷0.949 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 15.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.61% | ÷0.991 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 9.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.03% | ÷1.012 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 7.05% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 90, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .352 → .285; ISO .259 → .200; BABIP .301 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+St. Lucie Mets · 222 PAwOBA .411 → .305 (−106)K% 24.3% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.32% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.36% | ÷0.949 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 8.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.60% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.15% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.988 | 16.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.93% | ÷0.959 | ×0.960 | ×0.955 | ×0.988 | 14.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.114 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×0.988 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.370 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 123, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .411 → .305; ISO .261 → .176; BABIP .375 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .