Joey Krehbiel
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 250 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.54
FIP4.59
K%17.6%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP63
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4894.4
Whiff%
p2822.2%
K%
p2418.4%
xwOBA vs
p460.316
CH+0.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | 60 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 96 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 3.71 | 3.86 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | 60 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 96 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.4% | 9.8% | 23.7% | 2.1% | 3.71 | 2.66 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Mobile BayBears | 52 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 66 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 2.59 | 3.39 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Mobile BayBears | 52 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 66 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 1.7% | 2.59 | 2.90 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 76 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 1.6% | 3.18 | 3.35 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 76 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.5% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 1.2% | 3.18 | 2.48 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 71 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.1% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 4.03 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 71 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.3% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 3.6% | 4.03 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | 51 | 0 | 64 | 315 | 67 | 44 | 16 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 14.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.69 | 6.03 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | 51 | 0 | 64 | 315 | 67 | 44 | 16 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.69 | 6.30 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 210 | 59 | 13 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 4.8% | 21.2% | 4.5% | 4.21 | 3.96 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 210 | 59 | 13 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.1% | 6.2% | 21.9% | 4.3% | 4.21 | 3.84 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 56 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 45 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 3.90 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 56 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 45 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 3.90 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 44 | 195 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 14.9% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 3.65 | 6.06 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 44 | 195 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.65 | 5.60 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 54 | 0 | 58 | 241 | 55 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 54 | 0 | 58 | 241 | 55 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 2.1% | 3.26 | 3.57 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 45 | 0 | 57 | 264 | 51 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 5.34 | 3.71 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 45 | 0 | 57 | 264 | 51 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.3% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 5.34 | 3.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | KC | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 47 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.54 | 4.59 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | KC | 55 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 42 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | KC | 49 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | KC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | KC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.16 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 73 | 0 | 78 | 324 | 60 | 27 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 3.70 | 4.56 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 836 | 155 | 70 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 3.70 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 505 | 0 | 574 | 2484 | 538 | 259 | 76 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 4.28 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 0 | 200 | 866 | 187 | 90 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joey Krehbiel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 17.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | — | 5.00 | 17.1% | 7.6% | 109 | +0.41 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 85 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 84 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 81 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 81 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 81 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 80 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 80 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 77 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.91 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 77 |
| Hector Navarro R 2028 · 4.75 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.75 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .281 | 2.93 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.82 | 2.30 | 126 | 76 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.80 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 149 | 76 |
| Tyler Thornburg R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.89 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 1.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 301 | 75 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 12.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | .265 | 4.08 | 12.5% | 5.9% | 144 | +0.30 | 3.21 | 209 | 75 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 75 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 75 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 75 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 75 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2029 · 3.54 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.54 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.3% | .328 | 3.35 | 14.8% | 10.4% | 69 | -0.19 | 3.03 | 119 | 74 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 1.17 | 4.73 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |