Austin Davidson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | A+Potomac Natio… | 432 | .272/.357/.406 | 7 | 9 | 54 | — | .207/.266/.295 |
| 2018 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 385 | .292/.377/.482 | 11 | 5 | 98 | — | .254/.314/.416 |
| 2019 | 26 | AA/A+2 orgs | 347 | .228/.327/.338 | 4 | 1 | 47 | — | .190/.260/.272 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 188 | 167 | 17 | 11 | 294 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 312 | 258 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 202 | 309 | 314 | 623 | 112 | 217 | 15 | 8 | 278 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 187 | 151 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 258 | 391 | 411 | 802 | 152 | 273 | 11 | 15 | 360 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 193 | 165 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 285 | 372 | 473 | 845 | 188 | 304 | 13 | 11 | 366 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 432 | 379 | 103 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 80 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 272 | 357 | 406 | 763 | 135 | 325 | 19 | 10 | 342 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 303 | 267 | 76 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 285 | 365 | 483 | 849 | 199 | 310 | 15 | 11 | 373 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 82 | 69 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 319 | 420 | 478 | 898 | 159 | 339 | 9 | 12 | 396 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 246 | 213 | 48 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 225 | 327 | 357 | 683 | 131 | 275 | 20 | 12 | 312 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 101 | 89 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 327 | 292 | 619 | 56 | 300 | 19 | 11 | 290 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 222 | 353 | 575 | 176 | 153 | 22 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 312 | 268 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 65 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 179 | 262 | 272 | 534 | 93 | 190 | 21 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 187 | 162 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 332 | 377 | 708 | 136 | 259 | 16 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 193 | 172 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 244 | 309 | 378 | 686 | 134 | 272 | 18 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 432 | 397 | 82 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 118 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 207 | 266 | 295 | 560 | 88 | 274 | 27 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 303 | 278 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 306 | 417 | 723 | 169 | 278 | 19 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 82 | 73 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 274 | 346 | 411 | 757 | 137 | 304 | 12 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 246 | 223 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 188 | 261 | 287 | 548 | 99 | 241 | 25 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 101 | 93 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 194 | 257 | 237 | 494 | 43 | 270 | 27 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 222 | 353 | 575 | 176 | 167 | 22 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 188 | 167 | 17 | 11 | 294 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 312 | 268 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 65 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 179 | 262 | 272 | 534 | 93 | 210 | 21 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 312 | 258 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 202 | 309 | 314 | 623 | 112 | 217 | 15 | 8 | 278 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 334 | 81 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 64 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 243 | 320 | 377 | 697 | 135 | 276 | 17 | 8 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 380 | 316 | 86 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 46 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 272 | 382 | 443 | 825 | 171 | 289 | 12 | 13 | 363 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 432 | 397 | 82 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 118 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 207 | 266 | 295 | 560 | 88 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 432 | 379 | 103 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 80 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 272 | 357 | 406 | 763 | 135 | 325 | 19 | 10 | 342 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 351 | 89 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 67 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 254 | 314 | 405 | 719 | 151 | 288 | 17 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 385 | 336 | 98 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 53 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 292 | 377 | 482 | 859 | 190 | 316 | 14 | 11 | 378 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 347 | 316 | 60 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 89 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 190 | 260 | 272 | 532 | 82 | 253 | 26 | 7 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 347 | 302 | 69 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 69 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 228 | 327 | 338 | 664 | 109 | 283 | 20 | 12 | 305 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 222 | 353 | 575 | 176 | 153 | 22 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 312 | 279 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 65 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 172 | 262 | 262 | 523 | 90 | 190 | 21 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 339 | 81 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 64 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 239 | 320 | 372 | 692 | 133 | 266 | 17 | 8 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 432 | 397 | 82 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 118 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 207 | 266 | 295 | 560 | 88 | 274 | 27 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 351 | 89 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 67 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 254 | 314 | 405 | 719 | 151 | 284 | 17 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 347 | 314 | 60 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 89 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 191 | 260 | 274 | 534 | 83 | 249 | 26 | 7 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1874 | 1683 | 363 | 80 | 10 | 29 | 129 | 407 | 33 | 27 | 22 | 216 | 285 | 327 | 611 | 111 | 264 | 22 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -74 | -3 | +0 | +7 | +41 | -3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 126 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 141 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 216 | 284 | 325 | 610 | 110 | 264 | 22 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -26 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAHarrisburg Senators · 246 PAwOBA .305 → .243 (−62)K% 20.3% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.33% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.79% | ÷1.054 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.18% | ÷0.991 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 15.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.82% | ÷0.985 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.45% | ÷1.111 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .305 → .243; ISO .131 → .101; BABIP .275 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Potomac Nationals · 101 PAwOBA .283 → .221 (−62)K% 18.8% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.81% | ÷0.983 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.89% | ÷1.023 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 6.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.968 | 20.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.928 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 86, 3B 116, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .283 → .221; ISO .056 → .046; BABIP .300 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAHarrisburg Senators · 303 PAwOBA .364 → .309 (−55)K% 15.2% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.18% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.56% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.81% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 19.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.012 | ×0.860 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 6.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.070 | ×0.950 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.52% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.81% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 114, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .364 → .309; ISO .199 → .169; BABIP .310 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Potomac Nationals · 82 PAwOBA .391 → .332 (−59)K% 8.5% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.54% | ÷0.998 | ×1.420 | — | — | 12.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.013 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷0.992 | ×0.940 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 22.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 2.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 1.40% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .391 → .332; ISO .159 → .140; BABIP .339 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Potomac Nationals · 432 PAwOBA .334 → .248 (−86)K% 18.5% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷0.963 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.95% | ÷0.982 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.41% | ÷1.050 | ×0.940 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 20.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.368 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .334 → .248; ISO .135 → .091; BABIP .325 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AHagerstown Suns · 193 PAwOBA .364 → .302 (−62)K% 13.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.47% | ÷1.002 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.88% | ÷0.960 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.42% | ÷0.954 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 18.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.07% | ÷0.946 | ×0.820 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 8.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.950 | ×0.940 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.245 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 2.35% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 91, 2B 89, 3B 90, K 100, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .364 → .302; ISO .188 → .146; BABIP .304 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Potomac Nationals · 187 PAwOBA .353 → .301 (−52)K% 10.7% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.70% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 15.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.97% | ÷1.061 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 8.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.85% | ÷0.966 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 19.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷1.025 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 102, 3B 95, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .353 → .301; ISO .152 → .136; BABIP .273 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AHagerstown Suns · 312 PAwOBA .277 → .230 (−47)K% 15.1% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.06% | ÷0.971 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.054 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.49% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 3.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.59% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | — | 14.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.992 | ×0.820 | ×1.017 | — | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.84% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | — | — | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .277 → .230; ISO .112 → .098; BABIP .217 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).