Jacob Wilson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 28 | AAA/AA/ROK/INTL4 orgs | 488 | .272/.353/.397 | 7 | 1 | 76 | — | .232/.291/.333 | |
| 2019 | 29 | AAACOL | 232 | .310/.406/.609 | 15 | 1 | 110 | — | .243/.319/.471 | |
| 2021 | 31 | AAASugar Land Sk… | 301 | .255/.350/.510 | 15 | 0 | 80 | — | .201/.276/.390 | |
| 2021 | 31 | MLBHOU | 21 | .150/.190/.300 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0.0 | ||
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 137 | 117 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 294 | 291 | 585 | 111 | 191 | 15 | 12 | 273 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 409 | 348 | 92 | 24 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 54 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 264 | 357 | 468 | 825 | 204 | 268 | 13 | 10 | 357 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 51 | 46 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 373 | 413 | 786 | 109 | 325 | 10 | 8 | 355 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 145 | 131 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 305 | 368 | 519 | 887 | 214 | 337 | 16 | 8 | 387 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 138 | 121 | 36 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 366 | 397 | 762 | 99 | 360 | 17 | 9 | 335 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 98 | 90 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 289 | 347 | 389 | 736 | 100 | 347 | 15 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 342 | 307 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 68 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 298 | 391 | 688 | 160 | 256 | 20 | 7 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 141 | 120 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 225 | 331 | 450 | 781 | 225 | 222 | 18 | 12 | 342 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 253 | 226 | 50 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 55 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 221 | 296 | 389 | 685 | 168 | 253 | 22 | 8 | 304 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 101 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 323 | 476 | 799 | 250 | 236 | 25 | 12 | 334 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 503 | 432 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 50 | 97 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 248 | 342 | 417 | 759 | 169 | 276 | 19 | 10 | 336 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 364 | 316 | 89 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 63 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 361 | 392 | 753 | 111 | 333 | 17 | 9 | 333 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 71 | 61 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 324 | 492 | 815 | 246 | 234 | 18 | 10 | 342 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 16 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 375 | 400 | 775 | 67 | 357 | 6 | 6 | 350 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 37 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 324 | 258 | 582 | 65 | 353 | 38 | 14 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 232 | 197 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 31 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 310 | 406 | 609 | 1.015 | 299 | 329 | 19 | 13 | 433 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 300 | 490 | 150 | 176 | 14 | 5 | 214 | 28 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 301 | 259 | 66 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 350 | 510 | 860 | 255 | 274 | 21 | 11 | 372 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 300 | 490 | 150 | 176 | 14 | 5 | 214 | 31 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 137 | 122 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 243 | 262 | 505 | 107 | 169 | 21 | 9 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 409 | 363 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 75 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 212 | 281 | 377 | 659 | 165 | 213 | 18 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 145 | 134 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 306 | 403 | 709 | 149 | 299 | 20 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 138 | 124 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 306 | 347 | 653 | 97 | 319 | 25 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 342 | 313 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 91 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 235 | 288 | 523 | 109 | 215 | 27 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 141 | 125 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 184 | 266 | 344 | 610 | 160 | 187 | 22 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 253 | 232 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 72 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 181 | 240 | 319 | 559 | 138 | 217 | 28 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 101 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 260 | 364 | 624 | 170 | 200 | 30 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 503 | 451 | 88 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 120 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 195 | 265 | 302 | 567 | 106 | 228 | 24 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 364 | 327 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 72 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 299 | 327 | 626 | 89 | 283 | 20 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 71 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 250 | 365 | 615 | 175 | 197 | 23 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 67 | 269 | 6 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 232 | 206 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 319 | 471 | 790 | 228 | 271 | 25 | 9 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 300 | 490 | 150 | 176 | 14 | 5 | 209 | 28 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 301 | 269 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 74 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 276 | 390 | 666 | 190 | 225 | 25 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 597 | 531 | 103 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 114 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 194 | 268 | 339 | 607 | 145 | 209 | 19 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 597 | 511 | 127 | 30 | 1 | 19 | 61 | 79 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 249 | 344 | 423 | 766 | 174 | 257 | 13 | 10 | 337 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 381 | 350 | 87 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 249 | 301 | 369 | 669 | 120 | 313 | 22 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 381 | 342 | 102 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 62 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 298 | 362 | 442 | 803 | 143 | 348 | 16 | 8 | 354 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 438 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 122 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 178 | 242 | 301 | 543 | 123 | 212 | 25 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 427 | 98 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 40 | 93 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 230 | 307 | 407 | 715 | 178 | 247 | 19 | 8 | 315 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 321 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 102 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 181 | 240 | 327 | 567 | 146 | 221 | 29 | 6 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 354 | 310 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 303 | 413 | 716 | 190 | 249 | 23 | 9 | 312 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 503 | 451 | 88 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 120 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 195 | 265 | 302 | 567 | 106 | 237 | 24 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 503 | 432 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 50 | 97 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 248 | 342 | 417 | 759 | 169 | 276 | 19 | 10 | 336 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 488 | 439 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 97 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 294 | 339 | 634 | 105 | 280 | 20 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 488 | 423 | 115 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 91 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 272 | 353 | 397 | 750 | 125 | 321 | 19 | 9 | 331 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 232 | 206 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 319 | 471 | 790 | 228 | 277 | 25 | 9 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 232 | 197 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 31 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 310 | 406 | 609 | 1.015 | 299 | 329 | 19 | 13 | 433 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 289 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 267 | 374 | 641 | 180 | 220 | 24 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 322 | 279 | 69 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 65 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 340 | 495 | 834 | 247 | 266 | 20 | 10 | 362 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 597 | 538 | 103 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 114 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 191 | 268 | 335 | 603 | 143 | 202 | 19 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 381 | 352 | 87 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 247 | 301 | 366 | 667 | 119 | 309 | 22 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 443 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 122 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 176 | 242 | 298 | 540 | 122 | 207 | 25 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 326 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 102 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 178 | 240 | 322 | 562 | 144 | 212 | 29 | 6 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 503 | 455 | 88 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 120 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 193 | 265 | 299 | 564 | 105 | 228 | 24 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 488 | 448 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 97 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 294 | 333 | 627 | 103 | 269 | 20 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 232 | 207 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 319 | 469 | 787 | 227 | 271 | 25 | 9 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 290 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 267 | 372 | 640 | 179 | 222 | 24 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 300 | 490 | 150 | 176 | 14 | 5 | 214 | 69 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 619 | 93 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 31 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 191 | 300 | 491 | 150 | 177 | 14 | 5 | 214 | 69 | -53 | +0 | +20 | +36 | +14 | 1.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3360 | 3025 | 623 | 147 | 7 | 84 | 219 | 775 | 55 | 20 | 18 | 206 | 272 | 342 | 614 | 137 | 243 | 23 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 119 | 28 | 1 | 16 | 42 | 150 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 203 | 269 | 337 | 606 | 133 | 241 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -53 | +0 | +20 | +36 | +14 | 1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAASugar Land Skeeters · 301 PAwOBA .367 → .287 (−80)K% 20.6% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.60% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.63% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.24% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×0.968 | ×0.962 | 13.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.63% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×0.962 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.962 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.61% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 5.48% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 105, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .367 → .287; ISO .255 → .194; BABIP .274 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 232 PAwOBA .423 → .331 (−92)K% 18.5% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.53% | ÷0.953 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.36% | ÷0.990 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 9.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.959 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 18.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷0.976 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.140 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.74% | ÷0.962 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 7.76% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 128, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .423 → .331; ISO .299 → .231; BABIP .329 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 364 PAwOBA .330 → .280 (−50)K% 17.3% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.31% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.52% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.11% | ÷1.044 | ×0.930 | ×0.960 | ×0.992 | 20.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.49% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×0.992 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.960 | ×0.992 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.205 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.82% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 109, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .330 → .280; ISO .111 → .094; BABIP .333 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAHarrisburg Senators · 71 PAwOBA .347 → .288 (−60)K% 18.3% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.31% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.86% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 14.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.012 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.070 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 6.80% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 114, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .347 → .288; ISO .246 → .209; BABIP .234 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGCL Nationals · 16 PAwOBA .341 → .247 (−94)K% 6.2% → 9.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 9.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .341 → .247; ISO .067 → .045; BABIP .357 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AASpringfield Cardinals · 503 PAwOBA .331 → .252 (−79)K% 19.3% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.28% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.54% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.60% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 17.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.093 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.07% | ÷1.315 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .252; ISO .169 → .112; BABIP .276 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 253 PAwOBA .298 → .241 (−56)K% 21.7% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.988 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.51% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.37% | ÷0.989 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 14.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.68% | ÷0.931 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.99% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 90, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .298 → .241; ISO .168 → .136; BABIP .253 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AASpringfield Cardinals · 101 PAwOBA .328 → .263 (−65)K% 24.8% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.75% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.89% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.95% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 15.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.17% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.96% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 93, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .328 → .263; ISO .250 → .188; BABIP .236 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .