Jordan Serena
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | ROKOrem Owlz | 183 | .203/.318/.268 | 0 | 18 | 15 | — | .149/.235/.193 |
| 2016 | 23 | ABurlington Be… | 436 | .253/.335/.329 | 2 | 10 | 45 | — | .206/.269/.260 |
| 2017 | 24 | A+/A2 orgs | 274 | .204/.266/.296 | 3 | 8 | 16 | — | .166/.218/.236 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 183 | 153 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 43 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 203 | 318 | 268 | 586 | 65 | 282 | 23 | 9 | 274 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 436 | 380 | 96 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 95 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 253 | 335 | 329 | 664 | 76 | 328 | 22 | 9 | 301 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 227 | 206 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 228 | 290 | 320 | 611 | 92 | 306 | 26 | 6 | 275 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 47 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 149 | 182 | 331 | 91 | 107 | 32 | 2 | 156 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 183 | 161 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 149 | 235 | 193 | 427 | 43 | 227 | 34 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 436 | 393 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 138 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 206 | 269 | 260 | 529 | 53 | 297 | 32 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 227 | 210 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 80 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 181 | 232 | 248 | 480 | 67 | 273 | 35 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 47 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 149 | 182 | 331 | 91 | 90 | 43 | 2 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 183 | 161 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 149 | 235 | 193 | 427 | 43 | 242 | 34 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 183 | 153 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 43 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 203 | 318 | 268 | 586 | 65 | 282 | 23 | 9 | 274 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 436 | 393 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 138 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 206 | 269 | 260 | 529 | 53 | 310 | 32 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 436 | 380 | 96 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 95 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 253 | 335 | 329 | 664 | 76 | 328 | 22 | 9 | 301 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 254 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 100 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 161 | 214 | 220 | 434 | 59 | 255 | 36 | 4 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 274 | 250 | 51 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 73 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 204 | 266 | 296 | 562 | 92 | 274 | 27 | 5 | 254 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 183 | 163 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 147 | 235 | 190 | 425 | 43 | 227 | 34 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 436 | 399 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 138 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 203 | 269 | 256 | 525 | 53 | 297 | 32 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 255 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 100 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 161 | 214 | 220 | 434 | 59 | 242 | 36 | 4 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 893 | 808 | 146 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 44 | 300 | 25 | 36 | 12 | 181 | 245 | 234 | 479 | 53 | 280 | 34 | 5 | 213 | 30 | -74 | +2 | +0 | +3 | +19 | -5.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 106 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 218 | 18 | 26 | 9 | 180 | 245 | 233 | 478 | 53 | 280 | 34 | 5 | 213 | 30 | -54 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 227 PAwOBA .269 → .210 (−59)K% 25.6% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.55% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.73% | ÷1.003 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 22.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.38% | ÷0.891 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 1.21% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 91, 2B 78, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .269 → .210; ISO .092 → .066; BABIP .306 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ABurlington Bees · 47 PAwOBA .152 → .104 (−48)K% 31.9% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.91% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.13% | ÷0.884 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 1.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 3.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 6.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.166 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.105 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 2.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 92, 2B 133, 3B 80, K 100, BB 77 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .152 → .104; ISO .091 → .053; BABIP .107 → .090. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ABurlington Bees · 436 PAwOBA .296 → .235 (−61)K% 21.8% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷0.939 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.72% | ÷1.037 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.26% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.980 | 23.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.980 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×0.980 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.285 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 95, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .296 → .235; ISO .076 → .057; BABIP .328 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKOrem Owlz · 183 PAwOBA .266 → .190 (−76)K% 23.5% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.965 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.92% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.046 | ×0.965 | 18.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.046 | ×0.965 | 2.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.046 | ×0.965 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .266 → .190; ISO .065 → .046; BABIP .282 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).