Grayson Greiner

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1992-10-11

Age (2027)34

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	28	AAADET	134	.202/.286/.277	1	0	19	—	.169/.226/.234
2021	28	MLBDET	82	.236/.321/.333	1	0	90	0.5
2022	29	AAAARI	170	.232/.318/.391	6	1	41	—	.177/.235/.285
2023	30	AAACOL	79	.186/.269/.286	1	0	5	—	.139/.205/.222
2024	31	No MLB games played
2025	32	No MLB games played
2026	33	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA

Max EV46

Chase%43

Speed43

BB%23

K%4

Z-Con%4

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	104	90	29	5	0	2	11	18	1	0	0	322	402	444	846	122	375	17	11	374	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	343	312	57	12	0	3	27	90	3	0	0	183	254	250	504	67	247	26	8	235	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	225	208	60	9	3	7	10	55	2	1	0	288	327	462	789	173	351	24	4	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	123	109	34	6	0	0	12	26	1	0	0	312	385	367	752	55	410	21	10	343	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	49	44	9	4	0	1	5	13	0	0	0	205	286	364	649	159	267	27	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	17	14	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	143	250	214	464	71	167	18	12	211	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	371	328	79	20	1	14	38	72	3	0	0	241	325	436	761	195	266	19	10	337	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	116	96	21	6	0	0	17	32	0	0	1	219	336	281	618	62	313	28	15	286	82	-3	-0	+1	+5	+3	0.6
2018	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	180	158	42	8	1	4	21	42	0	0	0	266	352	405	757	139	336	23	12	339	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	224	208	42	5	1	5	13	70	1	0	0	202	252	308	560	106	276	31	6	251	59	-11	+0	+2	+5	+5	0.1
2019	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	53	48	12	1	0	2	4	16	1	0	0	250	321	396	717	146	333	30	8	323	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	19	15	0	0	0	0	3	4	1	1	0		211		211			21	16	149	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	55	51	6	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	118	182	333	515	216	107	36	5	228	45	-4	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
2021	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	82	72	17	4	0	1	9	31	0	0	0	236	321	333	654	97	400	38	11	297	90	-1	+0	+0	+4	+2	0.5
2021	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	134	119	24	6	0	1	13	49	1	0	0	202	286	277	563	76	329	37	10	261	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA	Reno Aces	—	170	151	35	6	0	6	18	67	1	1	0	232	318	391	708	159	372	39	11	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	79	70	13	4	0	1	6	32	2	0	1	186	269	286	555	100	324	41	8	255	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	477	427	86	17	1	9	42	153	2	0	1	201	276	309	585	108	286	32	9	265	65	-20	-0	+2	+15	+10	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	104	94	25	4	0	2	7	27	1	0	0	266	324	372	696	106	326	26	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	343	321	45	10	0	2	18	133	3	0	0	140	193	190	383	50	231	39	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	225	212	52	8	2	5	6	67	2	1	0	245	273	373	645	127	319	30	3	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	123	112	28	5	0	0	9	37	1	0	0	250	311	295	606	45	368	30	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	17	15	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	133	188	200	388	67	155	24	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	371	341	70	18	1	9	25	90	3	0	0	205	266	343	609	138	246	24	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	116	96	21	6	0	0	17	32	0	0	1	219	336	281	618	62	313	28	15	289	82	-3	-0	+1	+5	+3	0.6
2018	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	180	164	37	6	1	4	15	50	0	0	0	226	291	348	638	122	292	28	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	224	208	42	5	1	5	13	70	1	0	0	202	252	308	560	106	276	31	6	256	59	-11	+0	+2	+5	+5	0.1
2019	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	53	49	11	1	0	2	3	18	1	0	0	224	283	367	650	143	303	34	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	19	16	0	0	0	0	2	6	1	1	0		158		158			32	11	116	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	55	51	6	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	118	182	333	515	216	107	36	5	234	45	-4	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
2021	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	82	72	17	4	0	1	9	31	0	0	0	236	321	333	654	97	400	38	11	301	90	-1	+0	+0	+4	+2	0.5
2021	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	134	124	21	5	0	1	8	59	1	0	0	169	226	234	459	65	289	44	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	170	158	28	5	0	4	11	80	1	1	0	177	235	285	520	108	319	47	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	79	72	10	3	0	1	4	41	2	0	1	139	205	222	427	83	273	52	5	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	104	94	25	4	0	2	7	27	1	0	0	266	324	372	696	106	343	26	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	104	90	29	5	0	2	11	18	1	0	0	322	402	444	846	122	375	17	11	374	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	343	321	45	10	0	2	18	133	3	0	0	140	193	190	383	50	231	39	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	343	312	57	12	0	3	27	90	3	0	0	183	254	250	504	67	247	26	8	235	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	397	371	93	15	3	6	17	118	3	1	0	251	289	356	645	105	345	30	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	397	361	103	19	3	8	27	94	3	1	0	285	340	421	761	136	360	24	7	335	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	355	72	19	1	9	27	94	3	0	0	203	265	338	603	135	247	24	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	388	342	81	21	1	14	40	75	3	0	0	237	322	427	749	190	262	19	10	331	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	296	260	58	12	1	4	32	82	0	0	1	223	308	323	631	100	303	28	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	296	254	63	14	1	4	38	74	0	0	1	248	346	358	704	110	328	25	13	318	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	296	273	53	6	1	7	18	94	3	1	0	194	252	300	552	106	266	32	6	249	55	-16	+0	+2	+5	+6	-0.2
2019	26	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	296	271	54	6	1	7	20	90	3	1	0	199	262	306	568	107	269	30	7	258	55	-16	+0	+2	+5	+6	-0.2
2020	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	55	51	6	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	118	182	333	515	216	107	36	5	234	45	-4	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
2020	27	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	55	51	6	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	118	182	333	515	216	107	36	5	228	45	-4	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
2021	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	216	196	38	9	0	2	17	90	1	0	0	194	262	270	532	77	343	42	8	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	216	191	41	10	0	2	22	80	1	0	0	215	299	298	597	84	355	37	10	275	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	170	158	28	5	0	4	11	80	1	1	0	177	235	285	520	108	324	47	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	170	151	35	6	0	6	18	67	1	1	0	232	318	391	708	159	372	39	11	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	79	72	10	3	0	1	4	41	2	0	1	139	205	222	427	83	300	52	5	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	79	70	13	4	0	1	6	32	2	0	1	186	269	286	555	100	324	41	8	255	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	104	95	25	4	0	2	7	27	1	0	0	263	324	368	692	105	326	26	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	343	319	45	10	0	2	18	133	3	0	0	141	193	191	384	50	231	39	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	397	374	93	15	3	6	17	118	3	1	0	249	289	353	642	104	336	30	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	355	72	19	1	9	27	94	3	0	0	203	265	338	603	135	242	24	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	296	262	58	12	1	4	32	82	0	0	1	221	308	321	629	99	300	28	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	296	273	53	6	1	7	18	94	3	1	0	194	252	300	552	106	263	32	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	55	51	6	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	118	182	333	515	216	107	36	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	216	196	38	9	0	2	17	90	1	0	0	194	262	270	532	77	331	42	8	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	170	156	28	5	0	4	11	80	1	1	0	179	235	288	524	109	319	47	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	79	73	10	3	0	1	4	41	2	0	1	137	205	219	424	82	273	52	5	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	477	427	86	17	1	9	42	153	2	0	1	201	276	309	585	108	286	32	9	265	53	-20	-0	+2	+15	+10	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	116	23	1	12	57	208	3	0	1	199	274	304	578	105	283	32	9	265	53	-27	-1	+2	+21	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2344	2151	428	85	6	40	154	779	18	3	2	199	258	300	558	101	288	33	7	247	53	-20	-0	+2	+15	+10	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	119	24	2	11	43	216	5	1	1	200	259	302	561	102	290	33	7	247	53	-27	-1	+2	+21	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 79 PAwOBA .248 → .176 (−72)K% 40.5% → 51.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	40.51%	÷0.947	×1.200	—	—	51.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.59%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.12%
HBP% /PA	2.53%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	2.29%
Singles /BIP	21.05%	÷1.018	×0.930	—	×0.962	18.49%
Doubles /BIP	10.53%	÷1.002	×0.830	—	×0.962	8.39%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.63%	÷1.062	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.67%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .248 → .176; ISO .100 → .062; BABIP .324 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAReno Aces · 170 PAwOBA .309 → .229 (−80)K% 39.4% → 47.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.41%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	47.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.020	×0.690	—	×0.972	6.58%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.54%
Singles /BIP	27.38%	÷1.025	×0.930	×1.013	×0.972	24.46%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.996	×0.830	×1.013	×0.972	5.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.100	×0.970	×1.013	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.965	×0.700	—	×0.972	5.04%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 120, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .309 → .229; ISO .159 → .108; BABIP .372 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 134 PAwOBA .257 → .197 (−59)K% 36.6% → 43.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.57%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	43.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.70%	÷1.038	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.33%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.69%
Singles /BIP	24.29%	÷0.991	×0.930	×0.994	×0.982	22.26%
Doubles /BIP	8.57%	÷1.013	×0.830	×0.994	×0.982	6.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.981	×0.920	×0.994	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.43%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.982	0.93%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .257 → .197; ISO .076 → .053; BABIP .329 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 53 PAwOBA .314 → .271 (−43)K% 30.2% → 34.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.19%	÷1.056	×1.200	—	—	34.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.55%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.20%
HBP% /PA	1.89%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.78%
Singles /BIP	28.12%	÷1.013	×0.930	—	×1.003	25.90%
Doubles /BIP	3.12%	÷0.995	×0.830	—	×1.003	2.61%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.096	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷0.888	×0.840	—	×1.003	5.93%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .314 → .271; ISO .146 → .132; BABIP .333 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 19 PAwOBA .147 → .116 (−31)K% 21.1% → 29.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷1.005	×1.420	—	—	29.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷0.958	×0.750	—	×0.958	11.84%
HBP% /PA	5.26%	—	×0.930	—	×0.958	4.69%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.026	×0.920	—	×0.958	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.037	×0.960	—	×0.958	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.004	×0.810	—	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.963	×0.880	—	×0.958	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 101, K 101, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .147 → .116; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 180 PAwOBA .333 → .278 (−55)K% 23.3% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.33%	÷1.011	×1.200	—	—	27.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.67%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×1.018	8.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.950	×1.018	22.37%
Doubles /BIP	6.90%	÷1.038	×0.830	×0.950	×1.018	5.33%
Triples /BIP	0.86%	÷1.038	×0.970	×0.950	×1.018	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	3.45%	÷0.893	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.30%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 108, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .333 → .278; ISO .139 → .122; BABIP .336 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAErie SeaWolves · 371 PAwOBA .330 → .263 (−67)K% 19.4% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.41%	÷0.973	×1.220	—	—	24.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.24%	÷1.059	×0.700	—	×0.998	6.76%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.69%
Singles /BIP	17.19%	÷1.020	×0.970	×1.010	×0.998	16.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.81%	÷0.944	×0.860	×1.010	×0.998	7.17%
Triples /BIP	0.39%	÷1.094	×0.950	×1.010	×0.998	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	5.47%	÷1.259	×0.780	—	×0.998	3.38%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .330 → .263; ISO .195 → .139; BABIP .266 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 17 PAwOBA .219 → .196 (−23)K% 17.6% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	21.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷0.996	×0.690	—	×1.033	8.42%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.054	×0.930	—	×1.033	8.29%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.916	×0.830	—	×1.033	8.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.049	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 111, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .219 → .196; ISO .071 → .073; BABIP .167 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).