David Gonzalez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 460 | .231/.291/.291 | 1 | 9 | 33 | — | .204/.247/.253 |
| 2016 | 22 | A/INTL2 orgs | 484 | .249/.325/.338 | 2 | 15 | 50 | — | .207/.265/.276 |
| 2017 | 23 | A+/ADET | 243 | .185/.262/.218 | 0 | 6 | 11 | — | .161/.215/.193 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK | VSL Tigers | — | 302 | 239 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 33 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 255 | 392 | 318 | 710 | 63 | 287 | 11 | 17 | 327 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 162 | 136 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 243 | 348 | 294 | 642 | 51 | 284 | 12 | 14 | 295 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 387 | 336 | 83 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 59 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 247 | 332 | 295 | 627 | 48 | 299 | 15 | 9 | 288 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 212 | 183 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 328 | 403 | 437 | 840 | 109 | 354 | 9 | 10 | 368 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 99 | 90 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 178 | 237 | 189 | 426 | 11 | 225 | 19 | 7 | 199 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 324 | 289 | 74 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 43 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 256 | 313 | 332 | 645 | 76 | 297 | 13 | 7 | 284 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 37 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 152 | 243 | 212 | 455 | 61 | 179 | 14 | 11 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 457 | 404 | 100 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 59 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 248 | 323 | 329 | 652 | 82 | 283 | 13 | 9 | 294 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 27 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 360 | 500 | 860 | 227 | 316 | 11 | 11 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 177 | 157 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 159 | 228 | 191 | 419 | 32 | 176 | 10 | 7 | 194 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 66 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 355 | 296 | 651 | 37 | 275 | 8 | 12 | 287 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Tigers | — | 302 | 254 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 40 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 177 | 287 | 220 | 507 | 43 | 195 | 13 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 162 | 144 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 194 | 266 | 236 | 502 | 42 | 233 | 18 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 387 | 345 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 81 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 217 | 288 | 261 | 548 | 43 | 273 | 21 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 212 | 192 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 245 | 296 | 328 | 624 | 83 | 263 | 14 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 99 | 92 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 152 | 196 | 163 | 359 | 11 | 213 | 28 | 5 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 324 | 296 | 65 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 60 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 220 | 262 | 280 | 542 | 61 | 260 | 19 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 457 | 416 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 207 | 265 | 276 | 541 | 70 | 241 | 18 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 177 | 161 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 143 | 193 | 174 | 367 | 31 | 162 | 15 | 5 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 66 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 274 | 246 | 520 | 35 | 217 | 11 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Tigers | — | 302 | 254 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 40 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 177 | 287 | 220 | 507 | 43 | 203 | 13 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK RAW | VSL Tigers | — | 302 | 239 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 33 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 255 | 392 | 318 | 710 | 63 | 287 | 11 | 17 | 327 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 162 | 144 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 194 | 266 | 236 | 502 | 42 | 243 | 18 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 162 | 136 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 243 | 348 | 294 | 642 | 51 | 284 | 12 | 14 | 295 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 387 | 345 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 81 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 217 | 288 | 261 | 548 | 43 | 283 | 21 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 387 | 336 | 83 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 59 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 247 | 332 | 295 | 627 | 48 | 299 | 15 | 9 | 288 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 212 | 192 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 245 | 296 | 328 | 624 | 83 | 274 | 14 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 212 | 183 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 328 | 403 | 437 | 840 | 109 | 354 | 9 | 10 | 368 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 460 | 423 | 86 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 96 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 203 | 246 | 251 | 497 | 47 | 260 | 21 | 5 | 216 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 460 | 412 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 67 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 231 | 291 | 291 | 582 | 61 | 272 | 15 | 7 | 260 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 439 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 87 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 207 | 266 | 276 | 541 | 68 | 252 | 18 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 484 | 426 | 106 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 62 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 249 | 325 | 338 | 663 | 89 | 285 | 13 | 9 | 297 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 243 | 218 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 165 | 219 | 197 | 416 | 32 | 189 | 14 | 5 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 243 | 211 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 185 | 262 | 218 | 480 | 33 | 202 | 9 | 8 | 219 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Tigers | — | 302 | 260 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 40 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 173 | 287 | 215 | 502 | 42 | 195 | 13 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 162 | 147 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 190 | 266 | 231 | 497 | 41 | 233 | 18 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 387 | 350 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 81 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 214 | 288 | 257 | 545 | 43 | 273 | 21 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 212 | 196 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 240 | 296 | 321 | 618 | 82 | 263 | 14 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 460 | 433 | 86 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 96 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 199 | 246 | 245 | 491 | 46 | 249 | 21 | 5 | 216 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 446 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 87 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 204 | 266 | 271 | 537 | 67 | 241 | 18 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 243 | 226 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 159 | 219 | 190 | 409 | 31 | 177 | 14 | 5 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2250 | 2015 | 408 | 61 | 13 | 6 | 156 | 395 | 19 | 63 | 39 | 202 | 266 | 255 | 521 | 52 | 246 | 18 | 7 | 229 | 41 | -157 | -3 | +0 | +24 | +49 | -8.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 119 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 114 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 204 | 267 | 259 | 526 | 55 | 248 | 18 | 7 | 229 | 41 | -45 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 177 PAwOBA .193 → .167 (−26)K% 10.2% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.17% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 14.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷1.138 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.11% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 13.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.16% | ÷0.918 | ×0.960 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 2.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.039 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.747 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 249, 1B 102, 2B 84, 3B 108, K 99, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .193 → .167; ISO .032 → .030; BABIP .176 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 66 PAwOBA .290 → .233 (−56)K% 7.6% → 10.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.58% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 10.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.53% | ÷1.084 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 20.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.849 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 117, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .290 → .233; ISO .037 → .030; BABIP .275 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 457 PAwOBA .289 → .236 (−52)K% 12.9% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.91% | ÷0.983 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.19% | ÷0.957 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.45% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.990 | 18.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.09% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.990 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×0.990 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.770 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.60% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 107, 2B 103, 3B 111, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .289 → .236; ISO .082 → .069; BABIP .283 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 324 PAwOBA .277 → .233 (−44)K% 13.3% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.27% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.79% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | — | 21.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.66% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | — | 3.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.128 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | — | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.954 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 126, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .277 → .233; ISO .076 → .062; BABIP .297 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 99 PAwOBA .195 → .162 (−33)K% 19.2% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.19% | ÷0.962 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.07% | ÷1.116 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 4.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.13% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 19.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.973 | ×0.960 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 1.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.810 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 95, 3B 83, K 92, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .195 → .162; ISO .011 → .010; BABIP .225 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Tigers · 212 PAwOBA .364 → .268 (−96)K% 9.4% → 13.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.94% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .268; ISO .109 → .080; BABIP .354 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 387 PAwOBA .282 → .243 (−39)K% 15.2% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.25% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.04% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.91% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 22.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.33% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 3.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 110, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .282 → .243; ISO .048 → .045; BABIP .299 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKGCL Tigers · 162 PAwOBA .288 → .221 (−67)K% 12.3% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.013 | ×1.008 | 19.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.013 | ×1.008 | 3.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.013 | ×1.008 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .288 → .221; ISO .051 → .039; BABIP .284 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .