Matt Wisler
P Buffalo Bisons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | MIX3 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 3.55 | 2.55 | 33.7% | 5.0% | 1.2 | K 31.8% · BB 5.1% · FIP 2.80 | |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX2 levels | 43 | 5 | 48 | 2.83 | 4.44 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 0.1 | K 19.9% · BB 7.4% · FIP 4.28 | |
| 2023 | 30 | AAATOR | 54 | 2 | 63 | 4.60 | 3.66 | 26.4% | 10.8% | — | K 22.7% · BB 9.7% · FIP 4.09 | |
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
Statcast · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 32 | 31 | 174 | 751 | 121 | 49 | 21 | 97% | 5.4 | 15.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.30 | +2.2 |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 32 | 31 | 174 | 751 | 121 | 49 | 21 | 97% | 5.4 | 16.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.12 | +2.6 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 31 | 30 | 183 | 784 | 137 | 51 | 29 | 97% | 5.9 | 17.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 4.81 | 4.65 | +1.6 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 31 | 30 | 183 | 784 | 137 | 51 | 29 | 97% | 5.9 | 17.5% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.50 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 38 | 15 | 126 | 548 | 86 | 33 | 12 | 39% | 3.3 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 4.79 | 3.97 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 38 | 15 | 126 | 548 | 86 | 33 | 12 | 39% | 3.3 | 15.7% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.79 | 3.76 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 39 | 18 | 130 | 543 | 118 | 23 | 14 | 46% | 3.3 | 19.8% | 4.4% | 15.4% | 2.6% | 3.96 | 3.40 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 39 | 18 | 130 | 543 | 118 | 23 | 14 | 46% | 3.3 | 21.7% | 4.2% | 17.5% | 2.6% | 3.96 | 3.22 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | 44 | 8 | 51 | 224 | 63 | 16 | 10 | 18% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 7.1% | 21.0% | 4.6% | 5.61 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | 44 | 8 | 51 | 224 | 63 | 16 | 10 | 18% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 7.1% | 21.0% | 4.5% | 5.61 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | 18 | 4 | 25 | 107 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 22% | 1.4 | 32.7% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 1.9% | 1.07 | 3.02 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | 18 | 4 | 25 | 107 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 22% | 1.4 | 32.7% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 1.9% | 1.07 | 3.02 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 202 | 68 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.8% | 5.1% | 26.7% | 3.2% | 3.55 | 2.80 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 202 | 68 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.7% | 5.0% | 28.7% | 3.0% | 3.55 | 2.55 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 43 | 5 | 48 | 193 | 36 | 15 | 7 | 12% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 2.83 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 43 | 5 | 48 | 193 | 36 | 15 | 7 | 12% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 2.83 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | 54 | 2 | 63 | 277 | 73 | 30 | 7 | 4% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | 54 | 2 | 63 | 277 | 73 | 30 | 7 | 4% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 2.5% | 4.60 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 234 | 66 | 507 | 2170 | 436 | 155 | 79 | 28% | 2.2 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 4.32 | +1.4 | ||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 234 | 66 | 507 | 2170 | 436 | 155 | 79 | 28% | 2.2 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 4.31 | +1.5 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 92 | 26 | 200 | 855 | 172 | 61 | 31 | 28% | 2.2 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 4.31 | +0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 349 | 113 | 851 | 3629 | 699 | 240 | 115 | 32% | 2.4 | 19.3% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.36 | 4.05 | +1.4 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 82 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 164 | 57 | 27 | 32% | 2.4 | 19.3% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.36 | 4.05 | +0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAABuffalo Bisons · 63 IPFIP 3.63 → 4.09 (+0.45)K% 26.4% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.35% | — | ×0.860 | 22.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.83% | — | ×0.900 | 9.75% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.53% | ÷0.916 | ×1.100 | 3.03% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 83).
Result: FIP 3.63 → 4.09, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAALouisville Bats · 90 IPFIP 2.58 → 2.94 (+0.36)K% 22.8% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.81% | — | ×0.880 | 20.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.24% | — | ×1.050 | 4.46% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.59% | ÷0.988 | ×1.100 | 1.77% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 98).
Result: FIP 2.58 → 2.94, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 94 IPFIP 3.35 → 3.67 (+0.32)K% 16.2% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 16.20% | — | ×0.880 | 14.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 5.06% | — | ×1.050 | 5.32% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.77% | ÷0.972 | ×1.100 | 2.01% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 94).
Result: FIP 3.35 → 3.67, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAGwinnett Braves · 27 IPFIP 3.47 → 3.66 (+0.18)K% 19.5% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.47% | — | ×0.880 | 17.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.42% | — | ×1.050 | 4.65% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.65% | ÷1.132 | ×1.100 | 2.58% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 126).
Result: FIP 3.47 → 3.66, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGwinnett Braves · 65 IPFIP 3.19 → 3.49 (+0.30)K% 17.9% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 17.95% | — | ×0.880 | 15.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.76% | — | ×1.050 | 5.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.83% | ÷1.014 | ×1.100 | 1.99% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 3.19 → 3.49, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).