KC Serna
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AAA/AAPHI | 432 | .247/.315/.297 | 1 | 10 | 61 | — | .249/.299/.297 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAPHI | 381 | .295/.373/.384 | 4 | 6 | 79 | — | .260/.315/.320 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 328 | .240/.299/.392 | 8 | 1 | 44 | — | .191/.233/.309 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 171 | 165 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 273 | 290 | 364 | 654 | 91 | 309 | 14 | 2 | 288 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 315 | 298 | 83 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 279 | 313 | 389 | 702 | 111 | 309 | 12 | 4 | 312 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 54 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 220 | 479 | 20 | 278 | 26 | 4 | 228 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 378 | 331 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 37 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 254 | 323 | 308 | 631 | 54 | 277 | 10 | 7 | 283 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 381 | 336 | 99 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 58 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 295 | 373 | 384 | 757 | 89 | 344 | 15 | 10 | 343 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 95 | 89 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 239 | 427 | 666 | 213 | 217 | 19 | 3 | 280 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 233 | 207 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 251 | 323 | 377 | 700 | 126 | 294 | 18 | 8 | 311 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 171 | 167 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 266 | 323 | 590 | 66 | 306 | 18 | 1 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 315 | 301 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 243 | 272 | 332 | 604 | 90 | 284 | 16 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 54 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 196 | 418 | 20 | 257 | 30 | 2 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 378 | 340 | 88 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 259 | 310 | 312 | 621 | 53 | 271 | 11 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 381 | 350 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 260 | 315 | 320 | 635 | 60 | 321 | 20 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 95 | 90 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 185 | 333 | 518 | 167 | 183 | 25 | 2 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 233 | 214 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 201 | 253 | 299 | 552 | 98 | 242 | 22 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 467 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 81 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 251 | 274 | 338 | 612 | 88 | 295 | 17 | 2 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 486 | 463 | 128 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 61 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 276 | 305 | 380 | 685 | 104 | 309 | 13 | 3 | 303 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 391 | 96 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 59 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 246 | 296 | 292 | 588 | 46 | 281 | 14 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 432 | 381 | 94 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 51 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 247 | 315 | 297 | 612 | 50 | 277 | 12 | 6 | 276 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 381 | 350 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 260 | 315 | 320 | 635 | 60 | 324 | 20 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 381 | 336 | 99 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 58 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 295 | 373 | 384 | 757 | 89 | 344 | 15 | 10 | 343 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 328 | 303 | 58 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 76 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 191 | 237 | 310 | 547 | 119 | 231 | 23 | 4 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 328 | 296 | 71 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 240 | 299 | 392 | 691 | 152 | 272 | 18 | 6 | 302 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 468 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 81 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 250 | 274 | 338 | 611 | 88 | 292 | 17 | 2 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 401 | 96 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 59 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 239 | 296 | 284 | 580 | 45 | 269 | 14 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 381 | 350 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 260 | 315 | 320 | 635 | 60 | 321 | 20 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 328 | 307 | 58 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 76 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 189 | 237 | 306 | 543 | 117 | 225 | 23 | 4 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1627 | 1511 | 362 | 63 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 20 | 27 | 21 | 240 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 77 | 286 | 18 | 4 | 261 | 63 | -72 | -3 | +0 | +17 | +35 | -2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 144 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 116 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 238 | 282 | 315 | 596 | 76 | 284 | 18 | 4 | 261 | 63 | -29 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 233 PAwOBA .306 → .238 (−68)K% 18.0% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.03% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.73% | ÷1.042 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×0.968 | 17.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×0.968 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.070 | ×0.880 | ×0.951 | ×0.968 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.185 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 114, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .306 → .238; ISO .126 → .095; BABIP .294 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 95 PAwOBA .277 → .224 (−53)K% 18.9% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.95% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.16% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 2.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.68% | ÷1.015 | ×0.900 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 10.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.918 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷0.928 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 4.70% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 95, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .277 → .224; ISO .213 → .173; BABIP .217 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAReading Fightin Phils · 381 PAwOBA .335 → .285 (−50)K% 15.2% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.22% | ÷0.936 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.97% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.70% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×0.978 | 26.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.47% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.011 | ×0.978 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.011 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.273 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.86% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 87, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .335 → .285; ISO .089 → .067; BABIP .344 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAReading Fightin Phils · 378 PAwOBA .280 → .268 (−12)K% 9.8% → 11.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.79% | ÷1.060 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.61% | ÷1.029 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 23.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.74% | ÷0.949 | ×0.860 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 3.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.021 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.26% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 112, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .280 → .268; ISO .054 → .051; BABIP .277 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 54 PAwOBA .222 → .191 (−32)K% 25.9% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.93% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 23.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 1.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .222 → .191; ISO .020 → .012; BABIP .278 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Clearwater Threshers · 315 PAwOBA .304 → .265 (−39)K% 11.7% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.75% | ÷1.028 | ×1.420 | — | — | 16.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.81% | ÷0.946 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 2.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.965 | ×0.960 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.128 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.056 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 126, K 106, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .304 → .265; ISO .111 → .094; BABIP .309 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAReading Fightin Phils · 171 PAwOBA .277 → .257 (−20)K% 14.0% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.75% | ÷1.064 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 1.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.82% | ÷0.974 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 25.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.96% | ÷0.984 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.923 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.317 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 85, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .277 → .257; ISO .091 → .071; BABIP .309 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).