Daniel Paolini

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1989-10-11

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	24	AAJackson Gener…	476	.268/.363/.451	13	3	86	—	.231/.295/.387
2015	25	AAA/AA2 orgs	422	.256/.357/.345	5	5	71	—	.233/.311/.316
2016	26	AAJackson Gener…	110	.202/.282/.222	0	0	15	—	.165/.218/.184

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	21	ROK	Pulaski Mariners	—	255	218	62	17	5	4	27	53	7	5	2	284	379	463	843	179	356	21	11	372	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	473	418	125	27	0	18	49	63	3	5	2	299	377	493	869	194	317	13	10	382	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Jackson Generals	—	122	103	17	5	1	0	18	24	0	1	2	165	289	233	522	68	215	20	15	250	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+	High Desert Mavericks	—	407	334	95	21	2	18	57	56	8	2	2	284	401	521	922	237	288	14	14	398	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Jackson Generals	—	476	410	110	34	1	13	56	75	5	3	2	268	363	451	814	183	298	16	12	360	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	53	45	7	0	0	1	7	16	1	0	0	156	283	222	505	67	214	30	13	248	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA	Jackson Generals	—	369	314	85	13	2	4	42	66	6	5	3	271	367	363	730	92	325	18	11	330	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA	Jackson Generals	—	110	99	20	2	0	0	11	26	0	0	0	202	282	222	504	20	274	24	10	241	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	21	ROK MLE	Pulaski Mariners	—	255	229	44	11	3	3	17	75	7	5	2	192	269	306	574	114	264	29	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	473	431	108	23	0	15	36	90	3	5	2	251	313	408	721	158	282	19	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	122	109	14	4	1	0	12	29	0	1	2	128	215	183	398	55	179	24	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	407	352	77	17	1	13	39	78	8	2	2	219	311	384	694	165	230	19	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	476	432	100	32	1	11	34	95	5	3	2	231	295	387	682	155	263	20	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	53	47	6	0	0	1	5	20	1	0	0	128	226	191	418	64	195	38	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	369	326	81	12	2	4	30	83	6	5	3	248	323	334	658	86	301	22	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	110	103	17	2	0	0	7	32	0	0	0	165	218	184	403	19	243	29	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK MLE	Pulaski Mariners	—	255	229	44	11	3	3	17	75	7	5	2	192	269	306	574	114	268	29	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK RAW	Pulaski Mariners	—	255	218	62	17	5	4	27	53	7	5	2	284	379	463	843	179	356	21	11	372	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	473	431	108	23	0	15	36	90	3	5	2	251	313	408	721	158	284	19	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	—	473	418	125	27	0	18	49	63	3	5	2	299	377	493	869	194	317	13	10	382	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	529	461	91	21	2	13	51	108	8	3	4	197	288	336	625	139	225	20	10	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	529	437	112	26	3	18	75	80	8	3	4	256	375	453	828	197	272	15	14	364	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	476	432	100	32	1	11	34	95	5	3	2	231	295	387	682	155	270	20	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA RAW	Jackson Generals	—	476	410	110	34	1	13	56	75	5	3	2	268	363	451	814	183	298	16	12	360	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	422	374	86	12	2	4	34	102	7	5	3	230	306	305	611	75	300	24	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	422	359	92	13	2	5	49	82	7	5	3	256	357	345	702	89	314	19	12	319	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	110	103	17	2	0	0	7	32	0	0	0	165	218	184	403	19	239	29	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA RAW	Jackson Generals	—	110	99	20	2	0	0	11	26	0	0	0	202	282	222	504	20	274	24	10	241	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK MLE	Pulaski Mariners	—	255	229	44	11	3	3	17	75	7	5	2	192	269	306	574	114	264	29	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	473	431	108	23	0	15	36	90	3	5	2	251	313	408	721	158	282	19	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	529	465	91	21	2	13	51	108	8	3	4	196	288	333	622	138	218	20	10	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	476	434	100	32	1	11	34	95	5	3	2	230	295	385	680	154	263	20	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	422	378	86	12	2	4	34	102	7	5	3	228	306	302	608	74	288	24	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	110	102	17	2	0	0	7	32	0	0	0	167	218	186	404	20	243	29	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2265	2030	446	101	8	46	179	502	30	21	13	220	293	345	638	126	266	22	8	281	76	-65	-1	+0	-40	+49	-5.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	128	29	2	13	51	144	9	6	4	220	292	343	635	123	267	22	8	281	76	-19	-0	+0	-12	+14	-1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAJackson Generals · 110 PAwOBA .236 → .190 (−46)K% 23.6% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.64%	÷1.001	×1.220	—	—	28.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.011	×0.680	—	×0.978	6.58%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.66%	÷0.989	×0.920	×0.964	×0.978	21.64%
Doubles /BIP	2.74%	÷0.889	×0.910	×0.964	×0.978	2.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.138	×0.880	×0.964	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.992	×0.800	—	×0.978	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 78, 3B 128, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .236 → .190; ISO .020 → .019; BABIP .274 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAJackson Generals · 369 PAwOBA .326 → .285 (−41)K% 17.9% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.89%	÷0.973	×1.220	—	—	22.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.38%	÷0.950	×0.680	—	×0.988	8.05%
HBP% /PA	1.63%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	1.35%
Singles /BIP	26.61%	÷0.974	×0.920	×1.002	×0.988	24.89%
Doubles /BIP	5.24%	÷1.032	×0.910	×1.002	×0.988	4.57%
Triples /BIP	0.81%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.002	×0.988	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	1.61%	÷0.890	×0.800	—	×0.988	1.43%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .326 → .285; ISO .092 → .084; BABIP .325 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAATacoma Rainiers · 53 PAwOBA .242 → .189 (−53)K% 30.2% → 37.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.19%	÷1.049	×1.290	—	—	37.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.21%	÷1.046	×0.710	—	×1.018	9.12%
HBP% /PA	1.89%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.88%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷0.995	×0.900	—	×1.018	19.05%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.910	×0.810	—	×1.018	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.45%	÷1.127	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.43%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 110, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .242 → .189; ISO .067 → .045; BABIP .214 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAJackson Generals · 476 PAwOBA .353 → .296 (−56)K% 15.8% → 19.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.76%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	19.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.55%	÷1.083	×0.680	—	×0.998	7.24%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.88%
Singles /BIP	18.51%	÷1.003	×0.920	×0.958	×0.998	16.22%
Doubles /BIP	10.15%	÷0.955	×0.910	×0.958	×0.998	9.24%
Triples /BIP	0.30%	÷0.975	×0.880	×0.958	×0.998	0.26%
Home runs /BIP	3.88%	÷0.930	×0.800	—	×0.998	3.33%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 94, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .353 → .296; ISO .183 → .165; BABIP .298 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+High Desert Mavericks · 407 PAwOBA .395 → .303 (−92)K% 13.8% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.76%	÷0.960	×1.340	—	—	19.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.00%	÷1.037	×0.710	—	×0.988	9.47%
HBP% /PA	1.97%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	1.53%
Singles /BIP	19.42%	÷1.038	×0.910	×0.956	×0.988	16.09%
Doubles /BIP	7.55%	÷0.990	×0.820	×0.956	×0.988	5.91%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷1.083	×0.760	×0.956	×0.988	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	6.47%	÷1.251	×0.920	—	×0.988	4.70%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 98, 3B 117, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .395 → .303; ISO .237 → .178; BABIP .288 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAJackson Generals · 122 PAwOBA .245 → .189 (−56)K% 19.7% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.67%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	24.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.75%	÷1.020	×0.680	—	×1.012	9.95%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.92%	÷1.046	×0.920	×0.950	×1.012	11.77%
Doubles /BIP	6.33%	÷1.065	×0.910	×0.950	×1.012	5.20%
Triples /BIP	1.27%	÷1.144	×0.880	×0.950	×1.012	0.94%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.069	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 129, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .245 → .189; ISO .068 → .055; BABIP .215 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AClinton LumberKings · 473 PAwOBA .373 → .312 (−61)K% 13.3% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.32%	÷0.949	×1.360	—	—	19.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.36%	÷0.917	×0.690	—	×0.990	7.72%
HBP% /PA	0.63%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.49%
Singles /BIP	22.54%	÷1.002	×0.920	×0.995	×0.990	20.38%
Doubles /BIP	7.61%	÷0.935	×0.830	×0.995	×0.990	6.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.050	×0.910	×0.995	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.07%	÷0.917	×0.800	—	×0.990	4.38%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 100, 2B 87, 3B 110, K 90, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .373 → .312; ISO .194 → .163; BABIP .317 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 ROKPulaski Mariners · 255 PAwOBA .365 → .253 (−112)K% 20.8% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.78%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	29.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.59%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.975	6.61%
HBP% /PA	2.75%	—	×0.740	—	×0.975	1.98%
Singles /BIP	21.82%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.955	×0.975	17.06%
Doubles /BIP	10.30%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.955	×0.975	7.10%
Triples /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.955	×0.975	2.09%
Home runs /BIP	2.42%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.975	1.89%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .365 → .253; ISO .179 → .123; BABIP .356 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).