Mike Dowd
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 257 | .242/.286/.338 | 4 | 0 | 39 | — | .202/.243/.277 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAJackson Gener… | 199 | .209/.268/.264 | 1 | 1 | 24 | — | .187/.232/.241 |
| 2015 | 25 | AA/ROK2 orgs | 56 | .152/.291/.196 | 0 | 1 | 14 | — | .143/.253/.184 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 312 | 279 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 294 | 354 | 376 | 730 | 82 | 317 | 10 | 6 | 325 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 120 | 112 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 196 | 250 | 259 | 509 | 63 | 231 | 17 | 3 | 236 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 137 | 128 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 319 | 406 | 725 | 125 | 300 | 12 | 1 | 320 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 199 | 182 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 268 | 264 | 531 | 55 | 255 | 18 | 6 | 245 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 34 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 324 | 276 | 599 | 69 | 240 | 12 | 12 | 286 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 22 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 238 | 59 | 297 | 91 | 27 | 14 | 170 | -41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 312 | 287 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 315 | 348 | 663 | 77 | 297 | 15 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 120 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 233 | 248 | 481 | 62 | 217 | 21 | 2 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 137 | 129 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 252 | 302 | 554 | 85 | 246 | 18 | 1 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 199 | 187 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 232 | 241 | 473 | 53 | 234 | 23 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 221 | 15 | 9 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 22 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 190 | 56 | 246 | 70 | 41 | 9 | 108 | -41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 312 | 287 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 315 | 348 | 663 | 77 | 309 | 15 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 312 | 279 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 294 | 354 | 376 | 730 | 82 | 317 | 10 | 6 | 325 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 257 | 242 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 202 | 243 | 277 | 520 | 74 | 238 | 19 | 2 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 257 | 240 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 286 | 338 | 624 | 96 | 269 | 14 | 2 | 281 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 199 | 187 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 232 | 241 | 473 | 53 | 241 | 23 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 199 | 182 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 268 | 264 | 531 | 55 | 255 | 18 | 6 | 245 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 56 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 146 | 255 | 188 | 442 | 42 | 206 | 25 | 9 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 56 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 152 | 291 | 196 | 487 | 43 | 194 | 18 | 12 | 240 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 312 | 291 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 315 | 344 | 658 | 76 | 297 | 15 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 257 | 242 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 202 | 243 | 277 | 520 | 74 | 232 | 19 | 2 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 199 | 186 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 232 | 242 | 474 | 54 | 234 | 23 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 56 | 49 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 255 | 184 | 438 | 41 | 162 | 25 | 9 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 824 | 764 | 169 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 153 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 221 | 268 | 289 | 557 | 68 | 265 | 19 | 4 | 242 | 50 | -49 | -1 | +0 | +15 | +18 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 134 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 121 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 222 | 270 | 294 | 563 | 71 | 267 | 19 | 4 | 242 | 50 | -39 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAJackson Generals · 34 PAwOBA .279 → .240 (−39)K% 11.8% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.950 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 15.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 7.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .279 → .240; ISO .069 → .061; BABIP .240 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKAZL Mariners · 22 PAwOBA .167 → .108 (−59)K% 27.3% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 3.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 7.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .108; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .091 → .070. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAJackson Generals · 199 PAwOBA .239 → .203 (−35)K% 18.1% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.09% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.03% | ÷1.083 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.51% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.23% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 19.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.42% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.975 | ×0.880 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.930 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 94, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .239 → .203; ISO .055 → .049; BABIP .255 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+High Desert Mavericks · 137 PAwOBA .316 → .247 (−68)K% 12.4% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.41% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.46% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 1.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.65% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.42% | ÷1.038 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 19.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷0.990 | ×0.820 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.760 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.251 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 98, 3B 117, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .316 → .247; ISO .125 → .092; BABIP .300 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAJackson Generals · 120 PAwOBA .230 → .201 (−29)K% 16.7% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 2.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.48% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 17.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.065 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.144 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.069 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 129, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .230 → .201; ISO .062 → .052; BABIP .231 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AClinton LumberKings · 312 PAwOBA .319 → .290 (−29)K% 10.3% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.26% | ÷0.949 | ×1.360 | — | — | 14.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷0.917 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.91% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | — | 24.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.07% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | — | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.050 | ×0.910 | ×1.026 | — | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.917 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.71% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 100, 2B 87, 3B 110, K 90, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .319 → .290; ISO .082 → .075; BABIP .317 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).