Alejandro Rivero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AAARojos del Agu… | 285 | .245/.342/.274 | 0 | 8 | 60 | — | .241/.316/.265 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAARojos del Agu… | 242 | .209/.280/.265 | 2 | 8 | 35 | — | .199/.250/.253 |
| 2019 | 30 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 60 | .222/.263/.241 | 0 | 0 | 12 | — | .200/.228/.218 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 129 | 118 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 291 | 263 | 554 | 25 | 277 | 13 | 6 | 254 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 128 | 116 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 233 | 282 | 233 | 515 | 278 | 15 | 4 | 235 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 284 | 251 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 38 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 259 | 324 | 279 | 603 | 20 | 304 | 13 | 6 | 274 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 354 | 311 | 74 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 37 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 238 | 307 | 270 | 577 | 32 | 265 | 10 | 6 | 262 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 299 | 262 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 34 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 260 | 324 | 302 | 626 | 42 | 294 | 11 | 6 | 279 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 237 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 342 | 274 | 616 | 30 | 282 | 11 | 11 | 280 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 242 | 215 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 280 | 265 | 545 | 56 | 228 | 11 | 7 | 249 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 60 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 241 | 504 | 19 | 273 | 18 | 5 | 222 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 129 | 120 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 276 | 258 | 534 | 25 | 276 | 16 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 128 | 118 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 274 | 237 | 511 | 278 | 17 | 2 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 284 | 256 | 68 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 44 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 266 | 316 | 285 | 602 | 20 | 305 | 15 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 354 | 318 | 75 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 236 | 289 | 267 | 557 | 31 | 257 | 13 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 299 | 269 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 245 | 293 | 279 | 571 | 33 | 270 | 13 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 245 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 38 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 241 | 316 | 265 | 581 | 24 | 268 | 13 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 242 | 221 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 199 | 250 | 253 | 503 | 54 | 212 | 12 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 60 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 228 | 218 | 446 | 18 | 232 | 22 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 129 | 120 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 276 | 258 | 534 | 25 | 280 | 16 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 129 | 118 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 291 | 263 | 554 | 25 | 277 | 13 | 6 | 254 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 128 | 118 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 274 | 237 | 511 | 292 | 17 | 2 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 128 | 116 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 233 | 282 | 233 | 515 | 278 | 15 | 4 | 235 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 284 | 256 | 68 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 44 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 266 | 316 | 285 | 602 | 20 | 319 | 15 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 284 | 251 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 38 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 259 | 324 | 279 | 603 | 20 | 304 | 13 | 6 | 274 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 354 | 318 | 75 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 236 | 289 | 267 | 557 | 31 | 270 | 13 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 354 | 311 | 74 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 37 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 238 | 307 | 270 | 577 | 32 | 265 | 10 | 6 | 262 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 299 | 269 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 245 | 293 | 279 | 571 | 33 | 284 | 13 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 299 | 262 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 34 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 260 | 324 | 302 | 626 | 42 | 294 | 11 | 6 | 279 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 245 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 38 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 241 | 316 | 265 | 581 | 24 | 284 | 13 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 237 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 342 | 274 | 616 | 30 | 282 | 11 | 11 | 280 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 242 | 221 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 199 | 250 | 253 | 503 | 54 | 219 | 12 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 242 | 215 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 280 | 265 | 545 | 56 | 228 | 11 | 7 | 249 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 60 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 228 | 218 | 446 | 18 | 256 | 22 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 60 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 241 | 504 | 19 | 273 | 18 | 5 | 222 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 129 | 121 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 276 | 256 | 532 | 25 | 276 | 16 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 128 | 121 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 231 | 274 | 231 | 506 | 278 | 17 | 2 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 284 | 263 | 68 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 44 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 259 | 316 | 278 | 594 | 19 | 305 | 15 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 354 | 327 | 75 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 229 | 289 | 260 | 549 | 31 | 257 | 13 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 299 | 279 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 237 | 293 | 269 | 562 | 32 | 270 | 13 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 256 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 38 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 230 | 316 | 254 | 570 | 23 | 268 | 13 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 242 | 225 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 196 | 250 | 249 | 499 | 53 | 212 | 12 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 60 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 228 | 207 | 435 | 17 | 232 | 22 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1781 | 1602 | 379 | 37 | 0 | 3 | 84 | 251 | 34 | 55 | 24 | 237 | 289 | 265 | 554 | 29 | 277 | 14 | 5 | 243 | 50 | -105 | +1 | +0 | +19 | +39 | -4.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 139 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 92 | 12 | 20 | 9 | 238 | 290 | 267 | 557 | 29 | 278 | 14 | 5 | 243 | 50 | -38 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 60 PAwOBA .220 → .186 (−34)K% 18.3% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.33% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 3.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 21.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 2.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.865 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 111, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .220 → .186; ISO .019 → .017; BABIP .273 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 242 PAwOBA .244 → .220 (−25)K% 10.7% → 11.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.74% | ÷1.095 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.043 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.58% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×0.982 | 18.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.899 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.982 | 2.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 80, 3B 80, K 119, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .244 → .220; ISO .056 → .049; BABIP .228 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 285 PAwOBA .274 → .257 (−17)K% 11.2% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.23% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.88% | ÷0.931 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.88% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 23.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 2.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .274 → .257; ISO .030 → .027; BABIP .282 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 299 PAwOBA .275 → .248 (−27)K% 11.4% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.37% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷1.121 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×1.003 | 23.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.074 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.003 | 3.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 102, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .275 → .248; ISO .042 → .035; BABIP .294 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 354 PAwOBA .257 → .243 (−14)K% 10.5% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.45% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.93% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.82% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.09% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.034 | ×1.018 | 23.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.55% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×1.018 | 2.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 100, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .257 → .243; ISO .032 → .029; BABIP .265 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 284 PAwOBA .268 → .263 (−5)K% 13.4% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.38% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.34% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.17% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 28.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 109, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .268 → .263; ISO .020 → .018; BABIP .304 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAALeones de Yucatan · 128 PAwOBA .230 → .227 (−3)K% 14.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.84% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.91% | ÷1.044 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.84% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 27.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 111, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .230 → .227; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .278 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAALeones de Yucatan · 129 PAwOBA .248 → .238 (−9)K% 13.2% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.18% | ÷1.041 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.20% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.75% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 24.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.794 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 108, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .248 → .238; ISO .025 → .023; BABIP .277 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).