Jesus Valenzuela

Pos1B
B/TL/R
Born1989-01-30
Age (2027)38
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2017
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201425AAAToros de Tiju…69.271/.358/.3561076—.262/.328/.344
201627AAARojos del Agu…142.280/.353/.3682174—.246/.295/.300
201728AAATigres de Qui…100.211/.250/.3372034—.177/.210/.260
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201122 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan — 10590 35604 13190 01 3894665891.055 200463 1812 454 142 — — — — — —
201223 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan — 286244 731732 37530 21 299391418809 119370 1913 359 100 — — — — — —
201324 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan — 377319 911714 51550 25 285384382766 97331 1514 344 93 — — — — — —
201425 AAAToros de Tijuana — 6959 16011 8180 00 271358356714 85375 2612 318 76 — — — — — —
201627 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 142125 35502 14190 11 280353368721 88308 1310 322 74 — — — — — —
201728 AAATigres de Quintana Roo — 10095 20412 4221 00 211250337587 126254 224 262 34 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201122 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 10594 32503 9230 01 340398489887 149419 229 378 142 — — — — — —
201223 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 286255 701431 26640 21 275342365706 90350 229 316 100 — — — — — —
201324 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 377335 911513 35640 25 272341349690 78317 179 305 93 — — — — — —
201425 AAA MLEToros de Tijuana — 6961 16011 6200 00 262328344673 82365 299 281 76 — — — — — —
201627 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 142130 32401 9220 11 246295300595 54278 156 278 74 — — — — — —
201728 AAA MLETigres de Quintana Roo — 10096 17311 3271 00 177210260470 83243 273 219 34 — — — — — —
201122 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 10594 32503 9230 01 340398489887 149426 229 378 142 — — — — — —
201122 AAA RAWPetroleros de Minatitlan — 10590 35604 13190 01 3894665891.055 200463 1812 454 142 — — — — — —
201223 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 286255 701431 26640 21 275342365706 90358 229 316 100 — — — — — —
201223 AAA RAWPetroleros de Minatitlan — 286244 731732 37530 21 299391418809 119370 1913 359 100 — — — — — —
201324 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 377335 911513 35640 25 272341349690 78325 179 305 93 — — — — — —
201324 AAA RAWPetroleros de Minatitlan — 377319 911714 51550 25 285384382766 97331 1514 344 93 — — — — — —
201425 AAA MLEToros de Tijuana — 6961 16011 6200 00 262328344673 82375 299 281 76 — — — — — —
201425 AAA RAWToros de Tijuana — 6959 16011 8180 00 271358356714 85375 2612 318 76 — — — — — —
201627 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 142130 32401 9220 11 246295300595 54282 156 278 74 — — — — — —
201627 AAA RAWRojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 142125 35502 14190 11 280353368721 88308 1310 322 74 — — — — — —
201728 AAA MLETigres de Quintana Roo — 10096 17311 3271 00 177210260470 83235 273 219 34 — — — — — —
201728 AAA RAWTigres de Quintana Roo — 10095 20412 4221 00 211250337587 126254 224 262 34 — — — — — —
201122 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 10595 32503 9230 01 337398484882 147419 229 378 142 — — — — — —
201223 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 286258 701431 26640 21 271342360702 89350 229 316 100 — — — — — —
201324 AAA MLEPetroleros de Minatitlan — 377339 911513 35640 25 268341345686 77317 179 305 93 — — — — — —
201425 AAA MLEToros de Tijuana — 6963 16011 6200 00 254328333662 79365 299 281 76 — — — — — —
201627 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 142132 32401 9220 11 242295295590 53278 156 278 74 — — — — — —
201728 AAA MLETigres de Quintana Roo — 10096 17311 3271 00 177210260470 83243 273 219 34 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 1079971 25841610 882201 58 266327351679 85331 208 302 91 -12 -2 +0 -19 +23 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 1562546 531331 35 267329354682 87333 208 302 91 -7 -1 +0 -12 +14 -0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 100 PAwOBA .255 → .219 (−36)K% 22.0% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.00%÷0.990×1.200——26.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.00%÷1.047×0.690—×0.9922.61%
HBP% /PA1.00%—×0.940—×0.9920.93%
Singles /BIP17.81%÷0.975×0.930×1.050×0.99217.70%
Doubles /BIP5.48%÷0.960×0.830×1.050×0.9924.93%
Triples /BIP1.37%÷1.150×0.920×1.050×0.9921.14%
Home runs /BIP2.74%÷0.898×0.700—×0.9922.12%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 98, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .255 → .219; ISO .126 → .100; BABIP .254 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 142 PAwOBA .315 → .278 (−37)K% 13.4% → 15.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.38%÷1.015×1.200——15.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.45%÷0.931×0.690—×1.0036.28%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP26.42%÷1.005×0.930×0.993×1.00324.34%
Doubles /BIP4.72%÷1.008×0.830×0.993×1.0033.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.920×0.993×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷0.999×0.700—×1.0031.33%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .315 → .278; ISO .088 → .069; BABIP .308 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAToros de Tijuana · 69 PAwOBA .310 → .281 (−29)K% 26.1% → 29.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.09%÷1.058×1.200——29.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.59%÷1.035×0.690—×1.0337.99%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP34.15%÷0.982×0.930—×1.03333.41%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.956×0.830—×1.0330.00%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷0.901×0.920—×1.0332.57%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷1.271×0.700—×1.0331.39%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 112, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .310 → .281; ISO .085 → .068; BABIP .375 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 377 PAwOBA .338 → .305 (−33)K% 14.6% → 16.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.59%÷1.036×1.200——16.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.26%÷1.029×0.690—×1.0489.32%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP26.14%÷1.011×0.930×1.033×1.04826.04%
Doubles /BIP6.44%÷1.101×0.830×1.033×1.0485.26%
Triples /BIP0.38%÷0.901×0.920×1.033×1.0480.42%
Home runs /BIP1.52%÷1.083×0.700—×1.0481.03%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 107, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .338 → .305; ISO .097 → .080; BABIP .331 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 286 PAwOBA .352 → .316 (−36)K% 18.5% → 22.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.53%÷0.994×1.200——22.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.24%÷0.974×0.690—×1.0509.10%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP26.70%÷1.021×0.930×1.037×1.05026.47%
Doubles /BIP8.90%÷1.117×0.830×1.037×1.0507.20%
Triples /BIP1.57%÷0.991×0.920×1.037×1.0501.59%
Home runs /BIP1.05%÷1.110×0.700—×1.0500.69%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .352 → .316; ISO .119 → .100; BABIP .370 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 105 PAwOBA .442 → .378 (−64)K% 18.1% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.10%÷0.980×1.200——22.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.38%÷1.107×0.690—×1.0508.10%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP35.21%÷1.059×0.930×1.022×1.05033.18%
Doubles /BIP8.45%÷1.085×0.830×1.022×1.0506.94%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×1.022×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.63%÷0.988×0.700—×1.0504.19%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 112, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 96, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .442 → .378; ISO .200 → .159; BABIP .463 → .419. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).