Gabriel Guerrero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 460 | .250/.271/.383 | 12 | 5 | 37 | — | .191/.207/.291 |
| 2020 | 26 | INTLEstrellas Ori… | 33 | .182/.182/.303 | 1 | 0 | 29 | — | |
| 2021 | 27 | INTLLeones del Es… | 22 | .190/.227/.333 | 1 | 0 | 55 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 206 | 191 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 236 | 288 | 298 | 586 | 63 | 273 | 14 | 7 | 267 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 305 | 275 | 96 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 349 | 401 | 593 | 994 | 244 | 360 | 13 | 8 | 424 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 499 | 468 | 126 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 113 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 269 | 306 | 357 | 663 | 88 | 342 | 23 | 4 | 295 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 580 | 538 | 165 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 131 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 350 | 467 | 817 | 160 | 373 | 23 | 6 | 358 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 488 | 460 | 102 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 108 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 222 | 260 | 343 | 604 | 122 | 272 | 22 | 5 | 267 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 55 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 364 | 440 | 804 | 140 | 394 | 27 | 9 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 110 | 99 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 278 | 313 | 591 | 101 | 267 | 23 | 8 | 264 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 342 | 319 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 76 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 241 | 286 | 404 | 691 | 163 | 290 | 22 | 6 | 302 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 129 | 120 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 325 | 611 | 75 | 296 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 543 | 501 | 137 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 103 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 273 | 323 | 379 | 703 | 106 | 328 | 19 | 6 | 313 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 170 | 157 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 287 | 333 | 408 | 741 | 121 | 339 | 20 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 167 | 222 | 44 | 0 | 216 | 26 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 432 | 404 | 118 | 15 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 97 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 292 | 330 | 475 | 805 | 183 | 342 | 22 | 5 | 350 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 107 | 98 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 296 | 343 | 469 | 812 | 173 | 375 | 24 | 7 | 351 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 104 | 103 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 272 | 279 | 417 | 696 | 146 | 325 | 22 | 1 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 336 | 324 | 82 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 97 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 253 | 273 | 407 | 681 | 154 | 324 | 29 | 2 | 297 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 35 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 257 | 343 | 600 | 86 | 321 | 20 | 0 | 264 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 89 | 85 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 270 | 306 | 576 | 71 | 317 | 27 | 3 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 33 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 182 | 303 | 485 | 121 | 200 | 21 | 0 | 212 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 333 | 561 | 143 | 200 | 23 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 167 | 222 | 44 | 0 | 216 | 32 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 206 | 195 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 149 | 190 | 174 | 365 | 26 | 182 | 17 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 305 | 286 | 78 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 59 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 273 | 304 | 455 | 759 | 182 | 291 | 19 | 4 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 499 | 475 | 109 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 157 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 229 | 258 | 293 | 550 | 63 | 328 | 31 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 580 | 547 | 138 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 190 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 252 | 287 | 371 | 659 | 119 | 353 | 33 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 488 | 467 | 95 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 135 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 203 | 231 | 308 | 540 | 105 | 268 | 28 | 3 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 110 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 265 | 487 | 88 | 223 | 30 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 342 | 325 | 62 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 95 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 191 | 224 | 311 | 535 | 120 | 246 | 28 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 543 | 516 | 123 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 128 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 238 | 270 | 320 | 589 | 81 | 300 | 24 | 3 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 167 | 222 | 44 | 0 | 207 | 26 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 432 | 411 | 108 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 121 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 263 | 290 | 416 | 706 | 153 | 329 | 28 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 107 | 100 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 270 | 305 | 430 | 735 | 160 | 344 | 29 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 336 | 326 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 132 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 187 | 204 | 288 | 493 | 101 | 280 | 39 | 1 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 35 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 229 | 314 | 543 | 86 | 293 | 23 | 0 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 206 | 195 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 149 | 190 | 174 | 365 | 26 | 181 | 17 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 206 | 191 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 236 | 288 | 298 | 586 | 63 | 273 | 14 | 7 | 267 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 305 | 286 | 78 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 59 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 273 | 304 | 455 | 759 | 182 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Mariners | — | 305 | 275 | 96 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 349 | 401 | 593 | 994 | 244 | 360 | 13 | 8 | 424 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 499 | 475 | 109 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 157 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 229 | 258 | 293 | 550 | 63 | 330 | 31 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 499 | 468 | 126 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 113 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 269 | 306 | 357 | 663 | 88 | 342 | 23 | 4 | 295 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 580 | 547 | 138 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 190 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 252 | 287 | 371 | 659 | 119 | 356 | 33 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ RAW | High Desert Mavericks | — | 580 | 538 | 165 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 131 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 350 | 467 | 817 | 160 | 373 | 23 | 6 | 358 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 521 | 105 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 150 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 202 | 228 | 307 | 535 | 106 | 268 | 28 | 3 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 543 | 510 | 117 | 26 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 123 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 229 | 271 | 353 | 624 | 124 | 283 | 23 | 5 | 277 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 581 | 547 | 101 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 164 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 185 | 222 | 294 | 516 | 110 | 243 | 28 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 581 | 538 | 128 | 29 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 125 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 238 | 284 | 370 | 654 | 132 | 287 | 22 | 6 | 288 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 713 | 677 | 161 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 168 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 238 | 269 | 318 | 587 | 80 | 305 | 24 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 713 | 658 | 182 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 137 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 277 | 326 | 386 | 712 | 109 | 331 | 19 | 6 | 317 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 661 | 629 | 163 | 24 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 190 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 259 | 287 | 412 | 699 | 153 | 336 | 29 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 661 | 623 | 178 | 30 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 154 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 286 | 320 | 461 | 780 | 175 | 342 | 23 | 5 | 340 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 460 | 448 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 174 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 192 | 208 | 292 | 500 | 100 | 287 | 38 | 1 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 460 | 444 | 111 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 128 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 250 | 271 | 383 | 654 | 133 | 322 | 28 | 2 | 288 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | INTL MLE | Estrellas Orientales | — | 33 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 182 | 303 | 485 | 121 | 200 | 21 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | INTL RAW | Estrellas Orientales | — | 33 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 182 | 303 | 485 | 121 | 200 | 21 | 0 | 212 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 333 | 561 | 143 | 200 | 23 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 333 | 561 | 143 | 200 | 23 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 206 | 194 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 149 | 190 | 175 | 366 | 26 | 182 | 17 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 305 | 289 | 78 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 59 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 270 | 304 | 450 | 754 | 180 | 291 | 19 | 4 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 499 | 478 | 109 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 157 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 228 | 258 | 291 | 548 | 63 | 328 | 31 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 580 | 548 | 138 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 190 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 252 | 287 | 370 | 658 | 119 | 353 | 33 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 520 | 105 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 150 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 202 | 228 | 308 | 536 | 106 | 268 | 28 | 3 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 581 | 550 | 101 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 164 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 184 | 222 | 293 | 514 | 109 | 240 | 28 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 713 | 678 | 161 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 168 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 237 | 269 | 317 | 586 | 80 | 300 | 24 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 661 | 631 | 163 | 24 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 190 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 258 | 287 | 410 | 698 | 152 | 328 | 29 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 460 | 448 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 174 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 192 | 208 | 292 | 500 | 100 | 281 | 38 | 1 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 167 | 222 | 44 | 0 | 216 | 57 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 650 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 289 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 166 | 332 | 498 | 166 | 222 | 44 | 0 | 216 | 57 | -52 | +0 | +7 | +85 | +14 | 5.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4603 | 4379 | 980 | 172 | 30 | 79 | 163 | 1299 | 13 | 74 | 38 | 224 | 254 | 331 | 585 | 107 | 296 | 28 | 4 | 253 | 57 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 618 | 138 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 183 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 223 | 253 | 328 | 582 | 105 | 295 | 28 | 4 | 253 | 57 | -52 | +0 | +7 | +85 | +14 | 5.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 336 PAwOBA .291 → .212 (−79)K% 28.9% → 39.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.87% | ÷0.950 | ×1.290 | — | — | 39.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.08% | ÷1.085 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 1.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.49% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.100 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.50% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .212; ISO .154 → .102; BABIP .324 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 35 PAwOBA .256 → .222 (−34)K% 20.0% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 22.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .256 → .222; ISO .086 → .077; BABIP .321 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAALouisville Bats · 432 PAwOBA .344 → .305 (−38)K% 22.5% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.45% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.09% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.71% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 26.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.89% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.001 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.54% | ÷0.988 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 4.87% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .344 → .305; ISO .183 → .157; BABIP .342 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 107 PAwOBA .348 → .306 (−43)K% 24.3% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.30% | ÷1.030 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.54% | ÷0.967 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 11.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.44% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 105, 2B 108, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .348 → .306; ISO .173 → .154; BABIP .375 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 543 PAwOBA .305 → .258 (−47)K% 19.0% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.97% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.52% | ÷1.095 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.63% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 23.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.03% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.943 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.399 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 180, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 89, K 96, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .305 → .258; ISO .106 → .083; BABIP .328 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMobile BayBears · 342 PAwOBA .297 → .233 (−64)K% 22.2% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.85% | ÷0.975 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.93% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 16.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 2.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.29% | ÷1.160 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.33% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .297 → .233; ISO .163 → .124; BABIP .290 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAReno Aces · 110 PAwOBA .258 → .204 (−55)K% 22.7% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.73% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.052 | ×0.900 | ×0.971 | ×1.050 | 16.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.060 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×1.050 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×1.050 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .258 → .204; ISO .101 → .074; BABIP .267 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMobile BayBears · 488 PAwOBA .262 → .233 (−29)K% 22.1% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.13% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.71% | ÷1.043 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 3.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.47% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×1.042 | 18.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | ×1.042 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷0.921 | ×0.880 | ×1.029 | ×1.042 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.99% | ÷1.098 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 84, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .262 → .233; ISO .122 → .107; BABIP .272 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .