Andy Paz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A/ROK2 orgs | 61 | .226/.328/.245 | 0 | 1 | 17 | — | .179/.246/.197 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA/A+/A2 orgs | 209 | .324/.399/.422 | 2 | 3 | 98 | — | .296/.346/.385 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAOAK | 197 | .251/.306/.274 | 0 | 3 | 29 | — | .208/.249/.230 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 73 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 315 | 451 | 356 | 807 | 41 | 365 | 11 | 15 | 381 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | — | 98 | 82 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 317 | 417 | 415 | 831 | 98 | 377 | 13 | 14 | 370 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 102 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 304 | 337 | 641 | 109 | 264 | 18 | 10 | 293 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 71 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 284 | 193 | 477 | 35 | 225 | 25 | 14 | 224 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 49 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 229 | 273 | 502 | 114 | 167 | 16 | 8 | 226 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 33 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 233 | 506 | 33 | 316 | 33 | 9 | 239 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 28 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 393 | 261 | 654 | 353 | 21 | 18 | 319 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 169 | 150 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 320 | 393 | 420 | 813 | 100 | 365 | 13 | 11 | 365 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 23 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 421 | 522 | 579 | 1.101 | 158 | 444 | 4 | 17 | 483 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 250 | 544 | 333 | 24 | 6 | 254 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 197 | 179 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 37 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 251 | 306 | 274 | 579 | 22 | 312 | 19 | 7 | 264 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 221 | 341 | 247 | 587 | 26 | 259 | 13 | 11 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 98 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 198 | 281 | 244 | 525 | 47 | 244 | 16 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 102 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 216 | 229 | 445 | 62 | 219 | 25 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 71 | 60 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 239 | 183 | 422 | 33 | 206 | 35 | 10 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 49 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 146 | 196 | 341 | 87 | 129 | 24 | 4 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 33 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 194 | 406 | 32 | 281 | 45 | 6 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 28 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 286 | 200 | 486 | 282 | 32 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 169 | 157 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 293 | 339 | 382 | 721 | 89 | 344 | 17 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 23 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 400 | 478 | 550 | 1.028 | 150 | 401 | 4 | 13 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 287 | 29 | 6 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 197 | 183 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 249 | 230 | 478 | 22 | 266 | 24 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 221 | 341 | 247 | 587 | 26 | 262 | 13 | 11 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 73 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 315 | 451 | 356 | 807 | 41 | 365 | 11 | 15 | 381 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 98 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 198 | 281 | 244 | 525 | 47 | 243 | 16 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Athletics | — | 98 | 82 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 317 | 417 | 415 | 831 | 98 | 377 | 13 | 14 | 370 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 102 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 216 | 229 | 445 | 62 | 217 | 25 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Athletics | — | 102 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 304 | 337 | 641 | 109 | 264 | 18 | 10 | 293 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 106 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 132 | 200 | 189 | 389 | 57 | 186 | 31 | 8 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 120 | 101 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 261 | 228 | 489 | 69 | 197 | 22 | 12 | 224 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 61 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 230 | 179 | 408 | 18 | 281 | 39 | 8 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 61 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 328 | 245 | 573 | 19 | 333 | 28 | 13 | 276 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 209 | 193 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 295 | 346 | 383 | 730 | 88 | 355 | 17 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 209 | 185 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 324 | 399 | 422 | 821 | 97 | 372 | 13 | 11 | 369 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 197 | 183 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 249 | 230 | 478 | 22 | 277 | 24 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 197 | 179 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 37 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 251 | 306 | 274 | 579 | 22 | 312 | 19 | 7 | 264 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 221 | 341 | 247 | 587 | 26 | 259 | 13 | 11 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 98 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 193 | 281 | 239 | 520 | 45 | 244 | 16 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 102 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 216 | 232 | 447 | 63 | 219 | 25 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 110 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 127 | 200 | 182 | 382 | 55 | 175 | 31 | 8 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 61 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 230 | 179 | 408 | 18 | 281 | 39 | 8 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 209 | 192 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 297 | 346 | 385 | 732 | 89 | 346 | 17 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 197 | 185 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 249 | 227 | 476 | 22 | 266 | 24 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 878 | 797 | 168 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 65 | 199 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 211 | 274 | 261 | 535 | 50 | 274 | 23 | 7 | 239 | 48 | -55 | +0 | +0 | +16 | +19 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 124 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 147 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 210 | 273 | 259 | 532 | 49 | 273 | 23 | 7 | 239 | 48 | -41 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAMidland RockHounds · 197 PAwOBA .260 → .211 (−49)K% 18.8% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷0.939 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.87% | ÷1.142 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 24.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.987 | ×0.840 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 2.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.862 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 128, 2B 97, 3B 95, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .260 → .211; ISO .022 → .020; BABIP .312 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMidland RockHounds · 169 PAwOBA .354 → .312 (−42)K% 13.0% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.02% | ÷0.920 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.06% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.91% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 28.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.03% | ÷1.075 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.999 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 84, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .354 → .312; ISO .100 → .084; BABIP .365 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Stockton Ports · 23 PAwOBA .472 → .411 (−61)K% 4.3% → 5.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.035 | ×1.340 | — | — | 5.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 11.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 30.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.939 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.990 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.998 | 4.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 88, 3B 98, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .472 → .411; ISO .158 → .134; BABIP .444 → .401. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ABeloit Snappers · 17 PAwOBA .248 → .187 (−61)K% 23.5% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.991 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.100 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 28.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 112, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .248 → .187; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ABeloit Snappers · 33 PAwOBA .234 → .171 (−63)K% 33.3% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | — | 23.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.021 | ×0.830 | — | — | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.084 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .234 → .171; ISO .033 → .022; BABIP .316 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKAZL Athletics · 28 PAwOBA .312 → .219 (−92)K% 21.4% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 10.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 28.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .219; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .353 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ABeloit Snappers · 71 PAwOBA .222 → .181 (−42)K% 25.4% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.35% | ÷0.974 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.015 | 17.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.015 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 97, 2B 112, 3B 88, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .222 → .181; ISO .035 → .028; BABIP .225 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Athletics · 49 PAwOBA .224 → .160 (−64)K% 16.3% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 4.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.005 | ×0.985 | 9.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.005 | ×0.985 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.005 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 2.13% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .224 → .160; ISO .114 → .083; BABIP .167 → .129. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).