Anthony Gallas
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 629 | .283/.344/.508 | 27 | 5 | 88 | — | .226/.265/.411 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/AACLE | 485 | .250/.308/.439 | 17 | 2 | 62 | — | .206/.252/.352 |
| 2016 | 28 | AACLE | 16 | .062/.062/.062 | 0 | 0 | -87 | — | .062/.062/.062 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 201 | 185 | 51 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 330 | 395 | 725 | 119 | 340 | 20 | 5 | 324 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Kinston Indians | — | 164 | 142 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 292 | 310 | 602 | 113 | 239 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 207 | 65 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 314 | 393 | 517 | 910 | 203 | 362 | 16 | 10 | 402 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 15 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 400 | 385 | 785 | 77 | 400 | 20 | 7 | 362 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 410 | 376 | 94 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 83 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 250 | 307 | 415 | 722 | 165 | 299 | 20 | 7 | 318 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 56 | 52 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 268 | 269 | 537 | 58 | 256 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 309 | 280 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 293 | 344 | 536 | 880 | 243 | 330 | 23 | 7 | 375 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 239 | 221 | 61 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 276 | 331 | 480 | 810 | 204 | 329 | 22 | 7 | 356 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 81 | 68 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 383 | 485 | 868 | 221 | 312 | 21 | 14 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 113 | 109 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 223 | 385 | 609 | 183 | 239 | 29 | 3 | 263 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 372 | 335 | 89 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 80 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 333 | 457 | 790 | 191 | 314 | 22 | 8 | 347 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 125 | 50 | 0 | 57 | -87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 201 | 189 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 245 | 275 | 520 | 74 | 272 | 29 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Kinston Indians | — | 164 | 147 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 230 | 238 | 468 | 82 | 210 | 29 | 4 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 216 | 54 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 250 | 308 | 394 | 701 | 144 | 312 | 22 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 15 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 400 | 385 | 785 | 77 | 373 | 27 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 410 | 387 | 70 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 122 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 181 | 221 | 302 | 523 | 121 | 240 | 30 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 56 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 214 | 208 | 422 | 38 | 235 | 23 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 309 | 287 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 278 | 446 | 724 | 206 | 274 | 29 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 239 | 227 | 47 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 77 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 247 | 366 | 613 | 159 | 281 | 32 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 113 | 110 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 170 | 273 | 442 | 118 | 208 | 35 | 2 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 372 | 343 | 76 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 276 | 376 | 653 | 155 | 270 | 26 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 115 | 62 | 0 | 39 | -87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 201 | 189 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 245 | 275 | 520 | 74 | 282 | 29 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 201 | 185 | 51 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 330 | 395 | 725 | 119 | 340 | 20 | 5 | 324 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 363 | 77 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 101 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 212 | 276 | 331 | 607 | 118 | 277 | 25 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 398 | 349 | 93 | 34 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 72 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 266 | 352 | 433 | 785 | 166 | 312 | 18 | 9 | 349 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 400 | 74 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 126 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 185 | 227 | 305 | 532 | 120 | 248 | 30 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 425 | 389 | 98 | 31 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 252 | 310 | 414 | 724 | 162 | 302 | 20 | 7 | 320 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 56 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 214 | 208 | 422 | 38 | 225 | 23 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 56 | 52 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 268 | 269 | 537 | 58 | 256 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 629 | 590 | 133 | 32 | 2 | 24 | 28 | 191 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 225 | 265 | 408 | 674 | 183 | 285 | 30 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 629 | 569 | 161 | 43 | 2 | 27 | 49 | 140 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 283 | 344 | 508 | 852 | 225 | 328 | 22 | 8 | 369 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 453 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 135 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 252 | 351 | 603 | 146 | 258 | 28 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 485 | 444 | 111 | 27 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 113 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 308 | 439 | 747 | 189 | 297 | 23 | 6 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 167 | 62 | 0 | 39 | -87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 28 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 125 | 50 | 0 | 57 | -87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 201 | 188 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 245 | 277 | 522 | 74 | 272 | 29 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 363 | 77 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 101 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 212 | 276 | 331 | 607 | 118 | 270 | 25 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 400 | 74 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 126 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 185 | 227 | 305 | 532 | 120 | 245 | 30 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 56 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 214 | 208 | 422 | 38 | 235 | 23 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 629 | 592 | 133 | 32 | 2 | 24 | 28 | 191 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 225 | 265 | 407 | 672 | 182 | 277 | 30 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 454 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 135 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 252 | 350 | 602 | 145 | 256 | 28 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 115 | 62 | 0 | 39 | -87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2210 | 2064 | 425 | 110 | 9 | 51 | 97 | 634 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 206 | 252 | 342 | 594 | 136 | 268 | 29 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -105 | -1 | +0 | -24 | +48 | -8.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 125 | 32 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 186 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 253 | 343 | 596 | 137 | 268 | 29 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -31 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 16 PAwOBA .055 → .039 (−16)K% 50.0% → 61.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 50.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 61.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.958 | 11.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .055 → .039; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .115. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 372 PAwOBA .339 → .281 (−58)K% 21.5% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.51% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.26% | ÷0.934 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 18.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.41% | ÷1.053 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.71% | ÷0.842 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 4.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .339 → .281; ISO .191 → .157; BABIP .314 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAColumbus Clippers · 113 PAwOBA .255 → .194 (−62)K% 29.2% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.20% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.65% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 1.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.11% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×0.992 | 15.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×0.992 | 3.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×0.992 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.217 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .255 → .194; ISO .183 → .128; BABIP .239 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAkron RubberDucks · 309 PAwOBA .372 → .302 (−69)K% 23.0% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.98% | ÷0.965 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.47% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷1.064 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 19.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.66% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.66% | ÷0.881 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 6.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .372 → .302; ISO .243 → .204; BABIP .330 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Carolina Mudcats · 239 PAwOBA .346 → .264 (−82)K% 21.8% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.76% | ÷0.961 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷0.966 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.958 | 4.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.93% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×0.958 | 16.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.43% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.958 | 9.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.995 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.73% | ÷0.869 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.958 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .346 → .264; ISO .204 → .164; BABIP .329 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Carolina Mudcats · 56 PAwOBA .242 → .198 (−44)K% 16.1% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.07% | ÷0.994 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.36% | ÷1.013 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷0.979 | ×0.940 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 17.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .242 → .198; ISO .058 → .046; BABIP .256 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Carolina Mudcats · 410 PAwOBA .312 → .229 (−83)K% 20.2% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.24% | ÷0.963 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.035 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.75% | ÷1.054 | ×0.940 | ×0.962 | ×0.978 | 14.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.24% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.978 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.962 | ×0.978 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.73% | ÷0.895 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 2.68% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 111, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .312 → .229; ISO .165 → .128; BABIP .299 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAColumbus Clippers · 15 PAwOBA .353 → .310 (−43)K% 20.0% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.974 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 6.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 28.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 8.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.101 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.178 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .353 → .310; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .400 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .