Nelson Ward
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 529 | .278/.366/.436 | 9 | 13 | 76 | — | .233/.300/.369 |
| 2016 | 23 | AASD | 528 | .221/.316/.302 | 6 | 31 | 47 | — | .196/.267/.266 |
| 2017 | 24 | AASEA | 297 | .265/.340/.330 | 1 | 8 | 55 | — | .228/.286/.283 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 63 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 232 | 283 | 357 | 640 | 125 | 277 | 16 | 6 | 272 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 45 | 40 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 350 | 409 | 550 | 959 | 200 | 406 | 16 | 9 | 411 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 337 | 291 | 82 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 83 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 282 | 363 | 436 | 799 | 155 | 371 | 25 | 10 | 348 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 192 | 163 | 44 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 41 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 270 | 370 | 436 | 806 | 166 | 350 | 21 | 14 | 354 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 528 | 453 | 100 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 126 | 7 | 31 | 9 | 221 | 316 | 302 | 618 | 82 | 289 | 24 | 11 | 282 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 297 | 264 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 74 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 265 | 340 | 330 | 670 | 64 | 363 | 25 | 9 | 306 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 63 | 57 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 228 | 267 | 351 | 618 | 123 | 257 | 21 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 45 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 262 | 295 | 429 | 724 | 167 | 318 | 22 | 4 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 337 | 301 | 71 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 113 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 236 | 299 | 362 | 661 | 126 | 333 | 34 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 192 | 171 | 39 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 58 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 228 | 302 | 380 | 682 | 152 | 321 | 30 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 528 | 470 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 152 | 7 | 31 | 9 | 196 | 267 | 266 | 533 | 70 | 264 | 29 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 297 | 272 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 93 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 228 | 286 | 283 | 569 | 55 | 333 | 31 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 100 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 240 | 269 | 380 | 649 | 140 | 299 | 21 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 108 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 281 | 337 | 438 | 774 | 156 | 329 | 16 | 7 | 330 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 529 | 472 | 109 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 171 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 231 | 298 | 360 | 658 | 129 | 346 | 32 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 529 | 454 | 126 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 59 | 124 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 278 | 366 | 436 | 802 | 159 | 363 | 23 | 11 | 350 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 528 | 470 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 152 | 7 | 31 | 9 | 196 | 267 | 266 | 533 | 70 | 274 | 29 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 528 | 453 | 100 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 126 | 7 | 31 | 9 | 221 | 316 | 302 | 618 | 82 | 289 | 24 | 11 | 282 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 297 | 272 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 93 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 228 | 286 | 283 | 569 | 55 | 341 | 31 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 297 | 264 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 74 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 265 | 340 | 330 | 670 | 64 | 363 | 25 | 9 | 306 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 103 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 233 | 269 | 369 | 638 | 136 | 282 | 21 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 529 | 479 | 109 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 171 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 228 | 298 | 355 | 653 | 127 | 329 | 32 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 528 | 477 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 152 | 7 | 31 | 9 | 193 | 267 | 262 | 529 | 69 | 264 | 29 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 297 | 273 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 93 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 227 | 286 | 282 | 568 | 55 | 333 | 31 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1462 | 1314 | 287 | 45 | 18 | 14 | 102 | 439 | 15 | 60 | 23 | 218 | 282 | 312 | 594 | 94 | 315 | 30 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -68 | +3 | +0 | +5 | +32 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 127 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 195 | 7 | 27 | 10 | 217 | 281 | 310 | 591 | 92 | 313 | 30 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 297 PAwOBA .299 → .250 (−49)K% 24.9% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.92% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.75% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.47% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 27.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.41% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .299 → .250; ISO .064 → .051; BABIP .363 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AASan Antonio Missions · 528 PAwOBA .276 → .238 (−38)K% 23.9% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.86% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.55% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 21.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.59% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷0.933 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.59% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .276 → .238; ISO .082 → .074; BABIP .289 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 337 PAwOBA .340 → .278 (−62)K% 24.6% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.63% | ÷0.988 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.79% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.40% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 25.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.930 | ×0.820 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 2.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.37% | ÷1.077 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 2.87% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .340 → .278; ISO .155 → .126; BABIP .371 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AClinton LumberKings · 192 PAwOBA .345 → .285 (−60)K% 21.4% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷0.958 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.54% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.95% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.990 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.74% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×0.990 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.74% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×0.990 | 5.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.847 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.53% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .345 → .285; ISO .166 → .151; BABIP .350 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AClinton LumberKings · 63 PAwOBA .269 → .241 (−28)K% 15.9% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.87% | ÷1.018 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | — | 16.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | — | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | — | 3.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.129 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 105, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .269 → .241; ISO .125 → .115; BABIP .277 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKPulaski Mariners · 45 PAwOBA .393 → .301 (−92)K% 15.6% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.975 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.975 | 22.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 6.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 2.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.975 | 2.36% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .393 → .301; ISO .200 → .150; BABIP .406 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).