Mike Papi
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | AAA/AACLE | 500 | .258/.373/.388 | 12 | 6 | 84 | — | .240/.316/.341 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAACLE | 296 | .247/.373/.412 | 7 | 1 | 86 | — | .221/.312/.349 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAACLE | 100 | .202/.290/.258 | 0 | 0 | 22 | — | .172/.230/.215 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 166 | 135 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 32 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 178 | 309 | 274 | 583 | 96 | 204 | 19 | 16 | 270 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 506 | 416 | 98 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 81 | 118 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 236 | 363 | 356 | 719 | 120 | 316 | 23 | 16 | 329 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 306 | 259 | 59 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 72 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 228 | 342 | 398 | 740 | 170 | 282 | 24 | 13 | 333 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 173 | 140 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 374 | 450 | 824 | 214 | 280 | 24 | 17 | 365 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 148 | 119 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 364 | 328 | 691 | 92 | 271 | 17 | 14 | 314 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 352 | 296 | 79 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 267 | 376 | 412 | 789 | 145 | 304 | 17 | 14 | 354 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 296 | 243 | 60 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 373 | 412 | 785 | 165 | 335 | 26 | 16 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 100 | 89 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 290 | 258 | 548 | 56 | 281 | 25 | 10 | 259 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 166 | 144 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 139 | 235 | 201 | 436 | 62 | 172 | 27 | 11 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 506 | 449 | 85 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 162 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 189 | 273 | 281 | 554 | 91 | 279 | 32 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 306 | 269 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 197 | 289 | 338 | 628 | 141 | 254 | 29 | 10 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 173 | 152 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 275 | 349 | 624 | 164 | 247 | 36 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 148 | 127 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 315 | 307 | 622 | 79 | 263 | 20 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 352 | 315 | 77 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 75 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 244 | 316 | 356 | 672 | 111 | 287 | 21 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 296 | 258 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 312 | 349 | 660 | 128 | 317 | 31 | 11 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 100 | 93 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 230 | 215 | 445 | 43 | 248 | 30 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 166 | 144 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 139 | 235 | 201 | 436 | 62 | 178 | 27 | 11 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 166 | 135 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 32 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 178 | 309 | 274 | 583 | 96 | 204 | 19 | 16 | 270 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 506 | 449 | 85 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 162 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 189 | 273 | 281 | 554 | 91 | 286 | 32 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 506 | 416 | 98 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 81 | 118 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 236 | 363 | 356 | 719 | 120 | 316 | 23 | 16 | 329 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 421 | 81 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 49 | 151 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 284 | 342 | 626 | 150 | 261 | 32 | 10 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 479 | 399 | 92 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 71 | 114 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 231 | 354 | 416 | 770 | 185 | 281 | 24 | 15 | 344 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 442 | 105 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 106 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 238 | 314 | 339 | 653 | 102 | 286 | 21 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 500 | 415 | 107 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 70 | 86 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 258 | 373 | 388 | 761 | 130 | 294 | 17 | 14 | 342 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 296 | 258 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 312 | 349 | 660 | 128 | 323 | 31 | 11 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 296 | 243 | 60 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 373 | 412 | 785 | 165 | 335 | 26 | 16 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 100 | 93 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 230 | 215 | 445 | 43 | 254 | 30 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 100 | 89 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 290 | 258 | 548 | 56 | 281 | 25 | 10 | 259 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 166 | 147 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 136 | 235 | 197 | 432 | 61 | 172 | 27 | 11 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 506 | 449 | 85 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 162 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 189 | 273 | 281 | 554 | 91 | 279 | 32 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 422 | 81 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 49 | 151 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 284 | 341 | 625 | 149 | 251 | 32 | 10 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 447 | 105 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 106 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 235 | 314 | 336 | 649 | 101 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 296 | 260 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 312 | 346 | 658 | 127 | 317 | 31 | 11 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 100 | 93 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 230 | 215 | 445 | 43 | 248 | 30 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2047 | 1807 | 364 | 86 | 5 | 33 | 197 | 585 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 201 | 286 | 309 | 595 | 108 | 275 | 29 | 10 | 266 | 66 | -82 | -1 | +0 | -22 | +44 | -6.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 115 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 63 | 186 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 200 | 285 | 307 | 592 | 106 | 274 | 29 | 10 | 266 | 66 | -26 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAColumbus Clippers · 100 PAwOBA .253 → .201 (−52)K% 25.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 99, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .253 → .201; ISO .056 → .044; BABIP .281 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAColumbus Clippers · 296 PAwOBA .339 → .296 (−44)K% 26.4% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.35% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.86% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 20.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.30% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 9.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.24% | ÷1.135 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.20% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .339 → .296; ISO .165 → .141; BABIP .335 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAkron RubberDucks · 352 PAwOBA .343 → .297 (−46)K% 17.3% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.33% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.07% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.83% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 23.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.53% | ÷1.072 | ×0.860 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.008 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.29% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .343 → .297; ISO .145 → .118; BABIP .304 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 148 PAwOBA .313 → .280 (−32)K% 16.9% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.89% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.84% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 22.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.231 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .313 → .280; ISO .092 → .076; BABIP .271 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 306 PAwOBA .327 → .272 (−55)K% 23.5% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.40% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 10.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 16.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.56% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.28% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .327 → .272; ISO .170 → .139; BABIP .282 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 173 PAwOBA .360 → .276 (−84)K% 24.3% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.28% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.34% | ÷1.015 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 10.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.35% | ÷0.969 | ×0.940 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 16.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 7.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.932 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 6.81% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .360 → .276; ISO .214 → .181; BABIP .280 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 506 PAwOBA .323 → .248 (−75)K% 23.3% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.32% | ÷1.031 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.01% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 9.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.46% | ÷1.026 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 17.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 9.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.129 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 84, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .323 → .248; ISO .120 → .097; BABIP .316 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ALake County Captains · 166 PAwOBA .267 → .209 (−57)K% 19.3% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.28% | ÷0.986 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.06% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.50% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | — | 14.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.88% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | — | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×0.963 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.042 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.24% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .267 → .209; ISO .096 → .076; BABIP .204 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).