Ryan Sherriff prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Ryan Sherriff P Oklahoma City Dodgers

Age 36 LHP 6'1" / 187 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.33

FIP4.42

K%21.9%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP51

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1592.0

Whiff%

p4724.8%

p5022.2%

xwOBA vs

p470.315

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	40	168	33	14	5	0%	1.3	17.1%	8.2%	8.9%	2.9%	2.95	4.27	—
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	40	168	33	14	5	0%	1.3	19.6%	8.3%	11.3%	3.0%	2.95	4.13	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	49	0	67	288	55	22	4	0%	1.4	16.8%	8.0%	8.8%	1.6%	2.83	3.60	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	49	0	67	288	55	22	4	0%	1.4	19.1%	7.6%	11.5%	1.4%	2.83	3.22	—
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	0	68	272	62	15	4	0%	1.1	20.7%	5.7%	15.0%	1.6%	3.18	2.96	+1.3
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	61	0	68	272	62	15	4	0%	1.1	22.8%	5.5%	17.3%	1.5%	3.18	2.70	+1.5
2018	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	10	45	7	3	2	0%	1.0	15.6%	6.7%	8.9%	4.4%	6.52	5.07	-0.1
2018	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	10	45	7	3	2	0%	1.0	15.6%	6.7%	8.9%	4.4%	6.52	5.27	-0.1
2019	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	2	7	34	3	0	0	33%	1.2	8.8%	0.0%	8.8%	0.0%	1.29	2.35	—
2019	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	2	7	34	3	0	0	33%	1.2	8.8%	0.0%	8.8%	0.0%	1.29	2.24	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	10	0	10	34	2	2	0	0%	1.0	5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.35	+0.1
2020	30	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	10	0	10	34	2	2	0	0%	1.0	5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.31	+0.1
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	2	40	179	44	22	1	4%	0.8	22.7%	12.7%	10.1%	0.6%	3.79	3.10	+0.7
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	2	40	179	44	22	1	4%	0.8	24.6%	12.3%	12.3%	0.6%	3.79	2.88	+0.8
2022	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	0	14	63	18	7	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.4%	8.4%	2.1%	2.51	4.06	—
2022	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	0	14	63	18	7	1	0%	1.0	28.6%	11.1%	17.5%	1.6%	2.51	2.96	—
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	31	135	32	15	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.0%	10.9%	2.1%	4.11	3.78	+0.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	31	135	32	15	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.0%	10.9%	2.1%	4.11	3.78	+0.3
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	31	135	32	15	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	11.1%	12.6%	1.5%	4.11	3.33	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			49	0	51	222	41	19	3	0%	1.0	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	1.4%	3.53	3.37	+0.7
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.9%	9.7%	12.2%	2.8%	4.33	4.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	BOS	42	0	44	187	39	19	6	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.3%	10.6%	3.3%	4.62	4.81	-0.1
2027	37	MLB CTX	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.9%	10.3%	10.6%	3.3%	4.62	4.81	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	224	41	19	3	0%	1.0	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	1.4%	3.54	3.38	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	0	200	870	159	74	12	0%	1.0	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	1.4%	3.54	3.38	+2.8
Career	—	MLE		256	4	286	1218	229	103	21	2%	1.1	18.8%	8.4%	10.3%	1.7%	3.18	3.53	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	3	200	852	160	72	15	2%	1.1	18.8%	8.4%	10.3%	1.7%	3.18	3.53	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Sherriff (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	21.9%	9.7%	2.8%	—	4.81	20.9%	10.6%	44	+0.39	—	—	—
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	78
Brian Shouse L 2005 · 4.24 FIP	36	SU	4.24	15.0%	6.0%	3.0%	.271	3.35	15.0%	9.6%	137	-0.89	2.32	339	71
Juan Pablo Perez L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	36	SU	3.68	26.5%	15.3%	1.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	69
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	69
Hisanori Takahashi L 2011 · 3.64 FIP	36	SU	3.64	18.5%	6.0%	2.4%	.249	4.04	24.5%	18.4%	50	+0.40	3.50	240	67
Raul Valdes L 2013 · 4.07 FIP	35	SU	4.07	24.3%	5.3%	4.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	160	64
Tim Byrdak L 2010 · 4.48 FIP	36	SU	4.48	17.1%	11.8%	2.4%	.308	2.92	27.6%	18.1%	68	-1.56	2.85	320	62
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	40
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	39
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	39
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	37
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	36
Joe Nelson R 2009 · 5.35 FIP	34	SU	5.35	19.8%	14.3%	3.9%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	139	36
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	35
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	35
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2003 · 3.30 FIP	35	SU	3.30	19.3%	8.7%	1.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	223	34
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	34
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	34
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	33
Jim Miller R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	34	SU	5.43	20.4%	14.1%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	140	33

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	73	20.4%	9.5%	0.95	4.14
Aquilino López ('08)	1.0	69	18.5%	9.1%	1.00	3.78
Mark Lowe ('16)	1.9	64	20.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.22
Bill Simas ('00)	1.7	68	17.9%	10.1%	1.04	3.83
Duaner Sanchez ('09)	1.5	75	16.5%	9.7%	0.99	4.10
Kerry Ligtenberg ('05)	2.0	65	21.5%	9.5%	1.06	3.82
Billy Taylor ('01)	1.6	65	21.7%	9.4%	0.75	4.21