Colin Walsh
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 26 | AAAMIL | 245 | .259/.387/.388 | 4 | 0 | 73 | — | .203/.305/.316 | |
| 2016 | 26 | MLBMIL | 63 | .085/.317/.106 | 0 | 0 | 51 | -0.2 | ||
| 2017 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 448 | .256/.416/.435 | 12 | 5 | 85 | — | .208/.319/.339 | |
| 2018 | 28 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 50 | .238/.347/.333 | 0 | 1 | 95 | — | ||
| 2019 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 120 | 98 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 358 | 337 | 695 | 122 | 250 | 17 | 17 | 325 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 26 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 346 | 261 | 607 | 300 | 12 | 12 | 289 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 21 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 276 | 230 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 43 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 361 | 378 | 740 | 139 | 277 | 16 | 16 | 336 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 425 | 353 | 111 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60 | 65 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 314 | 424 | 530 | 954 | 215 | 343 | 15 | 14 | 416 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 71 | 57 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 414 | 439 | 853 | 158 | 405 | 28 | 18 | 380 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 134 | 118 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 220 | 313 | 314 | 627 | 93 | 261 | 18 | 12 | 291 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 412 | 351 | 92 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 68 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 262 | 370 | 387 | 757 | 125 | 315 | 17 | 14 | 344 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 172 | 147 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 367 | 340 | 707 | 68 | 349 | 22 | 11 | 323 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 116 | 101 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 287 | 363 | 366 | 729 | 79 | 364 | 22 | 9 | 325 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 30 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 417 | 533 | 583 | 1.117 | 167 | 529 | 20 | 20 | 493 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 619 | 487 | 147 | 39 | 2 | 13 | 124 | 131 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 302 | 448 | 470 | 918 | 168 | 390 | 21 | 20 | 411 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 63 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 317 | 106 | 424 | 21 | 160 | 35 | 24 | 241 | 51 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 245 | 201 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 387 | 388 | 775 | 129 | 353 | 26 | 17 | 352 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 85 | 64 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 434 | 375 | 809 | 109 | 362 | 20 | 22 | 368 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 363 | 283 | 72 | 19 | 0 | 12 | 75 | 84 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 254 | 412 | 449 | 861 | 194 | 314 | 23 | 21 | 384 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 50 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 347 | 333 | 680 | 95 | 333 | 24 | 14 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 63 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 317 | 106 | 424 | 21 | 160 | 35 | 24 | 241 | 49 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 120 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 192 | 300 | 298 | 598 | 106 | 240 | 22 | 12 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 208 | 478 | 248 | 15 | 8 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 276 | 246 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 55 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 277 | 301 | 578 | 106 | 236 | 20 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 425 | 380 | 102 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 85 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 268 | 338 | 453 | 791 | 184 | 299 | 20 | 8 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 134 | 123 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 187 | 254 | 244 | 498 | 57 | 235 | 21 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 412 | 368 | 78 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 99 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 212 | 294 | 312 | 607 | 101 | 281 | 24 | 10 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 172 | 154 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 247 | 314 | 292 | 606 | 45 | 341 | 28 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 116 | 105 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 301 | 314 | 615 | 67 | 324 | 28 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 30 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 346 | 433 | 500 | 933 | 154 | 462 | 27 | 13 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 619 | 535 | 129 | 29 | 2 | 11 | 76 | 172 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 341 | 364 | 705 | 123 | 329 | 28 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 63 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 317 | 106 | 424 | 21 | 160 | 35 | 24 | 243 | 51 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 245 | 212 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 305 | 316 | 621 | 113 | 298 | 33 | 12 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 85 | 70 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 243 | 361 | 343 | 704 | 100 | 325 | 26 | 15 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 363 | 310 | 62 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 105 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 200 | 309 | 339 | 648 | 139 | 259 | 29 | 13 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 146 | 128 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 295 | 281 | 576 | 86 | 242 | 21 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 146 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 223 | 356 | 322 | 678 | 99 | 260 | 16 | 16 | 318 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 276 | 246 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 55 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 277 | 301 | 578 | 106 | 238 | 20 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 276 | 230 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 43 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 361 | 378 | 740 | 139 | 277 | 16 | 16 | 336 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 444 | 119 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 99 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 268 | 337 | 450 | 787 | 182 | 305 | 20 | 8 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 496 | 410 | 127 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 73 | 85 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 310 | 422 | 517 | 940 | 207 | 350 | 17 | 15 | 411 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 491 | 101 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 52 | 128 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 206 | 284 | 299 | 584 | 94 | 268 | 23 | 10 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 546 | 469 | 118 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 92 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 252 | 356 | 369 | 725 | 117 | 302 | 17 | 14 | 331 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 318 | 284 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 90 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 321 | 313 | 634 | 60 | 352 | 28 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 318 | 272 | 79 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 70 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 290 | 381 | 371 | 753 | 81 | 369 | 22 | 11 | 340 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 619 | 535 | 129 | 29 | 2 | 11 | 76 | 172 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 341 | 364 | 705 | 123 | 334 | 28 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 619 | 487 | 147 | 39 | 2 | 13 | 124 | 131 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 302 | 448 | 470 | 918 | 168 | 390 | 21 | 20 | 411 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 259 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 103 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 307 | 278 | 585 | 97 | 279 | 33 | 15 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 308 | 248 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 56 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 373 | 335 | 707 | 109 | 323 | 28 | 18 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 448 | 380 | 79 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 61 | 127 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 208 | 319 | 339 | 658 | 132 | 282 | 28 | 14 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 448 | 347 | 89 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 94 | 101 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 256 | 416 | 435 | 851 | 179 | 324 | 23 | 21 | 381 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 50 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 347 | 333 | 680 | 95 | 333 | 24 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 50 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 347 | 333 | 680 | 95 | 333 | 24 | 14 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 146 | 127 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 197 | 295 | 283 | 578 | 87 | 241 | 21 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 276 | 246 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 55 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 277 | 301 | 578 | 106 | 236 | 20 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 447 | 119 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 99 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 337 | 447 | 784 | 181 | 299 | 20 | 8 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 487 | 101 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 52 | 128 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 207 | 284 | 302 | 586 | 94 | 270 | 23 | 10 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 318 | 287 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 90 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 321 | 310 | 631 | 59 | 346 | 28 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 619 | 533 | 129 | 29 | 2 | 11 | 76 | 172 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 242 | 341 | 366 | 707 | 124 | 329 | 28 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 258 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 103 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 307 | 279 | 586 | 97 | 270 | 33 | 15 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 448 | 383 | 79 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 61 | 127 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 319 | 337 | 656 | 131 | 272 | 28 | 14 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 63 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 317 | 106 | 424 | 21 | 160 | 35 | 24 | 241 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 485 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 227 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 317 | 105 | 422 | 21 | 159 | 35 | 24 | 241 | 81 | -39 | +0 | -5 | +11 | +14 | -1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3207 | 2809 | 630 | 130 | 17 | 54 | 347 | 817 | 24 | 55 | 19 | 224 | 315 | 340 | 655 | 116 | 294 | 25 | 11 | 288 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 127 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 70 | 166 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 223 | 314 | 337 | 651 | 114 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 288 | 81 | -39 | +0 | -5 | +11 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 363 PAwOBA .379 → .293 (−85)K% 23.1% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.14% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.39% | ÷1.056 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 13.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.60% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.968 | 17.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.55% | ÷0.964 | ×0.840 | ×0.966 | ×0.968 | 7.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.966 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.03% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.51% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .379 → .293; ISO .194 → .158; BABIP .314 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 85 PAwOBA .360 → .300 (−60)K% 20.0% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.992 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.35% | ÷1.028 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 15.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×1.013 | ×0.992 | 21.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷0.926 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×0.992 | 9.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×0.992 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .360 → .300; ISO .109 → .096; BABIP .362 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANashville Sounds · 245 PAwOBA .347 → .276 (−71)K% 25.7% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.71% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.73% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 12.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.36% | ÷1.035 | ×0.900 | ×0.964 | ×1.003 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.898 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×1.003 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.015 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×1.003 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.856 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.65% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 80, 3B 103, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .347 → .276; ISO .129 → .110; BABIP .353 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMidland RockHounds · 619 PAwOBA .401 → .312 (−89)K% 21.2% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.16% | ÷0.928 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.55% | ÷1.106 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 12.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.12% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 23.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.96% | ÷1.125 | ×0.840 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 7.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.65% | ÷0.982 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 98, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 86, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .401 → .312; ISO .168 → .133; BABIP .390 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASacramento River Cats · 172 PAwOBA .312 → .284 (−29)K% 22.1% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.09% | ÷0.998 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.19% | ÷0.975 | ×0.900 | ×1.036 | ×1.033 | 30.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.67% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.036 | ×1.033 | 3.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.810 | ×1.036 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 100, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .312 → .284; ISO .068 → .055; BABIP .349 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMidland RockHounds · 116 PAwOBA .325 → .271 (−55)K% 22.4% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷0.957 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.48% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.67% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 28.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.049 | ×0.840 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.940 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.961 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .325 → .271; ISO .079 → .063; BABIP .364 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Stockton Ports · 30 PAwOBA .481 → .388 (−93)K% 20.0% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 13.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 44.44% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 39.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.044 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.112 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .481 → .388; ISO .167 → .132; BABIP .529 → .462. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 412 PAwOBA .335 → .273 (−62)K% 16.5% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.50% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.83% | ÷1.026 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 9.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.91% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 19.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.015 | ×0.960 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.12% | ÷0.964 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.972 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 93, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .335 → .273; ISO .125 → .107; BABIP .315 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .