Ryan Strausborger
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAATEX | 381 | .278/.331/.438 | 10 | 27 | 65 | — | .233/.274/.352 | |
| 2015 | 27 | MLBTEX | 51 | .200/.250/.267 | 1 | 2 | 34 | -0.9 | ||
| 2016 | 28 | AAASEA | 305 | .234/.302/.336 | 6 | 15 | 43 | — | .191/.243/.273 | |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 149 | .224/.345/.320 | 1 | 5 | 46 | — | .185/.277/.270 | |
| 2018 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 559 | 488 | 132 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 91 | 15 | 31 | 12 | 270 | 350 | 416 | 766 | 145 | 315 | 16 | 8 | 338 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 78 | 73 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 329 | 355 | 507 | 862 | 178 | 393 | 19 | 3 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 482 | 433 | 107 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 33 | 101 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 247 | 311 | 374 | 685 | 127 | 307 | 21 | 7 | 302 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 518 | 461 | 100 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 102 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 217 | 287 | 347 | 634 | 130 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 280 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 360 | 325 | 84 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 55 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 258 | 323 | 382 | 705 | 123 | 296 | 15 | 8 | 314 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 36 | 36 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 417 | 417 | 639 | 1.056 | 222 | 483 | 17 | 0 | 460 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 51 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 267 | 517 | 67 | 229 | 22 | 6 | 224 | 34 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 381 | 345 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 66 | 3 | 27 | 5 | 278 | 331 | 438 | 768 | 159 | 317 | 17 | 6 | 333 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 305 | 274 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 74 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 234 | 302 | 336 | 638 | 102 | 294 | 24 | 7 | 288 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 30 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 167 | 111 | 278 | 37 | 125 | 37 | 10 | 143 | -48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 119 | 98 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 265 | 390 | 378 | 767 | 112 | 391 | 29 | 14 | 351 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 51 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 267 | 517 | 67 | 229 | 22 | 6 | 224 | 38 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 559 | 507 | 110 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 130 | 15 | 31 | 12 | 217 | 276 | 325 | 601 | 108 | 266 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 482 | 446 | 102 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 125 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 229 | 273 | 334 | 607 | 105 | 296 | 26 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 518 | 479 | 96 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 126 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 200 | 243 | 301 | 544 | 100 | 247 | 24 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 360 | 335 | 74 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 70 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 221 | 267 | 313 | 580 | 93 | 267 | 19 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 36 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 361 | 361 | 583 | 944 | 222 | 430 | 19 | 0 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 51 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 267 | 517 | 67 | 229 | 22 | 6 | 218 | 34 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 381 | 352 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 83 | 3 | 27 | 5 | 233 | 274 | 352 | 626 | 119 | 273 | 22 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 305 | 282 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 92 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 191 | 243 | 273 | 516 | 82 | 258 | 30 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 30 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 133 | 107 | 240 | 36 | 103 | 43 | 7 | 97 | -48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 119 | 103 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 214 | 314 | 311 | 624 | 97 | 325 | 34 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 637 | 578 | 125 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 148 | 16 | 33 | 14 | 216 | 274 | 325 | 599 | 109 | 276 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 637 | 561 | 156 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 106 | 16 | 33 | 14 | 278 | 351 | 428 | 779 | 150 | 324 | 17 | 7 | 341 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 482 | 446 | 102 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 125 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 229 | 273 | 334 | 607 | 105 | 306 | 26 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 482 | 433 | 107 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 33 | 101 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 247 | 311 | 374 | 685 | 127 | 307 | 21 | 7 | 302 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 518 | 479 | 96 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 126 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 200 | 243 | 301 | 544 | 100 | 256 | 24 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 518 | 461 | 100 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 102 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 217 | 287 | 347 | 634 | 130 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 280 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 371 | 87 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 77 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 235 | 276 | 332 | 607 | 97 | 284 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 396 | 361 | 99 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 61 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 274 | 332 | 407 | 739 | 133 | 314 | 15 | 7 | 327 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 397 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 94 | 3 | 29 | 6 | 229 | 271 | 343 | 614 | 113 | 278 | 22 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 432 | 390 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 77 | 3 | 29 | 6 | 269 | 321 | 418 | 739 | 149 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 320 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 305 | 282 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 92 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 191 | 243 | 273 | 516 | 82 | 261 | 30 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 305 | 274 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 74 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 234 | 302 | 336 | 638 | 102 | 294 | 24 | 7 | 288 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 131 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 176 | 270 | 252 | 522 | 76 | 286 | 36 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 149 | 125 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 45 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 224 | 345 | 320 | 665 | 96 | 338 | 30 | 13 | 309 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 637 | 586 | 125 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 148 | 16 | 33 | 14 | 213 | 274 | 321 | 595 | 108 | 266 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 482 | 452 | 102 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 125 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 330 | 602 | 104 | 296 | 26 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 518 | 486 | 96 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 126 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 198 | 243 | 296 | 539 | 99 | 247 | 24 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 372 | 87 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 77 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 234 | 276 | 331 | 606 | 97 | 282 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 406 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 94 | 3 | 29 | 6 | 224 | 271 | 335 | 606 | 111 | 268 | 22 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 305 | 283 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 92 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 191 | 243 | 272 | 515 | 81 | 258 | 30 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 131 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 176 | 270 | 252 | 522 | 76 | 280 | 36 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 51 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 267 | 517 | 67 | 229 | 22 | 6 | 224 | 57 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 140 | 0 | 25 | 13 | 200 | 250 | 268 | 518 | 68 | 229 | 22 | 6 | 224 | 57 | -48 | +0 | -13 | -59 | +14 | -10.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2919 | 2684 | 578 | 98 | 33 | 36 | 137 | 716 | 43 | 157 | 36 | 215 | 265 | 317 | 581 | 101 | 278 | 25 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 129 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 159 | 10 | 35 | 8 | 216 | 266 | 316 | 583 | 100 | 278 | 24 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -48 | +0 | -13 | -59 | +14 | -10.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 119 PAwOBA .346 → .271 (−75)K% 28.6% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 9.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.958 | 23.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×0.958 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.018 | ×0.880 | ×0.974 | ×0.958 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 1.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 104, K 102, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .346 → .271; ISO .112 → .088; BABIP .391 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARochester Red Wings · 30 PAwOBA .140 → .097 (−43)K% 36.7% → 44.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.67% | ÷0.997 | ×1.200 | — | — | 44.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 5.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 117, 3B 117, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .140 → .097; ISO .037 → .026; BABIP .125 → .103. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAATacoma Rainiers · 305 PAwOBA .283 → .232 (−51)K% 24.3% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.26% | ÷1.041 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.115 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.900 | ×0.977 | ×0.992 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×0.992 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.896 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 97, 2B 80, 3B 113, K 108, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .283 → .232; ISO .102 → .086; BABIP .294 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARound Rock Express · 381 PAwOBA .326 → .264 (−62)K% 17.3% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.32% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.30% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 20.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 5.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.58% | ÷1.184 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .326 → .264; ISO .159 → .116; BABIP .317 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARound Rock Express · 360 PAwOBA .306 → .260 (−47)K% 15.3% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.28% | ÷1.015 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.78% | ÷1.033 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.48% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 20.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷1.055 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.953 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.43% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 91, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .306 → .260; ISO .123 → .098; BABIP .296 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 36 PAwOBA .446 → .372 (−74)K% 16.7% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.67% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 32.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.890 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.921 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 6.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.322 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.99% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 84, K 97, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .446 → .372; ISO .222 → .179; BABIP .483 → .430. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 518 PAwOBA .269 → .235 (−34)K% 19.7% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.69% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.37% | ÷1.162 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.11% | ÷0.933 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.57% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.986 | ×0.940 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.79% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 87, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 97, BB 132 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .269 → .235; ISO .130 → .106; BABIP .257 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 482 PAwOBA .294 → .262 (−32)K% 21.0% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.95% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.22% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.59% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 22.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.31% | ÷1.016 | ×0.940 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 3.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.137 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .294 → .262; ISO .127 → .108; BABIP .307 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).