Adam Eaton

PosCF

B/TL/L

Born1988-12-06

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2019	30	MLBWSH	656	.279/.366/.428	15	15	125	2.2
2020	31	MLBWSH	176	.226/.285/.384	4	3	81	-0.4
2021	32	MLBLAA	288	.201/.283/.327	6	3	72	-0.9
2022	33	No MLB games played
2023	34	No MLB games played
2024	35	No MLB games played
2025	36	No MLB games played
2026	37	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

Speed63

xwOBA52

Avg EV37

Barrel%18

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	21	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	282	226	87	14	4	7	35	44	19	20	8	385	504	575	1.079	190	452	16	12	473	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	255	212	64	7	4	4	30	35	9	10	6	302	410	429	840	127	345	14	12	375	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	301	244	81	15	3	6	42	41	14	24	8	332	457	492	948	160	379	14	14	424	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	139	122	42	8	1	2	14	29	1	8	3	344	416	475	891	131	430	21	10	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	103	85	22	3	2	2	14	15	3	2	3	259	382	412	794	153	294	15	14	357	121	+3	-1	+2	+3	+2	0.8
2012	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	562	488	186	46	5	7	53	68	15	38	10	381	457	539	996	158	432	12	9	437	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	51	40	12	1	0	0	6	8	5	6	1	300	451	325	776	25	375	16	12	375	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	277	250	63	10	4	3	17	44	6	5	2	252	315	360	675	108	294	16	6	301	84	-5	+0	-3	-4	+6	-0.6
2013	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	40	35	5	2	0	1	3	8	1	0	0	143	231	286	516	143	148	20	8	232	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	64	53	17	3	0	1	10	6	1	8	1	321	438	434	871	113	348	9	16	397	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	538	486	146	26	10	1	43	83	5	15	9	300	363	401	765	101	359	15	8	342	117	+11	-1	+5	+2	+12	2.9
2014	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	16	16	5	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	312	312	375	688	62	417	25	0	306	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	689	610	175	28	9	14	58	131	14	18	8	287	362	431	793	144	345	19	8	352	122	+18	+0	-8	+2	+15	2.9
2016	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	706	619	176	29	9	14	63	115	14	14	5	284	364	428	792	144	329	16	9	350	121	+18	+1	+17	-8	+15	4.4
2017	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	27	7	1	2	14	18	1	3	1	297	396	462	858	165	347	17	13	380	145	+6	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.8
2018	29	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	370	319	96	18	1	5	38	64	11	9	1	301	394	411	805	110	364	17	10	365	133	+14	+1	-5	-4	+8	1.5
2018	29	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	15	12	3	0	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	250	400	500	900	250	250	20	13	401	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	656	566	158	25	7	15	65	106	13	15	3	279	366	428	794	148	319	16	10	351	125	+20	+2	-7	-7	+14	2.2
2020	31	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	176	159	36	11	1	4	12	32	1	3	0	226	285	384	669	157	260	18	7	291	81	-4	+1	-3	-2	+4	-0.4
2021	32	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	288	254	51	10	2	6	22	71	7	3	0	201	283	327	609	126	253	25	8	274	72	-9	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3910	3439	950	167	46	66	346	679	75	87	32	276	355	409	764	133	327	17	9	340	116	+76	+5	-6	-20	+85	14.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	21	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	282	243	69	10	3	5	18	63	19	20	8	284	379	412	790	128	352	22	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	255	220	62	7	4	3	22	43	9	10	6	282	371	391	761	109	330	17	9	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	301	257	75	13	2	5	29	54	14	24	8	292	393	416	810	125	346	18	10	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	103	85	22	3	2	2	14	15	3	2	3	259	382	412	794	153	294	15	14	347	121	+3	-1	+2	+3	+2	0.8
2012	23	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	562	505	175	36	5	6	36	92	15	38	10	347	406	473	880	127	408	16	6	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	51	42	11	1	0	0	4	9	5	6	1	262	392	286	678	24	339	18	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	277	250	61	9	3	3	17	44	6	5	2	244	308	340	648	96	294	16	6	292	84	-5	+0	-3	-4	+6	-0.6
2013	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	40	36	5	2	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	139	205	278	483	139	129	25	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	64	57	16	3	0	1	6	8	1	8	1	281	359	386	745	105	308	12	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	538	486	146	26	10	1	43	83	5	15	9	300	363	401	765	101	359	15	8	341	117	+11	-1	+5	+2	+12	2.9
2014	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	16	16	5	1	0	0	0	5	0	2	0	312	312	375	688	62	399	31	0	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	689	612	175	28	9	14	56	131	14	18	8	286	359	430	789	144	345	19	8	349	122	+18	+0	-8	+2	+15	2.9
2016	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	706	621	176	29	9	14	61	115	14	14	5	283	361	427	787	143	329	16	9	347	121	+18	+1	+17	-8	+15	4.4
2017	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	27	7	1	2	14	18	1	3	1	297	396	462	858	165	347	17	13	382	145	+6	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.8
2018	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	370	319	96	18	1	5	38	64	11	9	1	301	394	411	805	110	364	17	10	364	133	+14	+1	-5	-4	+8	1.5
2018	29	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	15	13	3	0	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	218	27	7	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	656	566	159	25	8	15	65	106	13	15	3	281	368	433	801	152	319	16	10	353	125	+20	+2	-7	-7	+14	2.2
2020	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	176	160	36	11	1	4	11	32	1	3	0	225	279	381	660	156	260	18	6	288	81	-4	+1	-3	-2	+4	-0.4
2021	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	288	254	51	10	2	6	22	71	7	3	0	201	283	327	609	126	253	25	8	275	72	-9	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.9
2010	21	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	282	243	69	10	3	5	18	63	19	20	8	284	379	412	790	128	362	22	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	282	226	87	14	4	7	35	44	19	20	8	385	504	575	1.079	190	452	16	12	473	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	695	600	172	25	8	10	64	121	24	42	17	287	378	405	783	118	342	17	9	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	695	578	187	30	8	12	86	105	24	42	17	324	432	465	897	142	376	15	12	400	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	716	632	208	40	7	8	54	116	23	46	14	329	402	453	855	123	393	16	8	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	716	613	220	50	7	9	73	91	23	46	14	359	446	507	953	148	411	13	10	421	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	381	343	81	13	3	5	25	63	8	13	3	236	303	335	638	99	274	17	7	285	79	-9	+1	-3	-4	+8	-0.7
2013	24	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	381	338	85	15	4	5	30	58	8	13	3	251	327	364	691	112	289	15	8	310	79	-9	+1	-3	-4	+8	-0.7
2014	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	554	502	151	27	10	1	43	88	5	17	9	301	362	400	762	100	361	16	8	339	115	+10	-0	+5	+2	+12	2.9
2014	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	554	502	151	27	10	1	43	87	5	17	9	301	362	400	762	100	361	16	8	341	115	+10	-0	+5	+2	+12	2.9
2015	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	689	612	175	28	9	14	56	131	14	18	8	286	359	430	789	144	343	19	8	349	122	+18	+0	-8	+2	+15	2.9
2015	26	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	689	610	175	28	9	14	58	131	14	18	8	287	362	431	793	144	345	19	8	352	122	+18	+0	-8	+2	+15	2.9
2016	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	706	621	176	29	9	14	61	115	14	14	5	283	361	427	787	143	327	16	9	347	121	+18	+1	+17	-8	+15	4.4
2016	27	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	706	619	176	29	9	14	63	115	14	14	5	284	364	428	792	144	329	16	9	350	121	+18	+1	+17	-8	+15	4.4
2017	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	27	7	1	2	14	18	1	3	1	297	396	462	858	165	347	17	13	382	145	+6	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.8
2017	28	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	27	7	1	2	14	18	1	3	1	297	396	462	858	165	347	17	13	380	145	+6	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.8
2018	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	385	332	99	18	1	6	39	68	12	9	1	298	392	413	804	114	360	18	10	362	131	+14	+1	-5	-4	+8	1.5
2018	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	385	331	99	18	1	6	40	67	12	9	1	299	394	414	808	115	360	17	10	366	131	+14	+1	-5	-4	+8	1.5
2019	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	656	566	159	25	8	15	65	106	13	15	3	281	368	433	801	152	321	16	10	353	125	+20	+2	-7	-7	+14	2.2
2019	30	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	656	566	158	25	7	15	65	106	13	15	3	279	366	428	794	148	319	16	10	351	125	+20	+2	-7	-7	+14	2.2
2020	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	176	160	36	11	1	4	11	32	1	3	0	225	279	381	660	156	258	18	6	288	81	-4	+1	-3	-2	+4	-0.4
2020	31	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	176	159	36	11	1	4	12	32	1	3	0	226	285	384	669	157	260	18	7	291	81	-4	+1	-3	-2	+4	-0.4
2021	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	288	254	51	10	2	6	22	71	7	3	0	201	283	327	609	126	253	25	8	275	72	-9	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.9
2021	32	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	288	254	51	10	2	6	22	71	7	3	0	201	283	327	609	126	253	25	8	274	72	-9	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.9
2010	21	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	282	243	69	10	3	5	18	63	19	20	8	284	379	412	790	128	352	22	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	695	602	172	25	8	10	64	121	24	42	17	286	378	404	782	118	339	17	9	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	716	633	208	40	7	8	54	116	23	46	14	329	402	452	854	123	387	16	8	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	381	345	81	13	3	5	25	63	8	13	3	235	303	333	637	99	279	17	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	554	501	151	27	10	1	43	88	5	17	9	301	362	401	763	100	360	16	8	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	689	614	175	28	9	14	56	131	14	18	8	285	359	428	788	143	345	19	8	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	706	625	176	29	9	14	61	115	14	14	5	282	361	424	785	142	329	16	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	27	7	1	2	14	18	1	3	1	297	396	462	858	165	347	17	13	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	385	331	99	18	1	6	39	68	12	9	1	299	392	414	806	115	358	18	10	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	656	573	159	25	8	15	65	106	13	15	3	277	368	428	796	150	319	16	10	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	176	162	36	11	1	4	11	32	1	3	0	222	279	377	656	154	260	18	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	288	257	51	10	2	6	22	71	7	3	0	198	283	323	606	125	253	25	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3910	3439	950	167	46	66	346	679	75	87	32	276	355	409	764	133	327	17	9	340	118	+76	+5	-6	-20	+85	14.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	159	28	8	11	58	113	12	14	5	278	357	413	769	135	329	17	9	340	118	+13	+1	-1	-3	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5635	4956	1404	243	62	90	472	992	141	203	69	283	362	412	774	129	337	18	8	342	118	+76	+5	-6	-20	+85	14.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	161	28	7	10	54	114	16	23	8	281	359	407	767	126	336	18	8	342	118	+13	+1	-1	-3	+14	2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 A+Potomac Nationals · 15 PAwOBA .391 → .302 (−89)K% 20.0% → 28.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.998	×1.420	—	—	28.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.013	×0.630	—	×0.940	7.79%
HBP% /PA	6.67%	—	×0.860	—	×0.940	5.39%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.992	×0.940	—	×0.940	19.79%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.830	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	11.11%	÷1.017	×0.900	—	×0.940	9.24%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .391 → .302; ISO .250 → .202; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAACharlotte Knights · 16 PAwOBA .298 → .261 (−37)K% 25.0% → 30.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	30.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.018	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷0.966	×0.930	—	×1.018	32.68%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.977	×0.830	—	×1.018	7.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.910	×0.970	—	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.118	×0.840	—	×1.018	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 82, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .298 → .261; ISO .062 → .050; BABIP .417 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Visalia Rawhide · 64 PAwOBA .388 → .318 (−69)K% 9.4% → 12.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.38%	÷0.981	×1.340	—	—	12.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.62%	÷1.156	×0.710	—	×0.978	9.39%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.790	—	×0.978	1.21%
Singles /BIP	27.66%	÷1.029	×0.910	×1.050	×0.978	25.12%
Doubles /BIP	6.38%	÷1.043	×0.820	×1.050	×0.978	5.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.087	×0.760	×1.050	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.13%	÷1.118	×0.920	—	×0.978	1.71%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 106, 2B 109, 3B 117, K 96, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .388 → .318; ISO .113 → .095; BABIP .348 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAReno Aces · 40 PAwOBA .232 → .189 (−43)K% 20.0% → 25.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	25.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.50%	÷0.947	×0.710	—	×1.033	5.81%
HBP% /PA	2.50%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	2.53%
Singles /BIP	7.41%	÷1.018	×0.900	—	×1.033	6.77%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷0.994	×0.810	—	×1.033	6.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.121	×0.780	—	×1.033	2.66%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .232 → .189; ISO .143 → .107; BABIP .148 → .129. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAReno Aces · 562 PAwOBA .425 → .381 (−44)K% 12.1% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.10%	÷0.956	×1.290	—	—	16.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.90%	÷1.042	×0.710	—	×1.048	6.35%
HBP% /PA	2.67%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	2.74%
Singles /BIP	30.48%	÷0.989	×0.900	×1.050	×1.048	30.53%
Doubles /BIP	10.95%	÷1.130	×0.810	×1.050	×1.048	8.64%
Triples /BIP	1.19%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.050	×1.048	1.18%
Home runs /BIP	1.67%	÷1.021	×0.780	—	×1.048	1.33%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .425 → .381; ISO .158 → .129; BABIP .432 → .408. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAMobile BayBears · 51 PAwOBA .366 → .319 (−47)K% 15.7% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.69%	÷1.031	×1.220	—	—	18.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷0.936	×0.680	—	×1.012	8.65%
HBP% /PA	9.80%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	8.33%
Singles /BIP	34.38%	÷1.029	×0.920	—	×1.012	31.11%
Doubles /BIP	3.12%	÷1.017	×0.910	—	×1.012	2.83%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.880	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.136	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 106, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .319; ISO .025 → .023; BABIP .375 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Visalia Rawhide · 301 PAwOBA .416 → .355 (−60)K% 13.6% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.62%	÷1.022	×1.340	—	—	17.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.95%	÷1.018	×0.710	—	×0.998	9.72%
HBP% /PA	4.65%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	3.67%
Singles /BIP	28.08%	÷1.007	×0.910	×1.050	×0.998	26.58%
Doubles /BIP	7.39%	÷1.007	×0.820	×1.050	×0.998	6.30%
Triples /BIP	1.48%	÷1.099	×0.760	×1.050	×0.998	1.07%
Home runs /BIP	2.96%	÷1.095	×0.920	—	×0.998	2.48%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 101, 2B 102, 3B 120, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .416 → .355; ISO .160 → .135; BABIP .379 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAMobile BayBears · 255 PAwOBA .366 → .335 (−31)K% 13.7% → 16.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.73%	÷0.996	×1.220	—	—	16.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.37%	÷0.938	×0.680	—	×1.027	8.47%
HBP% /PA	3.53%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	3.04%
Singles /BIP	27.68%	÷1.039	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	26.43%
Doubles /BIP	3.95%	÷1.012	×0.910	×1.050	×1.027	3.84%
Triples /BIP	2.26%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.050	×1.027	2.38%
Home runs /BIP	2.26%	÷1.088	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.71%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 108, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 99, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .366 → .335; ISO .127 → .118; BABIP .345 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).