Wilmer Difo

PosSS

B/TS/R

Born1992-04-02

Age (2027)35

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	32	AAA/INTL2 orgs	494	.262/.360/.365	7	12	70	—	.231/.301/.328
2025	33	INTLAguilas Cibae…	58	.167/.273/.208	0	0	36	—
2026	34	INTLToros del Este	22	.111/.273/.167	0	0	39	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

Speed76

xwOBA18

Barrel%16

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	169	148	31	2	4	0	16	27	2	12	4	209	295	277	572	68	254	16	9	262	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	280	233	67	8	8	1	37	28	3	31	11	288	392	403	795	116	322	10	13	352	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	235	198	52	7	3	0	34	35	2	19	5	263	376	328	704	66	317	15	14	328	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	20	18	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	1	222	300	278	578	56	267	15	10	270	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	56	50	11	2	0	2	5	13	0	4	1	220	291	380	671	160	250	23	9	296	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	23	19	4	1	0	1	4	3	0	2	0	211	348	421	769	211	200	13	17	346	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	610	559	176	31	7	14	37	65	6	49	9	315	364	470	834	156	333	11	6	365	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	381	359	100	21	6	2	12	79	7	26	1	279	315	387	702	109	349	21	3	311	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	83	75	24	7	0	3	8	13	0	4	1	320	386	533	919	213	356	16	10	403	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	66	58	16	3	0	1	8	12	0	3	0	276	364	379	743	103	333	18	12	339	108	+1	+1	+1	+2	+1	0.6
2016	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	451	410	106	15	3	6	34	59	3	28	11	259	320	354	674	95	288	13	8	303	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	61	57	19	3	0	1	3	9	0	3	0	333	367	439	805	105	375	15	5	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	365	332	90	10	4	5	24	74	1	10	1	271	322	370	693	99	332	20	7	305	87	-6	+2	+7	+6	+8	1.7
2017	25	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	45	40	7	2	0	0	5	6	0	0	0	175	267	225	492	50	206	13	11	235	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	112	101	32	5	1	2	10	19	0	4	0	317	378	446	824	129	370	17	9	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	456	408	94	14	7	7	39	82	2	10	3	230	301	350	651	120	269	18	9	290	80	-11	+1	+3	+2	+10	0.5
2019	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	144	131	33	2	0	2	12	29	0	0	1	252	315	313	628	61	310	20	8	287	70	-5	-0	+2	+5	+3	0.5
2019	27	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	233	70	14	3	4	25	51	1	13	5	300	371	438	808	137	369	20	10	359	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	24	18	1	0	0	0	5	5	1	0	1	56	292	56	347		77	21	21	214	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	18	14	1	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	71	235	71	307		91	22	17	167	-1	-2	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.2
2020	28	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	86	77	17	1	1	0	7	11	0	1	0	221	286	260	545	39	258	13	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	240	219	59	7	3	4	20	54	0	1	0	269	331	384	714	114	340	22	8	320	104	+1	+0	-5	+1	+5	0.3
2021	29	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	46	41	10	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	244	311	293	604	49	312	22	9	274	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA	Reno Aces	—	306	279	75	15	0	7	20	41	0	4	2	269	318	398	716	129	287	13	7	313	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	64	61	12	2	0	1	3	16	0	1	0	197	234	279	513	82	250	25	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	336	284	59	10	1	5	46	69	3	23	9	208	324	303	627	95	255	21	14	292	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	362	304	84	14	2	7	44	79	4	11	2	276	375	405	780	128	345	22	12	344	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	132	112	25	4	0	0	16	23	0	1	2	223	320	259	579	36	272	17	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	58	48	8	2	0	0	7	17	0	0	1	167	273	208	481	42	250	29	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	INTL	Toros del Este	—	22	18	2	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	111	273	167	439	56	167	27	18	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1289	1162	293	36	14	19	106	255	3	24	5	252	316	356	673	104	305	20	8	300	89	-16	+3	+8	+15	+28	3.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	169	153	20	1	2	0	11	33	2	12	4	131	199	163	362	33	166	20	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	280	247	56	6	6	1	23	40	3	31	11	227	300	312	612	85	257	14	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	235	211	43	5	2	0	21	50	2	19	5	204	282	246	528	43	265	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	211	250	263	513	53	245	25	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	56	52	9	1	0	2	3	17	0	4	1	173	218	308	526	135	213	30	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	23	21	4	1	0	1	2	4	0	2	0	190	261	381	642	190	153	17	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	610	572	155	25	6	12	24	90	6	49	9	271	307	399	706	128	295	15	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	381	364	96	17	6	2	7	94	7	26	1	264	291	360	651	96	344	25	2	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	83	79	22	6	0	3	4	18	0	4	1	278	313	468	782	190	320	22	5	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	66	59	16	3	0	1	7	12	0	3	0	271	348	373	721	102	333	18	11	327	108	+1	+1	+1	+2	+1	0.6
2016	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	451	420	101	15	3	3	24	74	3	28	11	240	286	312	598	71	279	16	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	365	338	91	10	5	5	18	74	1	10	1	269	308	373	681	104	332	20	5	297	87	-6	+2	+7	+6	+8	1.7
2017	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	45	42	7	2	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	167	222	214	437	48	188	16	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	456	413	95	14	8	7	34	82	2	10	3	230	292	354	645	123	269	18	7	287	80	-11	+1	+3	+2	+10	0.5
2019	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	144	134	33	2	0	2	9	29	0	0	1	246	294	306	600	60	310	20	6	272	70	-5	-0	+2	+5	+3	0.5
2019	27	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	240	58	11	2	3	18	69	1	13	5	242	297	342	639	100	316	26	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	24	20	1	0	0	0	3	7	1	0	1	50	208	50	258		59	29	12	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	18	14	1	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	71	235	71	307		91	22	17	167	-1	-2	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.2
2021	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	240	219	59	7	3	4	20	54	0	1	0	269	331	384	714	114	340	22	8	322	104	+1	+0	-5	+1	+5	0.3
2021	29	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	46	43	9	2	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	209	244	256	500	47	277	28	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	306	286	65	12	0	5	13	49	0	4	2	227	261	322	583	94	247	16	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	336	301	52	9	1	3	29	83	3	23	9	173	252	239	491	66	222	25	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	362	320	74	12	2	5	28	96	4	11	2	231	301	328	629	97	291	27	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	169	153	20	1	2	0	11	33	2	12	4	131	199	163	362	33	165	20	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	169	148	31	2	4	0	16	27	2	12	4	209	295	277	572	68	254	16	9	262	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	280	247	56	6	6	1	23	40	3	31	11	227	300	312	612	85	266	14	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	—	280	233	67	8	8	1	37	28	3	31	11	288	392	403	795	116	322	10	13	352	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	235	211	43	5	2	0	21	50	2	19	5	204	282	246	528	43	265	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	—	235	198	52	7	3	0	34	35	2	19	5	263	376	328	704	66	317	15	14	328	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	99	91	16	3	0	3	7	26	0	6	2	176	235	308	542	132	206	26	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	99	87	19	4	0	3	11	19	0	6	2	218	306	368	674	149	242	19	11	302	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	610	572	155	25	6	12	24	90	6	49	9	271	307	399	706	128	300	15	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	—	610	559	176	31	7	14	37	65	6	49	9	315	364	470	834	156	333	11	6	365	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	464	443	118	23	6	5	11	113	7	30	2	266	295	379	674	113	345	24	2	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	464	434	124	28	6	5	20	92	7	30	2	286	328	412	740	127	350	20	4	328	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	578	535	131	20	3	5	35	96	3	34	11	245	295	321	616	77	288	17	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	578	525	141	21	3	8	45	80	3	34	11	269	330	366	696	97	302	14	8	313	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	522	485	124	15	6	6	27	103	1	14	1	256	296	348	645	93	311	20	5	286	79	-13	+2	+7	+6	+11	1.3
2017	25	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	522	473	129	17	5	7	39	99	1	14	1	273	329	374	704	101	329	19	7	312	79	-13	+2	+7	+6	+11	1.3
2018	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	456	413	95	14	8	7	34	82	2	10	3	230	292	354	645	123	268	18	7	287	80	-11	+1	+3	+2	+10	0.5
2018	26	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	456	408	94	14	7	7	39	82	2	10	3	230	301	350	651	120	269	18	9	290	80	-11	+1	+3	+2	+10	0.5
2019	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	429	394	90	12	2	5	30	105	2	13	7	228	286	307	593	79	298	24	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	429	382	104	16	3	6	42	85	2	13	7	272	347	377	724	105	336	20	10	327	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	104	84	6	0	0	0	17	23	0	1	0	71	228	71	299		97	22	16	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	104	91	18	1	1	0	10	15	0	1	0	198	277	231	508	33	234	14	10	234	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	286	262	67	8	3	4	22	67	0	1	0	256	313	355	668	99	326	23	8	307	94	-2	+0	-5	+1	+6	0.1
2021	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	286	260	69	9	3	4	24	64	0	1	0	265	327	369	697	104	335	22	8	313	94	-2	+0	-5	+1	+6	0.1
2022	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	370	347	79	15	0	6	16	59	0	5	2	228	262	323	584	95	253	16	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	370	340	87	17	0	8	23	57	0	5	2	256	303	376	680	121	281	15	6	299	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	336	301	52	9	1	3	29	83	3	23	9	173	252	239	491	66	226	25	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	336	284	59	10	1	5	46	69	3	23	9	208	324	303	627	95	255	21	14	292	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	494	437	101	16	3	7	39	130	4	12	4	231	300	330	630	98	305	26	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	494	416	109	18	2	7	60	102	4	12	4	262	360	365	726	103	324	21	12	324	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL MLE	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	58	48	8	2	0	0	7	17	0	0	1	167	273	208	481	42	250	29	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL RAW	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	58	48	8	2	0	0	7	17	0	0	1	167	273	208	481	42	250	29	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	22	18	2	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	111	273	167	439	56	167	27	18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	22	18	2	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	111	273	167	439	56	167	27	18	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	169	154	20	1	2	0	11	33	2	12	4	130	199	162	361	32	166	20	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	280	252	56	6	6	1	23	40	3	31	11	222	300	306	606	83	257	14	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	235	210	43	5	2	0	21	50	2	19	5	205	282	248	530	43	265	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	99	92	16	3	0	3	7	26	0	6	2	174	235	304	539	130	206	26	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	610	575	155	25	6	12	24	90	6	49	9	270	307	397	704	127	295	15	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	464	443	118	23	6	5	11	113	7	30	2	266	295	379	674	113	340	24	2	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	578	535	131	20	3	5	35	96	3	34	11	245	295	321	616	77	286	17	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	522	489	124	15	6	6	27	103	1	14	1	254	296	346	642	92	316	20	5	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	456	417	95	14	8	7	34	82	2	10	3	228	292	350	642	122	269	18	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	429	394	90	12	2	5	30	105	2	13	7	228	286	307	593	79	300	24	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	104	86	6	0	0	0	17	23	0	1	0	70	228	70	297		91	22	16	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	286	262	67	8	3	4	22	67	0	1	0	256	313	355	668	99	329	23	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	370	351	79	15	0	6	16	59	0	5	2	225	262	319	581	94	247	16	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	336	301	52	9	1	3	29	83	3	23	9	173	252	239	491	66	222	25	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	494	448	101	16	3	7	39	130	4	12	4	225	300	321	621	96	291	26	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	494	448	101	16	3	7	39	130	4	12	4	225	300	321	621	96	291	26	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1289	1162	293	36	14	19	106	255	3	24	5	252	316	356	673	104	305	20	8	300	66	-16	+3	+8	+15	+28	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	148	18	7	10	53	129	2	12	3	253	317	358	676	106	305	20	8	300	66	-8	+1	+4	+8	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5512	5041	1163	175	48	64	357	1123	35	260	72	231	286	323	609	92	282	20	6	266	66	-16	+3	+8	+15	+28	3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	138	21	6	8	42	132	4	31	8	232	287	328	615	96	283	20	6	266	66	-8	+1	+4	+8	+14	2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAACharlotte Knights · 362 PAwOBA .340 → .273 (−68)K% 21.8% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.82%	÷0.991	×1.200	—	—	26.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.15%	÷1.025	×0.690	—	×0.952	7.79%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.99%
Singles /BIP	27.11%	÷1.033	×0.930	×1.006	×0.952	23.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.22%	÷0.994	×0.830	×1.006	×0.952	4.98%
Triples /BIP	0.89%	÷1.049	×0.970	×1.006	×0.952	0.79%
Home runs /BIP	3.11%	÷1.016	×0.700	—	×0.952	2.04%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 110, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .340 → .273; ISO .128 → .098; BABIP .345 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 336 PAwOBA .287 → .227 (−60)K% 20.5% → 24.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.54%	÷0.998	×1.200	—	—	24.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.69%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×0.962	8.58%
HBP% /PA	0.89%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.81%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.029	×0.930	×1.009	×0.962	17.53%
Doubles /BIP	4.65%	÷0.903	×0.830	×1.009	×0.962	4.15%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷1.048	×0.970	×1.009	×0.962	0.42%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷1.017	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.54%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .287 → .227; ISO .095 → .075; BABIP .255 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAReno Aces · 306 PAwOBA .310 → .257 (−54)K% 13.4% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.40%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	16.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.54%	÷1.020	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.30%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.27%	÷1.025	×0.930	×1.002	×0.972	19.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.30%	÷0.996	×0.830	×1.002	×0.972	5.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.100	×0.970	×1.002	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷0.965	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.07%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 120, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .310 → .257; ISO .129 → .099; BABIP .287 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 46 PAwOBA .273 → .225 (−48)K% 21.7% → 27.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.74%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	27.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.70%	÷1.100	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.81%	÷1.011	×0.930	—	×0.982	23.31%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷0.986	×0.830	—	×0.982	5.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.914	×0.920	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.096	×0.700	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .273 → .225; ISO .049 → .040; BABIP .312 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 261 PAwOBA .351 → .277 (−74)K% 19.5% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.54%	÷0.953	×1.290	—	—	26.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.58%	÷0.990	×0.710	—	×1.003	6.89%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.38%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷0.959	×0.900	×0.950	×1.003	24.07%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.976	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	6.08%
Triples /BIP	1.65%	÷1.140	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	2.20%	÷0.962	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.79%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 128, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .351 → .277; ISO .137 → .102; BABIP .369 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKGCL Nationals · 24 PAwOBA .210 → .133 (−78)K% 20.8% → 30.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.83%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	30.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.83%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	12.14%
HBP% /PA	4.17%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	2.82%
Singles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	5.93%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .210 → .133; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .077 → .059. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 45 PAwOBA .230 → .193 (−37)K% 13.3% → 15.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	15.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×1.033	7.67%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.71%	÷0.997	×0.930	—	×1.033	14.17%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.081	×0.830	—	×1.033	4.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.980	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .230 → .193; ISO .050 → .040; BABIP .206 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAHarrisburg Senators · 451 PAwOBA .297 → .263 (−34)K% 13.1% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.08%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	16.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.54%	÷0.992	×0.700	—	×1.012	5.38%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.57%
Singles /BIP	23.36%	÷1.029	×0.970	×1.029	×1.012	22.93%
Doubles /BIP	4.27%	÷0.922	×0.860	×1.029	×1.012	4.15%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷1.137	×0.950	×1.029	×1.012	0.74%
Home runs /BIP	1.71%	÷1.445	×0.780	—	×1.012	0.93%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 189, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .297 → .263; ISO .095 → .072; BABIP .288 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .