Rosell Herrera
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 215 | .236/.308/.419 | 4 | 7 | 69 | — | .233/.283/.442 | |
| 2018 | 25 | MLBKC | 302 | .234/.288/.317 | 1 | 3 | 71 | -1.0 | ||
| 2019 | 26 | AAANew Orleans B… | 180 | .309/.367/.479 | 5 | 2 | 77 | — | .241/.283/.353 | |
| 2019 | 26 | MLBMIA | 119 | .200/.288/.314 | 2 | 4 | 75 | -0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 28 | INTLTigres del Li… | 16 | .143/.200/.143 | 0 | 0 | -8 | — | ||
| 2022 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 266 | 232 | 55 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 237 | 324 | 284 | 609 | 47 | 260 | 9 | 9 | 282 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | Casper Ghosts | — | 276 | 243 | 69 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 62 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 284 | 361 | 449 | 810 | 165 | 358 | 22 | 10 | 357 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 237 | 213 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 49 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 202 | 274 | 272 | 546 | 70 | 255 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 546 | 472 | 162 | 33 | 0 | 16 | 61 | 96 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 343 | 422 | 515 | 936 | 172 | 401 | 18 | 11 | 408 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 302 | 275 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 244 | 304 | 335 | 639 | 91 | 285 | 17 | 8 | 288 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 512 | 466 | 121 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 97 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 260 | 315 | 354 | 670 | 94 | 319 | 19 | 7 | 298 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 494 | 425 | 124 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 56 | 79 | 2 | 36 | 8 | 292 | 377 | 379 | 756 | 87 | 345 | 16 | 11 | 338 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 118 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 183 | 248 | 250 | 498 | 67 | 221 | 15 | 8 | 221 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 363 | 320 | 89 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 69 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 278 | 353 | 394 | 747 | 116 | 344 | 19 | 10 | 332 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 125 | 109 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 211 | 312 | 312 | 624 | 101 | 263 | 22 | 12 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 302 | 278 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 234 | 288 | 317 | 604 | 83 | 288 | 19 | 6 | 272 | 71 | -10 | -1 | +1 | -6 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 139 | 126 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 270 | 333 | 516 | 849 | 246 | 300 | 16 | 8 | 366 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 76 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 260 | 231 | 491 | 62 | 229 | 25 | 11 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 119 | 105 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 288 | 314 | 602 | 114 | 250 | 23 | 9 | 275 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 180 | 165 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 309 | 367 | 479 | 845 | 170 | 359 | 18 | 8 | 375 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 143 | 343 | 200 | 25 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 421 | 383 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 84 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 225 | 288 | 316 | 604 | 91 | 279 | 20 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -15 | -1 | -2 | -4 | +9 | -1.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 266 | 239 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 163 | 237 | 188 | 425 | 25 | 177 | 11 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 276 | 254 | 51 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 201 | 259 | 303 | 562 | 102 | 291 | 32 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 237 | 220 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 182 | 231 | 241 | 472 | 59 | 250 | 30 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 546 | 496 | 142 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 137 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 286 | 340 | 391 | 731 | 105 | 361 | 25 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 302 | 281 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 214 | 261 | 285 | 546 | 71 | 266 | 24 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 512 | 478 | 108 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 124 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 226 | 266 | 303 | 569 | 77 | 290 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 494 | 444 | 133 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 94 | 2 | 36 | 8 | 300 | 356 | 378 | 734 | 79 | 355 | 19 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 363 | 329 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 93 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 237 | 297 | 322 | 619 | 85 | 314 | 26 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 302 | 278 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 234 | 288 | 317 | 604 | 83 | 288 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -10 | -1 | +1 | -6 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 139 | 129 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 233 | 283 | 442 | 724 | 209 | 268 | 20 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 119 | 106 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 288 | 330 | 618 | 123 | 250 | 23 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 180 | 170 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 283 | 353 | 636 | 112 | 308 | 24 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 266 | 239 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 163 | 237 | 188 | 425 | 25 | 185 | 11 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 266 | 232 | 55 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 237 | 324 | 284 | 609 | 47 | 260 | 9 | 9 | 282 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 276 | 254 | 51 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 201 | 259 | 303 | 562 | 102 | 290 | 32 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | Casper Ghosts | — | 276 | 243 | 69 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 62 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 284 | 361 | 449 | 810 | 165 | 358 | 22 | 10 | 357 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 237 | 220 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 182 | 231 | 241 | 472 | 59 | 258 | 30 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 237 | 213 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 49 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 202 | 274 | 272 | 546 | 70 | 255 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 546 | 496 | 142 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 137 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 286 | 340 | 391 | 731 | 105 | 374 | 25 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 546 | 472 | 162 | 33 | 0 | 16 | 61 | 96 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 343 | 422 | 515 | 936 | 172 | 401 | 18 | 11 | 408 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 302 | 281 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 214 | 261 | 285 | 546 | 71 | 273 | 24 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 302 | 275 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 244 | 304 | 335 | 639 | 91 | 285 | 17 | 8 | 288 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 512 | 478 | 108 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 124 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 226 | 266 | 303 | 569 | 77 | 295 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 512 | 466 | 121 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 97 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 260 | 315 | 354 | 670 | 94 | 319 | 19 | 7 | 298 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 612 | 549 | 164 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 117 | 2 | 41 | 9 | 299 | 354 | 375 | 729 | 77 | 369 | 19 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 612 | 529 | 143 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 65 | 97 | 2 | 41 | 9 | 270 | 352 | 353 | 706 | 83 | 320 | 16 | 11 | 315 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 444 | 106 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 125 | 3 | 28 | 7 | 239 | 299 | 327 | 625 | 88 | 324 | 26 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 429 | 112 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 50 | 96 | 3 | 28 | 7 | 261 | 342 | 373 | 715 | 112 | 324 | 20 | 10 | 321 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 517 | 476 | 112 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 100 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 235 | 286 | 359 | 646 | 124 | 285 | 19 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -15 | -1 | +1 | -6 | +11 | -0.9 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 517 | 469 | 110 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 98 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 235 | 296 | 358 | 654 | 124 | 284 | 19 | 7 | 290 | 76 | -15 | -1 | +1 | -6 | +11 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 276 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 71 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 228 | 285 | 344 | 629 | 116 | 290 | 24 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 299 | 270 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 59 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 267 | 336 | 415 | 750 | 148 | 319 | 20 | 8 | 335 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL MLE | Tigres del Licey | — | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 143 | 343 | 200 | 25 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL RAW | Tigres del Licey | — | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 143 | 343 | 200 | 25 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 266 | 241 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 162 | 237 | 187 | 423 | 25 | 177 | 11 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 276 | 254 | 51 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 201 | 259 | 303 | 562 | 102 | 291 | 32 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 237 | 221 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 181 | 231 | 240 | 471 | 59 | 250 | 30 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 546 | 501 | 142 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 137 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 283 | 340 | 387 | 727 | 104 | 361 | 25 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 302 | 281 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 214 | 261 | 285 | 546 | 71 | 266 | 24 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 512 | 481 | 108 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 124 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 225 | 266 | 301 | 567 | 77 | 290 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 612 | 560 | 164 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 117 | 2 | 41 | 9 | 293 | 354 | 368 | 722 | 75 | 355 | 19 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 447 | 106 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 125 | 3 | 28 | 7 | 237 | 299 | 324 | 623 | 87 | 314 | 26 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 517 | 478 | 112 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 100 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 234 | 286 | 358 | 644 | 123 | 282 | 19 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 275 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 71 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 285 | 345 | 631 | 116 | 285 | 24 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 421 | 383 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 84 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 225 | 288 | 316 | 604 | 91 | 279 | 20 | 7 | 273 | 69 | -15 | -1 | -2 | -4 | +9 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 134 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 130 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 227 | 289 | 321 | 610 | 95 | 281 | 20 | 7 | 273 | 69 | -22 | -2 | -3 | -7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4071 | 3727 | 887 | 146 | 30 | 40 | 259 | 937 | 24 | 152 | 63 | 238 | 292 | 325 | 617 | 87 | 306 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -15 | -1 | -2 | -4 | +9 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 141 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 150 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 237 | 291 | 323 | 613 | 86 | 305 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -22 | -2 | -3 | -7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 180 PAwOBA .364 → .282 (−82)K% 17.8% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.78% | ÷0.950 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.78% | ÷1.085 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.56% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.27% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷1.100 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .282; ISO .170 → .123; BABIP .359 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 139 PAwOBA .356 → .296 (−60)K% 15.8% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.83% | ÷1.007 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.42% | ÷1.020 | ×0.900 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 13.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.58% | ÷0.936 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 9.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 3.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.101 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.77% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .356 → .296; ISO .246 → .201; BABIP .300 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 363 PAwOBA .325 → .271 (−54)K% 19.0% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.01% | ÷0.956 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.64% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.70% | ÷1.019 | ×0.900 | ×1.044 | ×1.033 | 23.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.97% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×1.044 | ×1.033 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.044 | ×1.033 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.202 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.80% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .325 → .271; ISO .116 → .087; BABIP .344 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAHartford Yard Goats · 494 PAwOBA .329 → .318 (−11)K% 16.0% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.99% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.90% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 30.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.021 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.094 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .329 → .318; ISO .087 → .078; BABIP .345 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Modesto Nuts · 512 PAwOBA .291 → .250 (−42)K% 18.9% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.95% | ÷1.046 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.66% | ÷1.014 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 22.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.42% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 4.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.827 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 109, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .291 → .250; ISO .094 → .082; BABIP .319 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Modesto Nuts · 302 PAwOBA .282 → .242 (−40)K% 17.2% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.22% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷0.947 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.87% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 22.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.93% | ÷1.047 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .282 → .242; ISO .091 → .075; BABIP .285 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAsheville Tourists · 546 PAwOBA .398 → .317 (−82)K% 17.6% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.58% | ÷0.940 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.62% | ÷1.043 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.05% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 29.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.78% | ÷1.305 | ×0.820 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.331 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 98, 2B 161, 3B 80, K 88, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .398 → .317; ISO .172 → .109; BABIP .401 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAsheville Tourists · 237 PAwOBA .246 → .205 (−41)K% 20.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.68% | ÷0.942 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.86% | ÷1.055 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 20.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.079 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 4.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.061 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.191 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.43% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 94, 2B 116, 3B 112, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .246 → .205; ISO .070 → .055; BABIP .255 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .